Digital Initiative Discussion & Symposium (DIDS)
Digital Initiative Discussion & Symposium (DIDS)
Invitation Only
Digital Initiative Discussion & Symposium (DIDS)
May 2-3, 2019All sessions will take place in Chao Hall, Room 120 unless otherwise noted.
May 2
12:00-1:15 | Lunch |
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1:15-1:25 | Introduction |
1:25-2:25 | Session I: Bo CowgillDiscussant: Zoe CullenBiased Programmers? Or Biased Training Data? A Field Experiment about Algorithmic Bias Abstract: Why does “algorithmic bias” occur? The two most frequently cited reasons are "biased programmers" and "biased training data." We quantify the effects of these using a field experiment on a diverse group of AI practitioners. In our experiment, machine learning programmers are asked to predict math literacy scores for a representative sample of Americans. One group is given perfectly representative training data, and the other is given a "dataset of convenience" -- a biased training sample containing who confirm to common expectations about who is good at math. We can then measure the bias and fairness properties of the predictions from the engineers under these experimental conditions. Using this experiment, we can quantify the benefits of employing programmers who are diversity-aware, versus obtaining more representative training data. We also measure the effectiveness of training interventions to train AI engineers to reduce bias using recently-developed technical methods. |
2:25-2:40 | Break |
2:40-3:40 |
Session II: Sonny TambeDiscussant: Chris StantonData, Domain, and the Machine Learning Workforce Abstract: Using a database of the skills demanded by employers, I show that the human capital required for data science and machine learning remains concentrated by industry and geography, but has a much broader occupational footprint than other technical skills of similar complexity. I then use within-job skills data to show that these patterns are consistent with a model of job design in which employers bundle data science skills with functional knowledge to minimize coordination costs. These findings stand in contrast to data management, network administration, or software development tasks which are primarily bundled into specialized jobs (i.e. the IT workforce). These patterns are also reflected in education requirements. Jobs requiring machine learning often appear in listings seeking candidates educated in domains such as economics or marine biology rather than technical fields such as computer science or engineering. These findings suggest that an understanding of machine learning and prediction techniques may be required by workers in a wider class of occupations than earlier information technologies. |
3:40-4:00 | Break |
4:00-5:00 | Session III: Xiang HuiDiscussant: Raj ChoudhuryDoes Machine Translation Affect International Trade? Evidence from a Large Digital Platform Abstract:Artificial intelligence (AI) is surpassing human performance in a growing number of domains. However, there is limited evidence of its economic effects. Using data from a digital platform, we study a key application of AI: machine translation. We find that the introduction of an upgraded machine translation system has significantly increased international trade on this platform, increasing exports by 10.9%. Furthermore, heterogeneous treatment effects are consistent with a substantial reduction in translation costs. Our results provide causal evidence that language barriers significantly hinder trade and that AI has already begun to improve economic efficiency in at least one domain. |
5:30-6:00 | ReceptionChao Hall, Yi Ren Room |
6:00-8:30 | DinnerChao Hall, Yi Ren Room |
May 3
8:30-9:00 | Continental Breakfast |
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9:00-10:00 | Session IV: Rob SeamansDiscussant: Frank NagleComplements or Substitutes? Firm Level Management of Labor and Technology Abstract: AI, data, robotics and other technologies are rapidly advancing and have the potential to positively affect productivity growth. However, there are many questions about the effect of these technologies on labor. Moreover, a firm’s relationship with labor may play an important role in how or whether the new technology complements or substitutes for labor. Thus, in this paper, we study the following question: “How does management’s relationship with labor affect the way that new technology is adopted?” To study these issues, we conduct extensive field-work, administer a detailed survey of firms and establishments in the US auto parts industry, and obtain comprehensive data on job ads from 2010 to 2016. In our fieldwork, we find evidence that firms’ views on the question of whether technologies substitute or complement labor are correlated with differences in management practices. A “pragmatist” cluster of practices is based on the idea that people closest to production have expertise that no one else has, and therefore newer technologies potentially complement the capabilities of workers. In contrast, a “Taylorist” cluster of practices is based on the idea that a division of labor between “brain work” and “hand work” is efficient, and therefore newer technologies potentially substitute for workers. We plan to test these ideas using our survey data. |
10:00-10:15 |
Break |
10:15-11:15 | Session V: Zachary LiptonDiscussant: Yael Grushka-CockayneThe Social Impacts of Algorithmic Decision Making: Foundations, Solutions, and Roadblocks Abstract: Owing to breakthrough successes at supervised ML, supervised learning algorithms are increasingly operationalized in real-world decision-making systems. Unfortunately, the nature and desiderata of real-world tasks rarely fit neatly into the supervised learning contract. Real data deviates from the training distribution, training targets are often weak surrogates for real-world desiderata, error is seldom the right utility function, and while the framework ignores interventions, predictions typically drive decisions. While the deep questions concerning the ethics of AI necessarily address the processes that generate our data and the impacts that automated decisions will have, neither ML tools, nor proposed ML-based solutions tackle these problems head on. This talk explores the consequences and limitations of employing ML-based technology in the real world, the limitations of recent solutions for mitigating societal harms, and contemplates the meta-question: when should (today's) ML systems be off the table altogether? |
11:15-11:30 | Break |
11:30 - 12:30 | Session VI: Florenta TeodorisDiscussant: Ariel SternMachine Learning in Healthcare? Abstract:Recent attention to artificial intelligence is driven by advances in machine learning. This paper focuses on machine learning adoption in healthcare, where that has been a great deal of excitement around this technology. Using data from millions of online job postings in healthcare and other industries, we find that healthcare adoption is relatively low. We look at a variety of explanations. Our results suggest that machine learning is a general purpose technology and that coinvention costs for machine learning are particularly high in healthcare. We do not find compelling evidence that adoption is hindered by clinical risk concerns or by a propensity of hospitals to generally lag in adopting new technologies. Instead, across many industries we find that job displacement considerations seem to lead to relatively high coinvention costs and we present mixed evidence on whether such job displacement is particularly likely for healthcare decision-makers. |
12:30-1:30 | Lunch and adjourn |