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- June 2024
- Article
Real Growth in Space Manufacturing Output Substantially Exceeds Growth in the Overall Space Economy
By: Tina Highfill and Matthew Weinzierl
Accurately measuring real economic output in the space economy is made difficult by the rapid increase in capabilities and decrease in prices of launch and satellite technologies achieved over the past two decades. Nominal measures of output in space will tend to...
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Highfill, Tina, and Matthew Weinzierl. "Real Growth in Space Manufacturing Output Substantially Exceeds Growth in the Overall Space Economy." Acta Astronautica 219 (June 2024): 236–242.
- October 2021
- Article
Board Design and Governance Failures at Peer Firms
By: Shelby Gai, J. Yo-Jud Cheng and Andy Wu
Our study introduces board committees as a crucial determinant of board actions. We examine how directors who structurally link different board committees—referred to as multi-committee directors (MCDs)—explain why some board actions are merely symbolic while others...
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Keywords:
Board Committees;
Board Monitoring;
New Director Nomination;
Peer Financial Restatements;
Governing and Advisory Boards;
Corporate Governance;
Performance Effectiveness
Gai, Shelby, J. Yo-Jud Cheng, and Andy Wu. "Board Design and Governance Failures at Peer Firms." Strategic Management Journal 42, no. 10 (October 2021): 1909–1938.
- October 2021
- Article
Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry
By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
We study a novel, low-cost approach to aggregating judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and investment costs...
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Keywords:
Judgment Aggregation;
Quality Uncertainty;
Creative Industry;
Project Evaluation And Selection;
Creativity;
Film Entertainment;
Judgments;
Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen. "Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry." Management Science 67, no. 10 (October 2021): 6358–6377.
- August 2021
- Article
Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates
By: Samuel G. Hanson, David O. Lucca and Jonathan H. Wright
Long-term nominal interest rates are surprisingly sensitive to high-frequency (daily or monthly) movements in short-term rates. Since 2000, this high-frequency sensitivity has grown even stronger in U.S. data. By contrast, the association between low-frequency changes...
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Hanson, Samuel G., David O. Lucca, and Jonathan H. Wright. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 3 (August 2021): 1719–1781.
- June 2021
- Case
Modern Endowment Management: Paula Volent and the Bowdoin Endowment
By: Luis M. Viceira, Emily R. McComb and Dean Xu
This case examines modern endowment investment management through the lens of a leadership transition between Chief Investment Officers (CIOs). In March 2021, Paula Volent is about to step down as the CIO of the endowment of Bowdoin College after twenty-one years, and...
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Keywords:
Investment Portfolio;
Investment Banking;
Growth Management;
Investment Return;
Capital Markets;
Interest Rates;
Competition;
Cost Management;
Risk Management;
Financial Liquidity;
Performance Evaluation
Viceira, Luis M., Emily R. McComb, and Dean Xu. "Modern Endowment Management: Paula Volent and the Bowdoin Endowment." Harvard Business School Case 221-101, June 2021.
- April 2021
- Article
Evaluating Firm-Level Expected-Return Proxies: Implications for Estimating Treatment Effects
By: Charles M.C. Lee, Eric C. So and Charles C.Y. Wang
We introduce a parsimonious framework for choosing among alternative expected-return proxies (ERPs) when estimating treatment effects. By comparing ERPs’ measurement-error variances in the cross section and in time series, we provide new evidence on the relative...
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Keywords:
Implied Cost Of Capital;
Expected Returns;
Cost of Capital;
Investment Return;
Performance Evaluation
Lee, Charles M.C., Eric C. So, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Evaluating Firm-Level Expected-Return Proxies: Implications for Estimating Treatment Effects." Review of Financial Studies 34, no. 4 (April 2021): 1907–1951.
- 2019
- Working Paper
Real Exchange Rate Behavior: New Evidence from Matched Retail Goods
By: Alberto Cavallo, Brent Neiman and Roberto Rigobon
We use a dataset containing daily prices for thousands of matched retail products in nine countries to study tradable-goods real exchange rates. Prices were collected from the websites of large multi-channel retailers and then carefully matched into narrowly-defined...
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Keywords:
Purchasing Power Parity;
Online Prices;
Real Exchange Rate;
Macroeconomics;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Price;
Internet and the Web
Cavallo, Alberto, Brent Neiman, and Roberto Rigobon. "Real Exchange Rate Behavior: New Evidence from Matched Retail Goods." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-040, January 2019.
- 2019
- Article
More Amazon Effects: Online Competition and Pricing Behaviors
By: Alberto Cavallo
I study how online competition, with its shrinking margins, algorithmic pricing technologies, and the transparency of the web, can change the pricing behavior of large retailers in the U.S. and affect aggregate inflation dynamics. In particular, I show that in the past...
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Keywords:
Amazon;
Online Prices;
Inflation;
Uniform Pricing;
Price Stickiness;
Monetary Economics;
Economics;
Macroeconomics;
Inflation and Deflation;
System Shocks;
United States
Cavallo, Alberto. "More Amazon Effects: Online Competition and Pricing Behaviors." Jackson Hole Economic Symposium Conference Proceedings (Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City) (2019).
- 2019
- Working Paper
Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry
By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
This paper studies a novel, light-touch approach to aggregate judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and...
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Keywords:
Judgment Aggregation;
Creativity;
Film Entertainment;
Judgments;
Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen. "Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-082, January 2019. (Revised September 2019.)
- October 2018
- Case
The Proxy Fight at ADP
By: Robin Greenwood and E. Scott Mayfield
In July 2017, shares of Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) surged 12% following a report that the activist investor Bill Ackman had acquired a sizable stake in the company and planned to nominate his own slate of directors at the company’s annual meeting in...
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Greenwood, Robin, and E. Scott Mayfield. "The Proxy Fight at ADP." Harvard Business School Case 219-052, October 2018.
- November 2017
- Supplement
Winning (and Losing) the Olympics: Boston 2024 (B)
By: David Fubini, Ethan Bernstein, Mark Saadine, Sarah McAra and James Barnett
A summary of events that occurred after the (A) case, including Los Angeles winning nomination for the 2028 Olympics with assistance from Pagliuca and Boston 2024 bid material.
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Fubini, David, Ethan Bernstein, Mark Saadine, Sarah McAra, and James Barnett. "Winning (and Losing) the Olympics: Boston 2024 (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 418-029, November 2017.
- 2017
- Article
Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds
By: John Y. Campbell, Adi Sunderam and Luis M. Viceira
The covariance between U.S. Treasury bond returns and stock returns has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953–2009, it was unusually high in the early 1980s and negative in the 2000s, particularly in the downturns of...
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Campbell, John Y., Adi Sunderam, and Luis M. Viceira. "Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds." Critical Finance Review 6, no. 2 (2017): 263–301.
- April 2015 (Revised July 2015)
- Case
Proxy Access at Whole Foods
By: Jay Lorsch and Emily McTague
Proxy access grants shareholders meeting certain ownership requirements the right to nominate directors for election to the board without going through a typical proxy contest. In August 2010 the SEC approved a rule granting proxy access for shareholders meeting...
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Keywords:
Board Of Directors;
Proxy Advisor;
Shareholder Activism;
Shareholder Voting;
Shareholder Votes;
Proxy Battle;
Institutional Change;
Institutional Investing;
Business and Shareholder Relations;
Food and Beverage Industry;
North America
Lorsch, Jay, and Emily McTague. "Proxy Access at Whole Foods." Harvard Business School Case 415-073, April 2015. (Revised July 2015.)
- March 2015
- Article
Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates
By: Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the...
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Hanson, Samuel G., and Jeremy C. Stein. "Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates." Journal of Financial Economics 115, no. 3 (March 2015): 429–448.
- December 2014 (Revised November 2015)
- Case
Alibaba Goes Public (A)
In 2014 Alibaba debuted on the New York Stock Exchange, creating not only the largest IPO in history but this initial desire to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was denied due to the company's desire to preserve its partner's control over decision rights. Why did...
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Keywords:
Dual-class Share Structure;
Alibaba;
IPOs;
VIE;
Corporate Governance;
Financial Services Industry;
United States;
Hong Kong;
China
Palepu, Krishna, Suraj Srinivasan, Charles C.Y. Wang, and David Lane. "Alibaba Goes Public (A)." Harvard Business School Case 115-029, December 2014. (Revised November 2015.)
- Article
Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate
By: Alberto Cavallo, Brent Neiman and Roberto Rigobon
We use a novel dataset of online prices of identical goods sold by four large global retailers in dozens of countries to study good-level real exchange rates and their aggregated behavior. First, in contrast to the prior literature, we demonstrate that the law of one...
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Keywords:
Currency Union;
Law Of One Price;
International Prices;
Global Firm;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Price;
International Finance
Cavallo, Alberto, Brent Neiman, and Roberto Rigobon. "Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate." Quarterly Journal of Economics 129, no. 2 (May 2014): 529–595.
- November 2013 (Revised August 2015)
- Case
Janet Yellen and the Bernanke Fed
By: Matthew Weinzierl and Katrina Flanagan
The unelected Federal Reserve Chairman exerts exceptional influence over the U.S., in fact global, economy. As Janet Yellen prepared to take over the position, she would look back on Chairman Bernanke's tenure during the Great Recession. During that time, Bernanke was...
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Keywords:
Monetary Policy;
Nominal Rigidity And Aggregate Demand/Aggregate Supply;
Phillips Curve;
Taylor Rule;
Central Bank Independence;
Central Banking;
Money;
Policy;
Financial Crisis;
Power and Influence;
Banking Industry;
Public Administration Industry;
United States
Weinzierl, Matthew, and Katrina Flanagan. "Janet Yellen and the Bernanke Fed." Harvard Business School Case 714-030, November 2013. (Revised August 2015.)
- 2013
- Article
Inflated Applicants: Attribution Errors in Performance Evaluation by Professionals
By: S. A. Swift, D. Moore, Z. Sharek and F. Gino
When explaining others' behaviors, achievements, and failures, it is common for people to attribute too much influence to disposition and too little influence to structural and situational factors. We examine whether this tendency leads even experienced professionals...
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Keywords:
Evaluations;
Correspondence Bias;
Selection Decisions;
Attribution;
Prejudice and Bias;
Selection and Staffing;
Decision Choices and Conditions;
Performance Evaluation;
Cognition and Thinking
Swift, S. A., D. Moore, Z. Sharek, and F. Gino. "Inflated Applicants: Attribution Errors in Performance Evaluation by Professionals." e69258. PLoS ONE 8, no. 7 (July 2013).
- 2013
- Chapter
Who Chooses Board Members?
By: Ali Akyol and Lauren Cohen
We exploit a recent regulation passed by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to explore the nomination of board members to US publicly traded firms. In particular, we focus on firms’ use of executive search firms versus allowing internal members (often...
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Keywords:
Boards;
Boards Of Directors;
Executive Search Firms;
Governance;
SEC Regulation;
Governing and Advisory Boards;
Management Succession;
Executive Compensation
Akyol, Ali, and Lauren Cohen. "Who Chooses Board Members?" In Advances in Financial Economics, Vol. 16, edited by Kose John, Anil K. Makhija, and Stephen P. Ferris, 43–77. Emerald Group Publishing, 2013.
- Summer 2013
- Article
Real Estate Prices During the Roaring Twenties and the Great Depression
By: Tom Nicholas and Anna Scherbina
Using new data on market-based transactions we construct real estate price indexes for Manhattan between 1920 and 1939. During the 1920s prices reached their highest level in the third quarter of 1929 before falling by 67% at the end of 1932 and hovering around that...
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Keywords:
Property;
Market Transactions;
Price;
Value;
Financial Crisis;
Investment;
Real Estate Industry;
New York (state, US)
Nicholas, Tom, and Anna Scherbina. "Real Estate Prices During the Roaring Twenties and the Great Depression." Real Estate Economics 41, no. 2 (Summer 2013): 278–309.