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- 2023
- Working Paper
Design-Based Confidence Sequences: A General Approach to Risk Mitigation in Online Experimentation
By: Dae Woong Ham, Michael Lindon, Martin Tingley and Iavor I Bojinov
Randomized experiments have become the standard method for companies to evaluate the performance of new products or services. In addition to augmenting managers’ decision-making, experimentation mitigates risk by limiting the proportion of customers exposed to...
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Ham, Dae Woong, Michael Lindon, Martin Tingley, and Iavor I Bojinov. "Design-Based Confidence Sequences: A General Approach to Risk Mitigation in Online Experimentation." Harvard Business School Working Paper. (Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-070, May 2023.)
- 2023
- Working Paper
Location-Specificity and Geographic Competition for Remote Workers
By: Thomaz Teodorovicz, Prithwiraj Choudhury and Evan Starr
The precipitous growth of remote work has given rise to a new phenomenon: geographic competition between localities for the physical presence of remote workers. Remote workers with high general human capital may create value for their new destinations and reverse net...
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Teodorovicz, Thomaz, Prithwiraj Choudhury, and Evan Starr. "Location-Specificity and Geographic Competition for Remote Workers." Harvard Business School Working Paper. (Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-071, May 2023.)
- May–June 2023
- Article
Analytics for Marketers: When to Rely on Algorithms and When to Trust Your Gut
By: Fabrizio Fantini and Das Narayandas
Advanced analytics can help companies solve a host of management problems, including those related to marketing, sales, and supply-chain operations, which can lead to a sustainable competitive advantage. But as more data becomes available and advanced analytics are...
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Fantini, Fabrizio, and Das Narayandas. "Analytics for Marketers: When to Rely on Algorithms and When to Trust Your Gut." Harvard Business Review 101, no. 3 (May–June 2023): 82–91.
- June 2023
- Article
National Customer Orientation: An Empirical Test across 112 Countries
By: Ofer Mintz, Imran S. Currim and Rohit Deshpandé
Customer orientation is a central tenet of marketing. However, less is known about how customer orientation varies across countries and time. Mintz, Currim, and Deshpandé (Eur. J. Mark., 56: 1014–1041, 2022) propose a country-level construct, national customer...
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Mintz, Ofer, Imran S. Currim, and Rohit Deshpandé. "National Customer Orientation: An Empirical Test across 112 Countries." Marketing Letters 34, no. 2 (June 2023): 189–204.
- May–June 2023
- Article
Should Your Start-up Be For-profit or Nonprofit?: A Guide for Social Entrepreneurs
By: Cait Brumme and Brian Trelstad
Years ago the line between nonprofit and for-profit enterprises was clear, but that has changed. Nonprofits now offer products that compete with those of the best for-profits, and for-profits can deliver as much social value as charities. Despite the blurred...
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Keywords:
Business Startups;
Social Entrepreneurship;
Mission and Purpose;
Nonprofit Organizations;
For-Profit Firms;
Decision Choices and Conditions
Brumme, Cait, and Brian Trelstad. "Should Your Start-up Be For-profit or Nonprofit? A Guide for Social Entrepreneurs." Harvard Business Review 101, no. 3 (May–June 2023): 136–145.
- June 2023
- Article
Why Is Dollar Debt Cheaper? Evidence from Peru
By: Bryan Gutiérrez, Victoria Ivashina and Juliana Salomao
In emerging markets, a significant share of corporate loans are denominated in dollars. Using novel data that enables us to see currency and the cost of credit, in addition to several other transaction-level characteristics, we re-examine the reasons behind dollar...
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Keywords:
Emerging Market Corporate Debt;
Currency Mismatch;
Liability Dollarization;
Carry Trade;
Currency;
Emerging Markets;
Borrowing and Debt;
Interest Rates;
Peru
Gutiérrez, Bryan, Victoria Ivashina, and Juliana Salomao. "Why Is Dollar Debt Cheaper? Evidence from Peru." Journal of Financial Economics 148, no. 3 (June 2023): 245–272.
- 2023
- Article
Exploiting Discovered Regression Discontinuities to Debias Conditioned-on-observable Estimators
By: Benjamin Jakubowski, Siram Somanchi, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are widely used to estimate causal effects in the absence of a randomized experiment. However, standard approaches to RD analysis face two significant limitations. First, they require a priori knowledge of discontinuities in...
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Jakubowski, Benjamin, Siram Somanchi, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Exploiting Discovered Regression Discontinuities to Debias Conditioned-on-observable Estimators." Journal of Machine Learning Research 24, no. 133 (2023): 1–57.
- May 2023
- Teaching Note
TikTok and National Security: Investment in an Age of Data Sovereignty?
By: Jeremy Friedman
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 722-020.
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- 2023
- Working Paper
Setting Gendered Expectations? Recruiter Outreach Bias in Online Tech Training Programs
By: Jacqueline N. Lane, Karim R. Lakhani and Roberto Fernandez
Competence development in digital technologies, analytics, and artificial intelligence is increasingly important to all types of organizations and their workforce. Universities and corporations are investing heavily in developing training programs, at all tenure...
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Keywords:
STEM;
Selection and Staffing;
Gender;
Prejudice and Bias;
Training;
Equality and Inequality;
Competency and Skills
Lane, Jacqueline N., Karim R. Lakhani, and Roberto Fernandez. "Setting Gendered Expectations? Recruiter Outreach Bias in Online Tech Training Programs." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-066, April 2023. (Accepted by Organization Science.)
- May 2023
- Case
IBM’s Ginni Rometty: Leading with Good Power
By: Hubert Joly, Leonard A. Schlesinger and Stacy Straaberg
In March 2023, Virginia (Ginni) Rometty published Good Power: Leading Positive Change in our Lives, Work, and World, which covered her personal history and career at International Business Machines (IBM). Rometty was IBM’s ninth and first woman CEO from 2012–2020. Her...
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Keywords:
Transformation;
Acquisition;
Trends;
Gender;
Diversity;
Education;
Training;
Values and Beliefs;
Profit;
Revenue;
Leadership Style;
Leading Change;
Business or Company Management;
Negotiation;
Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact;
Mission and Purpose;
Organizational Change and Adaptation;
Organizational Culture;
Family and Family Relationships;
Business and Community Relations;
Business and Government Relations;
Business and Shareholder Relations;
Business and Stakeholder Relations;
Personal Characteristics;
Perspective;
Social Issues;
Adaptation;
Business Strategy;
Commercialization;
Competition;
Corporate Strategy;
Information Infrastructure;
Information Technology;
Health Industry;
Information Technology Industry;
Manufacturing Industry;
Service Industry;
Technology Industry;
New York (city, NY);
United States
- 2023
- Working Paper
Cryptocurrency Investing: Stimulus Checks and Inflation Expectations
By: Darren Aiello, Scott R. Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson and Jason Kotter
We provide a first look into the factors that affect retail investing in cryptocurrencies. We use consumer transaction data to examine how borrower characteristics, liquidity shocks, and hedging requirements shape crypto investment decisions of millions of U.S....
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Keywords:
Consumer Finance;
Cryptocurrency;
Fintech;
Inflation;
Portfolio Choice;
Stimulus;
Consumer Behavior;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Investment
Aiello, Darren, Scott R. Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson, and Jason Kotter. "Cryptocurrency Investing: Stimulus Checks and Inflation Expectations." Working Paper, May 2023.
- May 2023
- Article
Decarbonizing Health Care: Engaging Leaders in Change
By: Vivian S. Lee, Kathy Gerwig, Emily Hough, Kedar Mate, Robert Biggio and Robert S. Kaplan
Health care leaders are often surprised to learn that their operations contribute
significantly to a warming climate. In addition to their roles as responders to and victims
of extreme weather events, health care organizations have an obligation to reduce...
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Keywords:
Health Care;
Decarbonization;
Carbon Emissions;
Net-zero Emissions;
Climate Change;
Health Care and Treatment;
Health Industry
Lee, Vivian S., Kathy Gerwig, Emily Hough, Kedar Mate, Robert Biggio, and Robert S. Kaplan. "Decarbonizing Health Care: Engaging Leaders in Change." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 4, no. 5 (May 2023).
- 2023
- Working Paper
Detecting Structural Breaks in Inflation Trends: A High-Frequency Approach
By: Alberto Cavallo and Gaston Garcia Zavaleta
We combine standard structural-break methods with high-frequency data to identify shifts in inflation trends. We use this approach to study the inflation dynamics of 25 countries from January 2022 to April 2023 and find evidence of a broad-based slowdown in about half...
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Cavallo, Alberto, and Gaston Garcia Zavaleta. "Detecting Structural Breaks in Inflation Trends: A High-Frequency Approach." Working Paper, May 2023. (Preliminary draft.)
- May 2023
- Article
How Do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multi-Country Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates
By: Caroline Le Pennec and Vincent Pons
We use two-round survey data from 62 elections in 10 countries since 1952 to study the formation of vote choice, beliefs, and policy preferences and assess how televised debates contribute to this process. Our data include 253,000 observations. We compare the...
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Keywords:
Political Debates;
TV Debates;
Voting;
Political Elections;
Decision Choices and Conditions
Le Pennec, Caroline, and Vincent Pons. "How Do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multi-Country Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 138 (May 2023): 703–767.
- April 2023
- Case
Twitter: The Freedom to Speak Freely and Be Heard
By: Randolph B. Cohen, Carin-Isabel Knoop and Mel Martin
In April 2022, serial entrepreneur Elon Musk announced that he would be interested in purchasing the social media site Twitter for $44 billion. With more than 100 million twitter followers, Musk had historically leveraged the site to engage with the customers of his...
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- April 12, 2023
- Article
Using AI to Adjust Your Marketing and Sales in a Volatile World
By: Das Narayandas and Arijit Sengupta
Why are some firms better and faster than others at adapting their use of customer data to respond to changing or uncertain marketing conditions? A common thread across faster-acting firms is the use of AI models to predict outcomes at various stages of the customer...
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Keywords:
Forecasting and Prediction;
AI and Machine Learning;
Consumer Behavior;
Technology Adoption;
Competitive Advantage
Narayandas, Das, and Arijit Sengupta. "Using AI to Adjust Your Marketing and Sales in a Volatile World." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (April 12, 2023).
- April 6, 2023
- Article
A New NFT Launch Strategy: The Wave Mint
By: Scott Duke Kominers and 1337 Skulls Sers
In an NFT project, the mint—the process by which tokens are initially allocated—largely determines who your community is and how they and the broader market view the project going forward. In this piece, we review a new minting strategy recently introduced by 1337...
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Keywords:
NFTs;
Mechanism Design;
Sales Management;
Sales Model;
Crypto Economy;
Non-fungible Tokens;
Networks;
Product Launch;
Auctions;
Market Design
Kominers, Scott Duke, and 1337 Skulls Sers. "A New NFT Launch Strategy: The Wave Mint." a16zcrypto.com (April 6, 2023).
- April 2023
- Technical Note
An Art & A Science: How to Apply Design Thinking to Data Science Challenges
By: Michael Parzen, Eddie Lin, Douglas Ng and Jessie Li
We hear it all the time as managers: “what is the data that backs up your decisions?” Even local mom-and-pop shops now have access to complex point-of-sale systems that can closely track sales and customer data. Social media influencers have turned into seven-figure...
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Parzen, Michael, Eddie Lin, Douglas Ng, and Jessie Li. "An Art & A Science: How to Apply Design Thinking to Data Science Challenges." Harvard Business School Technical Note 623-070, April 2023.
- April 2023
- Case
Fizzy Fusion: When Data-Driven Decision Making Failed
By: Michael Parzen, Eddie Lin, Douglas Ng and Jessie Li
This is a case about a fictional New York beverage company called Fizzy Fusion. The business is facing supply chain and inventory management challenges with its new product, SparklingSip. Despite seeking help from a data science consulting firm, the machine learning...
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Keywords:
Supply Chain Management;
Production;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Analytics and Data Science;
Food and Beverage Industry
Parzen, Michael, Eddie Lin, Douglas Ng, and Jessie Li. "Fizzy Fusion: When Data-Driven Decision Making Failed." Harvard Business School Case 623-071, April 2023.
- April 5, 2023
- Article
We Need an Operation Warp Speed for Long COVID
By: Esther K. Choo and Scott Duke Kominers
With millions of people affected and at least $1 trillion of economic value at stake, long COVID is our next national health emergency.
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Keywords:
COVID;
COVID-19;
COVID-19 Pandemic;
Scientific Research;
Policy;
Health Policy;
Innovation;
Science;
Public Finance;
Public Health;
Health Disorders;
Health Care and Treatment;
Human Capital
Choo, Esther K., and Scott Duke Kominers. "We Need an Operation Warp Speed for Long COVID." Scientific American (website) (April 5, 2023).