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Skip to Main Content Cold Call A podcast featuring faculty discussing cases they've written and the lessons they impart. Subscribe on iTunes 29 Sep...
- 2020
- Chapter
Reserve Accumulation, Sovereign Debt, and Exchange Rate Policy
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
In the past decade, foreign participation in local-currency bond markets in emerging countries increased dramatically. Additionally, emerging countries are increasingly deviating from inflation targeting regimes, managing their exchange rate and engaging in...
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Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Reserve Accumulation, Sovereign Debt, and Exchange Rate Policy." In Asset Management at Central Banks and Monetary Authorities: New Practices in Managing International Foreign Exchange Reserves, edited by Jacob Bjorheim. Springer, 2020. (Book link.)
- 2019
- Working Paper
Undisclosed Debt Sustainability
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
Over the past decade, non–Paris Club creditors, notably China, have become an important source of financing for low- and middle-income countries. In contrast with typical sovereign debt, these lending arrangements are not public, and other creditors have no information...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Debt;
Transparency;
Sustainability;
sovereign finance;
Borrowing And Debt;
Information;
China
Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Undisclosed Debt Sustainability." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-043, September 2019.
- June 2019
- Article
Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
In the past decade, foreign participation in local-currency bond markets in emerging countries increased dramatically. We revisit sovereign debt sustainability under the assumptions that countries can accumulate reserves and borrow internationally using their own...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Debt;
Local-currency Bonds;
Foreign Reserves;
sovereign finance;
Borrowing And Debt;
Bonds;
Financial Markets;
Developing Countries And Economies
Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Debt Redemption and Reserve Accumulation." IMF Economic Review 67, no. 2 (June 2019): 261–287. (Also NBER Working Paper No. 19098.)
- February 2018
- Case
Infrastructure in Nigeria: Unlocking Pension Fund Investments
By: John Macomber and Pippa Tubman Armerding
The so-called “infrastructure finance gap” was a problem in Nigeria as in many parts of the world. Infrastructure projects like power plants and dams were very large capital investments that could generate long-term consistent cash flows, but their financing and...
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Keywords:
Pension Fund Investing;
Infrastucture;
Emerging Markets;
Power/energy;
Credit Enhancement;
Infrastructure;
Project finance;
Investment Funds;
Emerging Markets;
Nigeria;
Africa
Macomber, John, and Pippa Tubman Armerding. "Infrastructure in Nigeria: Unlocking Pension Fund Investments." Harvard Business School Case 218-071, February 2018.
- February 2018
- Article
Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
By the end of 2013, the share of government debt held by the domestic banking sectors of Eurozone countries was more than twice its 2007 level. We show that this type of increasing reliance on the domestic banking sector for absorbing government bonds generates a...
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Keywords:
Credit Cycles;
Sovereign Debt;
Financial Repression;
sovereign finance;
Borrowing And Debt;
Credit;
Europe
Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis." Review of Finance 22, no. 1 (February 2018): 83–115.
- 2017
- Chapter
High Stakes Negotiation: Indian Gaming and Tribal/State Compacts
By: Gavin Clarkson and James K. Sebenius
Although Indian tribes and the surrounding states were often bitter enemies throughout much of the history of the United States, recently tribes and states have been able to work cooperatively in a number of areas. In some instances, Congress has mandated such...
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Keywords:
Indian Gaming;
Negotiation;
Regulation;
Tribal Sovereignty;
sovereign finance;
Negotiation Participants;
Relationships;
Cooperation;
Connecticut
Clarkson, Gavin, and James K. Sebenius. "High Stakes Negotiation: Indian Gaming and Tribal/State Compacts." Chap. 8 in American Indian Business: Principles and Practices, edited by Deanna M. Kennedy, Charles Harrington, Amy Klemm Verbos, Daniel Stewart, Joseph Gladstone, and Gavin Clarkson, 130–161. Seattle: University of Washington Press, 2017.
- April 2017 (Revised February 2020)
- Case
Restructuring Ukraine
By: Kristin Mugford, Seema Amble and Tian Feng
In June 2015, Ukraine found itself struggling with a volatile and devalued currency, dramatically diminished foreign reserves, and a projected financing shortfall of $40 billion. Ukraine’s new government sought to return the nation to stability following political...
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Keywords:
Exchange Rates;
Politics;
Macroeconomics;
Financial Crisis;
Insolvency And Bankruptcy;
Restructuring;
Economy;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Banks And Banking;
Economic Slowdown And Stagnation;
Bonds;
sovereign finance;
Capital Markets;
Credit;
Debt Securities;
Financial Liquidity;
Financial Markets;
Government And Politics;
Ukraine
Mugford, Kristin, Seema Amble, and Tian Feng. "Restructuring Ukraine." Harvard Business School Case 217-049, April 2017. (Revised February 2020.)
- Article
Market Reactions to Sovereign Litigation
By: Faisal Z. Ahmed and Laura Alfaro
Recent rulings in the ongoing litigation over the pari passu clause in Argentinian sovereign debt instruments have generated considerable controversy. Some official-sector participants and academic articles have suggested that the rulings will disrupt or impede...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Debt;
Litigation;
Vulture Funds;
Argentina;
sovereign finance;
Lawsuits And Litigation;
Markets;
Argentina
Ahmed, Faisal Z., and Laura Alfaro. "Market Reactions to Sovereign Litigation." Capital Markets Law Journal 12, no. 2 (April 2017): 141–163.
- March 2017 (Revised June 2019)
- Case
Mubadala and EBX: To X or to X It?
By: Nori Gerardo Lietz, Ricardo Andrade and Sayiddah Fatima McCree
In April 2012, Mubadala, Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund invested $2 billion in Brazilian conglomerate EBX, believing the company to be undervalued by the public markets. Shortly thereafter, however, EBX and its multiple business lines began to spiral downward. Hani...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Wealth Funds;
Conglomerates;
Investing;
Corporate Structure;
International;
sovereign finance;
Business Conglomerates;
Investment;
financing And Loans;
Restructuring;
Organizational Structure;
Economy;
Brazil;
Abu Dhabi
Lietz, Nori Gerardo, Ricardo Andrade, and Sayiddah Fatima McCree. "Mubadala and EBX: To X or to X It?" Harvard Business School Case 217-065, March 2017. (Revised June 2019.)
- October 2016
- Technical Note
Sovereign Wealth Funds
By: Sophus A. Reinert and Julie Kheyfets
Reinert, Sophus A., and Julie Kheyfets. "Sovereign Wealth Funds." Harvard Business School Technical Note 717-003, October 2016.
- 2019
- Working Paper
Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
Recurrent concerns over debt sustainability in emerging and developed nations have prompted renewed debate on the role of fiscal rules. Their optimality, however, remains unclear. We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of sovereign debt...
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Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-134, June 2016. (Also NBER Working Paper w23370. Revised January 2019.)
- February 2016
- Case
Debt and Democracy: The New York Constitutional Convention of 1846
By: David Moss and Dean Grodzins
On September 23, 1846, delegates to New York State's constitutional convention prepared to vote on a proposal that its principal proponent, Michael Hoffman, conceded would be “a serious change in our form of government.” The proposal would place tight restrictions on...
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- Editorial
How to Turn Around a Country
By: Paul Kazarian and George Serafeim
Change is hard. Especially trying to change an entire country and its public sector that consists of more than 650,000 employees and has an annual budget of approximately 80 billion euros. This is the case of Greece, once the fastest-growing eurozone country, which has...
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Keywords:
Greece;
Europe;
European Union;
Turnaround;
Accounting;
Accountability;
Economic Growth;
Leadership;
Change;
sovereign finance;
Leadership;
Corporate Accountability;
Public Sector;
Accounting;
Economic Growth;
Change;
European Union;
Greece
Kazarian, Paul, and George Serafeim. "How to Turn Around a Country." Kathimerini (January 19, 2016).
- August 2015
- Article
A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity
By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
We study optimal government debt maturity in a model where investors derive monetary services from holding riskless short-term securities. In a setting where the government is the only issuer of such riskless paper, it trades off the monetary premium associated with...
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Jeremy C. Stein. "A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity." Journal of Finance 70, no. 4 (August 2015): 1683–1722. (2015 Brattle Group Distinguished Paper for an outstanding corporate finance paper published in the Journal of Finance. Internet Appendix Here.)
- July 6, 2015
- Editorial
Lessons From Greece as Controversial Finance Minister Exits
By: George Serafeim
Keywords:
Europe;
Eurozone;
finance;
Leadership;
sovereign finance;
Leadership;
European Union;
Greece
Serafeim, George. "Lessons From Greece as Controversial Finance Minister Exits." Time.com (July 6, 2015). (Editorial.)
- March–April 2015
- Article
The Almighty Ruble
By: D. L. Spar
At 1 AM Moscow time on December 16, Russia's central bank announced a massive hike in the country's interest rate, from 10.5% to 17%. It's not clear how Russian leader Vladimir Putin and his colleagues could realistically have expected to achieve anything by hiking the...
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Spar, D. L. "The Almighty Ruble." Foreign Policy 211 (March–April 2015).
- October 2014
- Article
Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances
By: Laura Alfaro, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Vadym Volosovych
We construct measures of net private and public capital flows for a large cross-section of developing countries considering both creditor and debtor side of the international debt transactions. Using these measures, we demonstrate that sovereign-to-sovereign...
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Keywords:
Current Account;
Aid/government Debt;
Reserves;
Puzzles;
Productivity;
sovereign finance;
Developing Countries And Economies;
Macroeconomics
Alfaro, Laura, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, and Vadym Volosovych. "Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances." Journal of the European Economic Association 12, no. 5 (October 2014): 1240–1284. (Also NBER Working Paper 17396. Online Appendix.
See International capital flows database for the data on measures of net private and public capital flows for a large cross-section of developing countries.)
- June 2014
- Article
Frictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Funds
By: Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam
We document the consequences of money market fund risk taking during the European sovereign debt crisis. Using a novel data set of security-level holdings of prime money market funds, we show that funds with large exposures to risky Eurozone banks suffered significant...
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Chernenko, Sergey, and Adi Sunderam. "Frictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Funds." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 6 (June 2014): 1717–1750.
- 2014
- Working Paper
Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
By the end of 2013, the share of government debt held by the domestic banking sectors of Eurozone countries was more than twice its 2007 level. We show that this type of increasing reliance on the domestic banking sector for absorbing government bonds generates a...
View Details
Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis." Working Paper, April 2014.
- April 2013 (Revised February 2018)
- Case
Norway: The Embarrassment of Riches
In early 2013, Norway was by many accounts the world’s most developed country; it topped various indices for everything from democracy to happiness, had a comprehensive welfare state, and massive oil revenues endowed it with a substantial, and growing, Sovereign Wealth...
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Keywords:
Sovereign Wealth Funds;
Welfare State;
Natural Resources;
Internationalization;
Dutch Disease;
Happiness;
Macroeconomics;
Energy Sources;
Values And Beliefs;
sovereign finance;
Immigration;
Welfare;
Energy Industry;
Norway
Reinert, Sophus A. "Norway: The Embarrassment of Riches." Harvard Business School Case 713-061, April 2013. (Revised February 2018.)
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Skip to Main Content Cold Call A podcast featuring faculty discussing cases they've written and the lessons they impart. Subscribe on iTunes 29 Sep...