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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (105)
      • Faculty Publications  (42)

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      • September 2022 (Revised January 2023)
      • Case

      Bear to Bull: An Analyst’s Journey with Netflix

      By: Aiyesha Dey, Joseph Pacelli, Jennifer G. Lawson and Tom Quinn
      Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter said “hell freezing over” was more likely than him upgrading the “sell” rating he had maintained on movie and television streaming giant Netflix since 2011, despite meteoric subscriber and share price growth. In 2022, however,...  View Details
      Keywords: Accounting; Asset Pricing; Cash Flow; Investment; Stocks; Equity; Analysis; Attitudes; Financial Services Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; United States
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      Dey, Aiyesha, Joseph Pacelli, Jennifer G. Lawson, and Tom Quinn. "Bear to Bull: An Analyst’s Journey with Netflix." Harvard Business School Case 123-001, September 2022. (Revised January 2023.)
      • September 2022
      • Article

      Human Versus Machine: A Comparison of Robo-Analyst and Traditional Research Analyst Investment Recommendations

      By: Braiden Coleman, Kenneth J. Merkley and Joseph Pacelli
      We provide the first comprehensive analysis of the properties of investment recommendations generated by “Robo-Analysts,” which are human analyst-assisted computer programs conducting automated research analysis. Our results indicate that Robo-Analyst recommendations...  View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; Analysts; Robo-analysts; Investment Recommendations; Investment; Information Technology; Performance
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      Coleman, Braiden, Kenneth J. Merkley, and Joseph Pacelli. "Human Versus Machine: A Comparison of Robo-Analyst and Traditional Research Analyst Investment Recommendations." Accounting Review 97, no. 5 (September 2022): 221–244.
      • 2021
      • Article

      An Empirical Examination of Sell-Side Brokerage Analysts' Published Research, Concierge Services, and High-Touch Services

      By: David A. Maber, Boris Groysberg and Paul M. Healy
      This paper uses a proprietary panel dataset to categorize and quantify the activities that sell-side brokerage analysts use to build and sustain their network of buy-side client relations. We then examine the marginal impact of these activities on key analyst outcome...  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Ratings; Brokerage Commissions; Earnings Forecasts
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      Maber, David A., Boris Groysberg, and Paul M. Healy. "An Empirical Examination of Sell-Side Brokerage Analysts' Published Research, Concierge Services, and High-Touch Services." European Accounting Review 30, no. 4 (2021): 827–853.
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      Out of Balance: Do Analysts Issue Sell Recommendations to Manage their Recommendation Distributions?

      By: Joseph Pacelli, Charles Chao Kang, Kenneth J. Merkley and Roni Michaely
      The lack of objectivity and positive bias in sell-side equity recommendations is an ongoing concern for security regulators and investors. We examine whether analysts attempt to alleviate this concern by maintaining a more balanced distribution of investment...  View Details
      Keywords: Investment Banking; Analysis; Operations; Stocks
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      Pacelli, Joseph, Charles Chao Kang, Kenneth J. Merkley, and Roni Michaely. "Out of Balance: Do Analysts Issue Sell Recommendations to Manage their Recommendation Distributions?" Working Paper, February 2021.
      • September 2020
      • Article

      Analyst Forecast Bundling

      By: Michael Drake, Peter Joos, Joseph Pacelli and Brady Twedt
      Changing economic conditions over the past two decades have created incentives for sell-side analysts to both provide their institutional clients tiered services and to streamline their written research process. One manifestation of these changes is an increased...  View Details
      Keywords: Analysts; Earnings Forecasts; Forecast Accuracy; Forecast Bundling; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Drake, Michael, Peter Joos, Joseph Pacelli, and Brady Twedt. "Analyst Forecast Bundling." Management Science 66, no. 9 (September 2020): 4024–4046.
      • Article

      Cultural Diversity on Wall Street: Evidence from Consensus Earnings Forecasts

      By: Kenneth Merkley, Roni Michaely and Joseph Pacelli
      We examine how cultural differences among agents influence the aggregate outcome of a common forecasting task. Using both exogenous shocks to sell-side analyst diversity and panel regression methods, we find that increases in analyst cultural diversity positively...  View Details
      Keywords: Culture; Forecasting; Sell-side Analysts; Information Aggregation; Diversity; Forecasting and Prediction; Information; Performance Improvement
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      Merkley, Kenneth, Roni Michaely, and Joseph Pacelli. "Cultural Diversity on Wall Street: Evidence from Consensus Earnings Forecasts." Journal of Accounting & Economics 70, no. 1 (August 2020).
      • June 2018 (Revised October 2018)
      • Teaching Note

      Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A), (B), and (C)

      By: Marco Di Maggio and Benjamin C. Esty
      Teaching Note for HBS Nos. 218-095, 218-096, and 218-116.  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Underwriters; Investment Banking; Social Network; Discounted Cash Flow; Cost Of Capital; Conflicts Of Interest; Corporate Governance; Advertising; Quiet Period; Business Startups; Digital Marketing; Initial Public Offering; Information Infrastructure; Valuation; Venture Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Social Media; Advertising Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Web Services Industry; United States; California
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      Di Maggio, Marco, and Benjamin C. Esty. "Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A), (B), and (C)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 218-101, June 2018. (Revised October 2018.)
      • June 2018 (Revised April 2021)
      • Supplement

      Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period

      By: Benjamin C. Esty, Marco Di Maggio and Greg Saldutte
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Underwriters; Investment Banking; Social Network; Discounted Cash Flow; Cost Of Capital; Conflicts Of Interest; Corporate Governance; Advertising; Quiet Period; Business Startups; Digital Marketing; Initial Public Offering; Information Infrastructure; Valuation; Venture Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Social Media; United States; California
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      Esty, Benjamin C., Marco Di Maggio, and Greg Saldutte. "Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 218-726, June 2018. (Revised April 2021.)
      • June 2018 (Revised April 2021)
      • Case

      Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A)

      By: Marco Di Maggio, Benjamin C. Esty and Gregory Saldutte
      Snap, the disappearing message app, went public at $17 per share on March 2, 2017, making its two 20-something founders the youngest self-made billionaires in the country. Over the next three weeks, 14 analysts made investment recommendations on Snap: two with buy...  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Underwriters; Investment Banking; Social Network; Discounted Cash Flow; Cost Of Capital; Conflicts Of Interest; Corporate Governance; Advertising; Quiet Period; "DCF Valuation,"; Business Startups; Digital Marketing; Initial Public Offering; Information Infrastructure; Valuation; Venture Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Social Media; Advertising Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Web Services Industry; United States; California
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      Di Maggio, Marco, Benjamin C. Esty, and Gregory Saldutte. "Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A)." Harvard Business School Case 218-095, June 2018. (Revised April 2021.)
      • June 2018
      • Supplement

      Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (B)

      By: Marco Di Maggio and Benjamin C. Esty
      Analyzes Snap’s value and analyst recommendations following the events described in the (A) case.  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Underwriters; Investment Banking; Social Network; Discounted Cash Flow; Cost Of Capital; Conflicts Of Interest; Corporate Governance; Advertising; Quiet Period; Business Startups; Digital Marketing; Initial Public Offering; Information Infrastructure; Valuation; Venture Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Social Media; Advertising Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Web Services Industry; United States; California
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      Di Maggio, Marco, and Benjamin C. Esty. "Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 218-096, June 2018.
      • June 2018
      • Supplement

      Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (C)

      By: Marco Di Maggio, Benjamin C. Esty and Gregory Saldutte
      Analyzes Snap’s value and analyst recommendations following the events described in the (B) case.  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Underwriters; Investment Banking; Social Network; Discounted Cash Flow; Cost Of Capital; Conflicts Of Interest; Corporate Governance; Advertising; Quiet Period; Business Startups; Digital Marketing; Initial Public Offering; Information Infrastructure; Valuation; Venture Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Social Media; Advertising Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Web Services Industry; United States; California
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      Di Maggio, Marco, Benjamin C. Esty, and Gregory Saldutte. "Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (C)." Harvard Business School Supplement 218-116, June 2018.
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      Government Shareholdings in Brokerage Firms and Analyst Research Quality

      By: Sheng Cao, Xianjie He, Charles C.Y. Wang and Huifang Yin
      During times when the Chinese government wished to prop up the market, sell-side analysts from brokerages with significant government ownership issued relatively less pessimistic (or more optimistic) earnings forecasts, earnings-forecast revisions, and stock...  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Forecast Optimism; Forecast Accuracy; Government Incentives; Stocks; Forecasting and Prediction; Business and Government Relations; Emerging Markets
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      Cao, Sheng, Xianjie He, Charles C.Y. Wang, and Huifang Yin. "Government Shareholdings in Brokerage Firms and Analyst Research Quality." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-095, March 2018. (Revised June 2021.)
      • Article

      Does the Scope of the Sell-Side Analyst Industry Matter? An Examination of Bias, Accuracy, and Information Content of Analyst Reports

      By: Kenneth Merkley, Roni Michaely and Joseph Pacelli
      We examine changes in the scope of the sell-side analyst industry and whether these changes impact information dissemination and the quality of analysts’ reports. Our findings suggest that changes in the number of analysts covering an industry impact analyst...  View Details
      Keywords: Analyst Industry; Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Reports; Finance; Analysis; Information; Reports; Quality; Financial Services Industry
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      Merkley, Kenneth, Roni Michaely, and Joseph Pacelli. "Does the Scope of the Sell-Side Analyst Industry Matter? An Examination of Bias, Accuracy, and Information Content of Analyst Reports." Journal of Finance 72, no. 3 (June 2017): 1285–1334.
      • April–May 2017
      • Article

      Career Concerns of Banking Analysts

      By: Joanne Horton, George Serafeim and Shan Wu
      We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their forecasting behavior benefits both them and bank managers. We show that banking analysts issue early in the year relatively more optimistic and later in the year more pessimistic forecasts...  View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Forecasts; Analysts; Investment Recommendations; Career Advancement; Career Management; Labor Mobility; Labor Market; Prejudice and Bias; Personal Development and Career; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Banking
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      Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu. "Career Concerns of Banking Analysts." Journal of Accounting & Economics 63, nos. 2-3 (April–May 2017): 231–252.
      • January 2017
      • Supplement

      Q&A: Ghislain de Charentenay, Sanford C. Bernstein Director of Research, Asia

      By: Linda A. Hill and Allison J. Wigen
      In this video supplement to the HBS case series "Sanford C. Bernstein Goes to Asia," case protagonist Ghislain de Charentenay recalls his leadership priorities and challenges upon being appointed director of research in Asia.  View Details
      Keywords: Talent Management; Sell-side Analysts; Organizational Behavior; Leadership And Managing People; Leadership, Personal Strategy & Style; Leadership Style; Asia; Hong Kong; Collaboration; Leadership; Organizational Culture; Talent and Talent Management; Financial Services Industry; Asia; Hong Kong
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      Hill, Linda A., and Allison J. Wigen. "Q&A: Ghislain de Charentenay, Sanford C. Bernstein Director of Research, Asia." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Supplement 417-707, January 2017.
      • Article

      Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates

      By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
      We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of...  View Details
      Keywords: Analyst Forecasts; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Joos, Peter R., Joseph D. Piotroski, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates." Journal of Financial Economics 121, no. 3 (September 2016): 645–663.
      • July 2015
      • Article

      The Impact of Corporate Social Responsibility on Investment Recommendations: Analysts' Perceptions and Shifting Institutional Logics

      By: Ioannis Ioannou and George Serafeim
      We explore the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) ratings on sell-side analysts' assessments of firms' future financial performance. We suggest that when analysts perceive CSR as an agency cost, due to the prevalence of an agency logic, they produce...  View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Social Responsibility; Analysts; Investment Recommendations; Sustainability; Institutional Logics; Environment; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Investment; Corporate Governance; United States
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      Ioannou, Ioannis, and George Serafeim. "The Impact of Corporate Social Responsibility on Investment Recommendations: Analysts' Perceptions and Shifting Institutional Logics." Strategic Management Journal 36, no. 7 (July 2015): 1053–1081.
      • June 5, 2015
      • Article

      How Banking Analysts' Biases Benefit Everyone Except Investors

      By: George Serafeim, Joanne Horton and Shan Wu
      Keywords: Banking; Sell-side Analysts; Financial Analysis; Financial Analysts; Career Management; Career Advancement; Labor Market; Prejudice and Bias; Investment Banking; Personal Development and Career
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      Serafeim, George, Joanne Horton, and Shan Wu. "How Banking Analysts' Biases Benefit Everyone Except Investors." Harvard Business Review (website) (June 5, 2015).
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      Client Service, Compensation, and the Sell-Side Analyst Objective Function: An Empirical Analysis of Relational Incentives in the Investment-Research Industry

      By: David A. Maber, Boris Groysberg and Paul M. Healy
      This paper investigates how sell-side analysts build and sustain their client networks; the economic gains to successfully managing this challenge; and the metrics through which these incentives are delivered. In a typical semiannual period, the average analyst...  View Details
      Keywords: Networks; Measurement and Metrics; Operations; Customer Focus and Relationships; Jobs and Positions
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      Maber, David A., Boris Groysberg, and Paul M. Healy. "Client Service, Compensation, and the Sell-Side Analyst Objective Function: An Empirical Analysis of Relational Incentives in the Investment-Research Industry." Working Paper, 2015.
      • October 2014 (Revised September 2015)
      • Case

      Sanford C. Bernstein Goes to Asia

      By: Linda A. Hill, Dana M. Teppert and Allison J. Wigen
      Sanford C. Bernstein, a premier sell-side research firm, is expanding globally. Three years after launching Bernstein's Asian business, senior management has appointed Ghislain de Charentenay, a six-year sales veteran of the firm, as director of Asian research in Hong...  View Details
      Keywords: Collaboration; Talent Management; Leadership; Talent and Talent Management; Organizational Design; Emerging Markets; Globalization; Hong Kong
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      Hill, Linda A., Dana M. Teppert, and Allison J. Wigen. "Sanford C. Bernstein Goes to Asia." Harvard Business School Case 415-037, October 2014. (Revised September 2015.)
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