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- 2023
- Working Paper
Summarizing the Mental Customer Journey
By: Julian De Freitas, Ahmet Uğuralp, Zeliha Uğuralp, Pechthida Kim and Tomer Ullman
How do consumers summarize and act on their experiences, as when deciding whether an interaction with a firm was satisfying and whether to buy from it? Previous work on the summary of continuous experiences has tended to focus on a handful of experience patterns and...
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Keywords:
Customer Experience;
Customer Journey;
Natural Language Processing;
Summarization;
Customer Satisfaction;
Outcome or Result;
Decision Choices and Conditions
De Freitas, Julian, Ahmet Uğuralp, Zeliha Uğuralp, Pechthida Kim, and Tomer Ullman. "Summarizing the Mental Customer Journey." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-038, January 2023.
- 2022
- Working Paper
Hidden Alpha
By: Lauren Cohen, Manuel Amman, Alexander Cochardt and Stephan Heller
Using the setting of financial agents, we explore the importance of hidden connections relative
to all other network connections. We find that hidden connections are those associated with
the largest and most significant abnormal returns accruing to fund managers—on...
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Cohen, Lauren, Manuel Amman, Alexander Cochardt, and Stephan Heller. "Hidden Alpha." Working Paper, 2022.
- Working Paper
Diversification as an Adaptive Learning Process: An Empirical Study of General-Purpose and Market-Specific Technological Know-How in New Market Entry
By: Dominika Kinga Randle and Gary P. Pisano
An enduring trait of modern corporations is their propensity to diversify into multiple lines of business. Penrosian theories conceptualize diversification as a strategy to exploit a firm’s fungible, yet “untradeable,” resources and point to redeployment of...
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Keywords:
Growth and Development Strategy;
Technology Adoption;
Diversification;
Market Entry and Exit;
Transformation
Randle, Dominika Kinga, and Gary P. Pisano. "Diversification as an Adaptive Learning Process: An Empirical Study of General-Purpose and Market-Specific Technological Know-How in New Market Entry." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-032, December 2022.
- December 7, 2022
- Article
Why Decentralized Crypto Platforms Are Weathering the Crash
By: Shai Bernstein and Scott Duke Kominers
In the past year, crypto markets dropped from $2.9 trillion in value to around $800 billion. In the wake of the collapse, crypto lenders and exchanges have been accused of fraud and other wrongdoing. What went wrong? One factor is competition. In theory, competition...
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Keywords:
Crypto Economy;
Cryptocurrency;
Financial Complexity;
Financial Crisis;
Decentralization;
Decentralized Markets;
Decentralized Autonomous Organizations;
Finance;
Market Design;
Financial Services Industry
Bernstein, Shai, and Scott Duke Kominers. "Why Decentralized Crypto Platforms Are Weathering the Crash." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (December 7, 2022).
- 2022
- Working Paper
Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads
By: Samuel G. Hanson, Aytek Malkhozov and Gyuri Venter
We develop and test a model in which swap spreads are determined by end users' demand for and constrained intermediaries' supply of long-term interest rate swaps. Swap spreads reflect compensation both for using scarce intermediary capital and for bearing convergence...
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Hanson, Samuel G., Aytek Malkhozov, and Gyuri Venter. "Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads." Working Paper, December 2022.
- 2022
- Working Paper
The Disappearing Index Effect
By: Robin Greenwood and Marco Sammon
The abnormal return associated with a stock being added to the S&P 500 has fallen from an average of 3.4% in the 1980s and 7.6% in the 1990s to 0.8% over the past decade. This has occurred despite a significant increase in the percentage of stock market assets linked...
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Greenwood, Robin, and Marco Sammon. "The Disappearing Index Effect." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-025, December 2022.
- November 2022
- Case
Goonj: Growing in the Face of a Pandemic
By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Priyank Narayan
Founded by the husband and wife team of Anshu and Meenakshi Gupta in 1999, Goonj had quickly emerged as one of the leading disaster relief and rural development organizations in India. Their main mode of development was through providing a clothing kit to the village...
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- November 2022 (Revised December 2022)
- Case
Ava Labs: Navigating the Next Blockchain
By: Marco Di Maggio and Wenyao Sha
John Wu, President of Ava Labs, the primary developer of the Avalanche blockchain, and Emin Gün Sirer, the software company’s Founder and CEO, team up to develop a lending and borrowing protocol that would jumpstart the Decentralized finance (DeFi) economy on...
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Keywords:
Blockchain;
Decentralized Finance;
Alternative Assets;
Financial Instruments;
Assets;
Decisions;
Financing and Loans;
Technology Industry;
Financial Services Industry
Di Maggio, Marco, and Wenyao Sha. "Ava Labs: Navigating the Next Blockchain." Harvard Business School Case 223-027, November 2022. (Revised December 2022.)
- 2022
- White Paper
The Options Multiplier: Decoding the CareerWise Youth Apprentice Journey
By: Joseph B. Fuller, Rachel Lipson, Farah Mallah, Girish Pendse and Rachel Snyder
As more Americans question the appeal of costly
higher education programs, earn-and-learn models,
like apprenticeship, are attracting increasing
attention from policymakers and employers alike. While apprenticeship is widespread in many
parts of Europe,...
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Keywords:
Apprenticeship;
Higher Education;
Training;
Personal Development and Career;
Cost vs Benefits;
Success;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms
Fuller, Joseph B., Rachel Lipson, Farah Mallah, Girish Pendse, and Rachel Snyder. "The Options Multiplier: Decoding the CareerWise Youth Apprentice Journey." White Paper, Project on Workforce at Harvard, November 2022.
- 2022
- Working Paper
How Do Investors Value ESG?
By: Malcolm Baker, Mark Egan and Suproteem K. Sarkar
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) objectives have risen to near the top of the agenda for corporate executives and boards, driven in large part by their perceptions of shareholder interest. We quantify the value that shareholders place on ESG using a revealed...
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Keywords:
Investment;
Investment Portfolio;
Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact;
Business and Shareholder Relations;
Environmental Sustainability;
Governance;
Financial Services Industry;
United States
Baker, Malcolm, Mark Egan, and Suproteem K. Sarkar. "How Do Investors Value ESG?" NBER Working Paper Series, No. 30708, December 2022. (Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-028, November 2022.)
- October 2022
- Case
Single.Earth
By: Rembrand Koning and Emer Moloney
Estonian greentech company Single.Earth is launching a nature-backed token that is linked to and funds the protection of a specific plot fo land. The first landowners had been onboarded to the company's Digital Twin, a virtual representation of the planet's natural...
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Keywords:
Alternative Assets;
Business Startups;
Entrepreneurship;
Climate Change;
Environmental Sustainability;
Green Technology;
Natural Resources;
Pollution;
Analytics and Data Science;
Marketing;
Product Marketing;
Product Launch;
Product Positioning;
Markets;
Market Timing;
Strategy;
Green Technology Industry;
Estonia
- October 2022
- Case
Founders First Capital Partners
By: Brian Trelstad, Mel Martin and Amy Klopfenstein
In June 2021, Kim T. Folsom, the founder and CEO of revenue-based financing firm Founders First Capital Partners (FFCP), must decide whether to issue another loan to OnShore Technology Group, an up-and-coming software validation company. FFCP provided revenue-based...
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Keywords:
Finance;
Financial Instruments;
Financing and Loans;
Interest Rates;
Investment Return;
Revenue;
Capital;
Financial Services Industry;
North and Central America;
United States
Trelstad, Brian, Mel Martin, and Amy Klopfenstein. "Founders First Capital Partners." Harvard Business School Case 323-013, October 2022.
- October 2022
- Case
Star Magnolia Capital: Becoming Experts at Finding Experts
By: Lauren Cohen, Hao Gao, River Ewing and Grace Headinger
Shinya Deguchi, Founder and Managing Partner of Star Magnolia Capital, a Shanghai-based multi-family office (MFO), considered how to convince a new prospective family that the MFO’s endowment model approach would best suit their needs. In recent decades, there has been...
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Keywords:
China;
Asia;
Family Office;
Shanghai;
Financial Industry;
Asset Management;
Financial Instruments;
Financial Management;
Financial Strategy;
Investment;
Investment Return;
Investment Portfolio;
Human Capital;
Family Business;
Financial Services Industry;
China;
Shanghai
Cohen, Lauren, Hao Gao, River Ewing, and Grace Headinger. "Star Magnolia Capital: Becoming Experts at Finding Experts." Harvard Business School Case 223-038, October 2022.
- October 2022 (Revised December 2022)
- Case
Aphro Beverages
By: Frank V. Cespedes and Amram Migdal
This case focuses on distribution, sales, and product decisions as Aphro Beverages reaches an inflection point in its growth trajectory. In 2020, Aphro Beverages, based in Accra, Ghana, successfully launched its brand and brought two new alcoholic spirits products to...
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Keywords:
Agribusiness;
Plant-Based Agribusiness;
Business Ventures;
Business Growth and Maturation;
Entrepreneurship;
Food;
Geography;
Geographic Scope;
Management;
Growth and Development Strategy;
Growth Management;
Resource Allocation;
Marketing;
Brands and Branding;
Digital Marketing;
Product Marketing;
Product Launch;
Product Positioning;
Social Marketing;
Operations;
Distribution;
Distribution Channels;
Product;
Product Design;
Product Development;
Supply Chain;
Sales;
Salesforce Management;
Food and Beverage Industry;
Africa;
Ghana
- Article
Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds
We use a revealed-preference approach to estimate investor expectations of stock market returns. Using data on demand for index funds that follow the S&P 500, we develop and estimate a model of investor choice to flexibly recover the time-varying distribution of...
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Keywords:
Stock Market Expectations;
Demand Estimation;
Exchange-traded Funds (ETFs);
Demand and Consumers;
Investment
Egan, Mark, Alexander J. MacKay, and Hanbin Yang. "Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds." Review of Economic Studies 89, no. 5 (October 2022): 2559–2599.
- 2022
- Working Paper
Segmented Arbitrage
We use arbitrage activity in equity, fixed income, and foreign exchange markets to characterize the frictions and constraints facing intermediaries. The average pairwise correlation between the 29 arbitrage spreads that we study is 21%. These low correlations are...
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Keywords:
Financial Intermediation;
Arbitrage;
Intermediary-based Asset Pricing;
Finance;
Segmentation
Siriwardane, Emil, Adi Sunderam, and Jonathan L. Wallen. "Segmented Arbitrage." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 30561.
- September 2022
- Background Note
On CUE: The Quest for Optimal Customer Unit Economics
By: Elie Ofek, Barak Libai and Eitan Muller
Startups are often evaluated by how well they perform on unit economics, defined as the ratio of a customer’s lifetime value (LTV) to acquisition costs (CAC). A common target for unit economics, advocated by many VCs and analysts, is 3:1 (i.e., LTV/CAC=3). While there...
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Keywords:
Unit Economics;
Business Startups;
Performance Evaluation;
Customer Value and Value Chain;
Customer Relationship Management;
Analysis
Ofek, Elie, Barak Libai, and Eitan Muller. "On CUE: The Quest for Optimal Customer Unit Economics." Harvard Business School Background Note 523-050, September 2022.
- September 16, 2022
- Article
A Causal Test of the Strength of Weak Ties
By: Karthik Rajkumar, Guillaume Saint-Jacques, Iavor I. Bojinov, Erik Brynjolfsson and Sinan Aral
The authors analyzed data from multiple large-scale randomized experiments on LinkedIn’s People You May Know algorithm, which recommends new connections to LinkedIn members, to test the extent to which weak ties increased job mobility in the world’s largest...
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Rajkumar, Karthik, Guillaume Saint-Jacques, Iavor I. Bojinov, Erik Brynjolfsson, and Sinan Aral. "A Causal Test of the Strength of Weak Ties." Science 377, no. 6612 (September 16, 2022).
- September 2022
- Case
ROI vs. ROI: The Grupo Baobá Family Office
By: Lauren Cohen, Hao Gao, Jiawei Ye and Grace Headinger
Fernando Scodro, a third-generation member of his family, mulled over the next step in integrating an ESG strategy into his family office’s investment portfolio. While his family office, Grupo Baobá, had made excellent progress in incorporating his family’s values into...
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- September 2022 (Revised October 2022)
- Case
Bear to Bull: An Analyst’s Journey with Netflix
By: Aiyesha Dey, Joseph Pacelli, Jennifer G. Lawson and Tom Quinn
Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter said “hell freezing over” was more likely than him upgrading the “sell” rating he had maintained on movie and television streaming giant Netflix since 2011, despite meteoric subscriber and share price growth. In 2022, however,...
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Keywords:
Accounting;
Asset Pricing;
Cash Flow;
Investment;
Stocks;
Equity;
Analysis;
Attitudes;
Financial Services Industry;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
United States
Dey, Aiyesha, Joseph Pacelli, Jennifer G. Lawson, and Tom Quinn. "Bear to Bull: An Analyst’s Journey with Netflix." Harvard Business School Case 123-001, September 2022. (Revised October 2022.)