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All HBS Web
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- Faculty Publications (9)
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- November 2023
- Article
A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates
We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the...
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 138, no. 4 (November 2023): 2327–2389.
- May 2021
- Article
Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics
By: Brian Fabo, Marina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf and Ľuboš Pástor
We compare the findings of central bank researchers and academic economists regarding the macroeconomic effects of quantitative easing (QE). We find that central bank papers find QE to be more effective than academic papers do. Central bank papers report larger effects...
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Keywords:
Quantitative Easing;
Career Concerns;
Economic Research;
Central Banking;
Macroeconomics;
Economic Growth
Fabo, Brian, Marina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf, and Ľuboš Pástor. "Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics." Journal of Monetary Economics 120 (May 2021): 1–20.
- May 2020
- Article
How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel
By: Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani and Christopher Palmer
We document the transmission of large-scale asset purchases by the Federal Reserve to the real economy using rich borrower-linked mortgage-market data and an identification strategy based on mortgage market segmentation. We find that central bank QE1 MBS purchases...
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Keywords:
Monetary Policy;
MBS;
Quantitative Easing;
LSAP;
Refinancing;
Deleveraging;
HARP;
GSE;
Central Banking;
Global Range;
Financing and Loans;
Credit;
United States
Di Maggio, Marco, Amir Kermani, and Christopher Palmer. "How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel." Review of Economic Studies 87, no. 3 (May 2020): 1498–1528.
- Article
The Unintended Consequences of the Zero Lower Bound Policy
By: Marco Di Maggio and Marcin Kacperczyk
We study the impact of the zero lower bound interest rate policy on the industrial organization of the U.S. money fund industry. We find that in response to policies that maintain low interest rates, money funds change their product offerings by investing in riskier...
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Keywords:
Quantitative Easing;
Money Market Funds;
Reaching For Yield;
Risk Taking;
Fund Exit;
Unconventional Monetary Policy;
Investment Funds;
Interest Rates
Di Maggio, Marco, and Marcin Kacperczyk. "The Unintended Consequences of the Zero Lower Bound Policy." Journal of Financial Economics 123, no. 1 (January 2017): 59–80.
- 2016
- Chapter
Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply
By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Gregory Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos
We present a model of the yield curve in which the central bank can provide market participants with forward guidance on both future short rates and on future Quantitative Easing (QE) operations, which affect bond supply. Forward guidance on short rates works through...
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Gregory Hanson, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply." In Monetary Policy through Asset Markets: Lessons from Unconventional Measures and Implications for an Integrated World, edited by Elias Albagli, Diego Saravia, and Michael Woodford, 11–62. Santiago: Banco Central de Chile, 2016. (Working Paper version: NBER Working Paper No. 21750 Here.)
- April 2015 (Revised January 2020)
- Case
Japan's Missing Arrow?
By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
In late December 2014, Shinzo Abe was elected to another term as the prime minister of Japan. His re-election was largely interpreted as a vote of confidence for his economics policies, collectively referred to as "Abenomics." Comprised of three "arrows," including...
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Keywords:
Currency;
Bonds;
Government Bonds;
Government Debt;
Public Finance;
Quantitative Easing;
Stimulus;
Fiscal Policy;
Fiscal Deficits;
Debt Management;
Debt Reduction;
Abenomics;
Exchange Rate;
Exports;
Reform;
Economics;
Macroeconomics;
Policy;
Government Legislation;
Government and Politics;
Asia;
Japan
Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Japan's Missing Arrow?" Harvard Business School Case 715-050, April 2015. (Revised January 2020.)
- October 2013
- Case
Japan: Abe's Three Arrows?
After the Koizumi government ended in 2006, Japan continued to struggle with slow growth, deflation and, in 2011, a tsunami and nuclear disaster. Following a series of several more unsuccessful prime ministers, Shinzo Abe again became the prime minister in 2012 and...
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- May 2013
- Supplement
Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)
By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
Assuming office in December 2012, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was determined to revive Japan's stagnating economy through an ambitious plan known as 'Abenomics.' Under the guidance of the newly appointed governor of the central bank, Haruhiko Kuroda, the Bank of Japan...
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Keywords:
Japan;
Inflation Targeting;
Inflation;
Abenomics;
Monetary Policy;
Stimulus;
Quantitative Easing;
Government Bonds;
Macroeconomics;
Inflation and Deflation;
Money;
Economic Slowdown and Stagnation;
Japan
Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)." Harvard Business School Supplement 713-086, May 2013.
- March 2013
- Case
Currency Wars
By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
In February 2013, the G-20 finance ministers met in Moscow, Russia to discuss the rising anxieties over a potential international currency war. It was speculated that certain countries were purposely devaluing their currencies in order to improve their competitiveness...
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Keywords:
Currency;
Competitiveness;
Trade Policy;
Devaluation;
Exchange Rate;
Monetary Policy;
Quantitative Easing;
Inflation Targeting;
Capital Flows;
Central Banking;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Competitive Strategy;
Emerging Markets;
Policy;
Trade;
Conflict and Resolution;
Banking Industry;
Public Administration Industry;
Moscow
Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Currency Wars." Harvard Business School Case 713-074, March 2013.