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All HBS Web
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- Faculty Publications (83)
- March 2005 (Revised March 2006)
- Background Note
Activity-Based Costing and Capacity
By: Robert S. Kaplan
Discusses the use of budgeted rather than historical data in an activity-based costing (ABC) model and argues for calculating rates using practical capacity, not actual utilization. An ABC model need not be limited to analysis of historical data. When cost driver rates...
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Kaplan, Robert S. "Activity-Based Costing and Capacity." Harvard Business School Background Note 105-059, March 2005. (Revised March 2006.)
- March 2005
- Article
Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage
By: Robin Greenwood
I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be...
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Keywords:
Limits To Arbitrage;
Event Studies;
Demand Curves;
Portfolio Choice;
Framework;
Demand and Consumers;
Change;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Debt Securities;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Stocks;
Assets;
Investment Portfolio;
System Shocks;
Price;
Japan
Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
- September 2004 (Revised February 2007)
- Case
Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS
By: Mihir A. Desai, Vincent Dessain and Anders Sjoman
The American Institute for Foreign Studies (AIFS) organizes study abroad programs and cultural exchanges for American students. The firm's revenues are mainly in U.S. dollars, but most of its costs are in eurodollars and British pounds. The company's controllers review...
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Keywords:
Foreign Direct Investment;
Investment Funds;
Financial Strategy;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Revenue;
Credit Derivatives and Swaps;
Currency;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Education Industry;
North and Central America
Desai, Mihir A., Vincent Dessain, and Anders Sjoman. "Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS." Harvard Business School Case 205-026, September 2004. (Revised February 2007.)
- September 2004
- Article
Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows
By: Kenneth A. Froot and J. Tjornhom Donohue
- August 2003
- Article
When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms
By: Malcolm Baker, Jeremy Stein and Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that stock prices will have a stronger impact on the investment of firms that...
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Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms." Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, no. 3 (August 2003): 969–1006.
- December 2002
- Article
The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows
By: K. A. Froot and J. Donohue
Keywords:
Asset Pricing;
Equity Investment;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Behavioral Finance;
Stocks;
Investment Return;
Market Transactions;
Performance Expectations;
Financial Services Industry
Froot, K. A., and J. Donohue. "The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows." Emerging Markets Review 3, no. 4 (December 2002): 338–364. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9241, HBS Working Paper no. 03-035, September 2002.)
- 2002
- Other Unpublished Work
Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeremy Stein
We build a model that helps to explain why increases in liquidity—such as lower bid–ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnover—predict lower subsequent returns in both firm-level and aggregate data. The model features a class of irrational...
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Keywords:
Price;
Financial Liquidity;
Trade;
Valuation;
Markets;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Equity;
Stock Shares;
Investment Return
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeremy Stein. "Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator." NBER Working Paper Series, 2002. (First draft in 2001.)
- December 2001 (Revised February 2008)
- Case
Borealis
By: Robert S. Kaplan and Bjorn N. Jorgensen
When Borealis, a European producer of plastics, used a traditional, time-consuming budgeting process, the budget was quickly out of date in a competitive environment characterized by continually changing input and output prices and dynamic market conditions. This case...
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Keywords:
Activity Based Costing and Management;
Budgets and Budgeting;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Investment;
Governance Controls;
Balanced Scorecard;
Management Systems;
Manufacturing Industry;
Europe
Kaplan, Robert S., and Bjorn N. Jorgensen. "Borealis." Harvard Business School Case 102-048, December 2001. (Revised February 2008.)
- 2001
- Working Paper
When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity Dependent Firms
By: Malcolm Baker, Jeremy Stein and Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that stock prices will have a stronger impact on the investment of firms that...
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Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity Dependent Firms." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 8750, December 2001. (First draft in 2001.)
- July 2001
- Technical Note
Technical Note on LBO Valuation (A): LBO Structure and the Target IRR Method of Valuation
Explains the equity cash flow method of valuation as it applies to leveraged buyouts. Also explains: 1) earnings and cash flow forecasts, 2) debt structure and the cash sweep, 3) the cashing out horizon and terminal valuation, and 4) the target IRR method of valuation.
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Keywords:
Valuation;
Leveraged Buyouts;
Capital Budgeting;
Borrowing and Debt;
Cash Flow;
Equity;
Profit;
Price;
Forecasting and Prediction
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Technical Note on LBO Valuation (A): LBO Structure and the Target IRR Method of Valuation." Harvard Business School Technical Note 902-004, July 2001.
- February 2001
- Article
The Portfolio Flows of International Investors
By: K. A. Froot, P. O'Connell and M. Seasholes
Keywords:
Asset Pricing;
Equity Investment;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Behavioral Finance;
Stocks;
Investment Return;
Market Transactions;
Performance Expectations;
Personal Characteristics;
Financial Services Industry
Froot, K. A., P. O'Connell, and M. Seasholes. "The Portfolio Flows of International Investors." Journal of Financial Economics 59, no. 2 (February 2001): 151–193. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 6687 and HBS Working No. Paper 99-006, July 1998. Summarized in the NBER Reporter, 2000. Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003.)
- January 2001 (Revised July 2003)
- Case
Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development
By: Malcolm P. Baker, Richard S. Ruback and Aldo Sesia
Pharmacyclics (NASDAQ: PCYC), a pharmaceutical company that manufactures products that will improve existing therapeutic treatments for cancer, arteriosclerosis, and retinal disease, was considering a $60 million private placement in February 2000. The company had more...
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Keywords:
Valuation;
Cash Flow;
Financing and Loans;
Business Startups;
Financial Strategy;
Medical Devices and Supplies Industry;
Pharmaceutical Industry;
Health Industry
Baker, Malcolm P., Richard S. Ruback, and Aldo Sesia. "Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development." Harvard Business School Case 201-056, January 2001. (Revised July 2003.)
- 1998
- Journal Article
Ford's Model-T: Pricing over the Product Life Cycle
The pricing decisions monopolistic firms make over time are determined to a large extent by the complex interplay of two distinct sets of elements: demand- and supply-based considerations. Demand factors include the possibilities of (a) exercising dynamic price...
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Keywords:
Experience and Expertise;
Decisions;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Cost;
Price;
Information;
Demand and Consumers;
Monopoly;
Product;
Sales;
Complexity;
Auto Industry
Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon. "Ford's Model-T: Pricing over the Product Life Cycle." Abante: Estudios en dirección de empresas 1, no. 2 (1998): 143–65.
- March 1997
- Background Note
Copper and Zinc Markets 1996
By: Peter Tufano
Provides background information on copper and zinc markets as of mid-1996. Discusses supply and demand conditions, forecasts of the spot prices of the metals, and contracts for future delivery (forwards, futures, and options).
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Tufano, Peter, and Alberto Moel. "Copper and Zinc Markets 1996." Harvard Business School Background Note 297-055, March 1997.
- February 1997 (Revised May 1998)
- Case
Tire City, Inc.
By: W. Carl Kester
A small, rapidly growing retail distributor of automotive tires must present a set of forecasted financial statements to a bank in order to obtain a five-year loan. Expected growth rates given in the case and historical financial ratios derived from recent financial...
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Keywords:
Financial Statements;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Financing and Loans;
Price;
Supply Chain;
Distribution Industry;
Retail Industry
Kester, W. Carl. "Tire City, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 297-091, February 1997. (Revised May 1998.)
- winter 1996
- Article
The Market Pricing of Cash Flow Forecasts: Discounted Cash Flow vs. the Method of Comparables
By: S. N. Kaplan and R. S. Ruback
Kaplan, S. N., and R. S. Ruback. "The Market Pricing of Cash Flow Forecasts: Discounted Cash Flow vs. the Method of Comparables." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 8, no. 4 (winter 1996): 45–60.
- January 1995
- Background Note
A Note on Distribution of Venture Investments
By: Josh Lerner
Venture capitalists typically exit investments by distributing shares to investors. These transfers pose challenges for these investors. Predictions and evidence about the behavior of stock prices of firms around the time of these distributions are presented.
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Lerner, Josh. "A Note on Distribution of Venture Investments." Harvard Business School Background Note 295-095, January 1995.
- 1992
- Chapter
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords:
Currencies;
Exchange Rates;
International Macroeconomics;
Monetary Policy;
Currency Controls;
Fixed Exchange Rates;
Floating Exchange Rates;
Currency Bands;
Currency Zones;
Currency Areas;
Rational Expectations;
International Finance;
Currency Exchange Rate;
Asset Pricing;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Policy
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market." In International Business Reader, edited by D. Duta. London: Oxford University Press, 1992. (Revised from IMF Working Paper No. 90/43 and NBER Working Paper No. 3470, October 1990.)
- October 1990 (Revised May 1994)
- Case
Confederated Pulp & Paper
By: David E. Bell
A rewritten version of an old case that updates the dates and prices and simplifies the economics. The issue is still one of determining a suitable inventory of wood for the mill to last through the winter.
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Keywords:
History;
Supply Chain Management;
Spending;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Economic Growth;
Information Management;
Pulp and Paper Industry
Bell, David E. "Confederated Pulp & Paper." Harvard Business School Case 191-065, October 1990. (Revised May 1994.)
- December 1989
- Article
On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations
By: K. A. Froot and T. Ito
This paper examines whether short-term exchange rate expectations 'overreact' by comparing them with long-term expectations. We develop a set of nonlinear restrictions linking expectations at different forecast horizons. The restrictions impose consistency, a property...
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Keywords:
Currencies;
Exchange Rates;
International Macroeconomics;
Monetary Policy;
Currency Controls;
Fixed Exchange Rates;
Floating Exchange Rates;
Currency Bands;
Currency Zones;
Currency Areas;
Rational Expectations;
Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and T. Ito. "On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations." Journal of International Money and Finance 8, no. 4 (December 1989): 487–510. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2577, May 1988.)