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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (978)
      • Faculty Publications  (103)

      Political Elections Remove Political Elections →

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      Political Elections: Articles, Research, & Case Studies on Political Elections– HBS Working Knowledge
      Skip to Main Content Cold Call A podcast featuring faculty discussing cases they've written and the lessons they impart. Subscribe on iTunes 29 Sep...
      Voter Registration Costs and Disenfranchisement: Experimental Evidence from France
      → Search All HBS Web
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      The Effects of Local Government Financial Distress: Evidence from Toxic Loans

      By: Boris Vallée and Julien Sauvagnat
      We examine the response from both local governments and their voters to a sudden increase in public debt burden. We exploit plausibly exogenous variation in the ex post cost of toxic loans, a notorious financial innovation adopted by a large number of local governments....  View Details
      Keywords: Public Debt; Public Investments; Political Contestation; Toxic Loans; Borrowing and Debt; Investment; Public Sector; Government and Politics; Local Range; Financing and Loans
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      Vallée, Boris, and Julien Sauvagnat. "The Effects of Local Government Financial Distress: Evidence from Toxic Loans." Working Paper, February 2021.
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?

      By: Alberto Alesina and Marco Tabellini
      We review the growing literature on the political effects of immigration. After a brief summary of the economics of immigration, we turn to the main focus of the paper: how immigrants influence electoral outcomes in receiving countries, and why. We start from the...  View Details
      Keywords: Political Backlash; Cultural Beliefs; Immigration; Political Elections; Outcome or Result
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      Alesina, Alberto, and Marco Tabellini. "The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-069, November 2020.
      • November 2020
      • Case

      Axis My India

      By: Ananth Raman, Ann Winslow and Kairavi Dey
      "Pradeep Gupta founded Axis My India (AMI) as a printing and publishing company in 1998. In 2013, AMI expanded into consumer research and election forecasting. Although a relatively unknown entity, AMI predicted several election results accurately. Gupta describes...  View Details
      Keywords: Market Research; Operations; Management; Infrastructure; Logistics; Service Operations; Political Elections; Forecasting and Prediction; Asia; India
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      Raman, Ananth, Ann Winslow, and Kairavi Dey. "Axis My India." Harvard Business School Case 621-075, November 2020.
      • November 2020
      • Teaching Note

      Unrest in Chile

      By: Vincent Pons, John Masko, Rafael Di Tella and William Mullins
      In 2020, Chileans would head to the ballot box to decide their country’s future. Many international observers credited Chile’s decades of neoliberal governance with turning the country into Latin America’s “Tiger,” a prosperous, diversified economy on its way to...  View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Macroeconomics; Economy; Political Elections; Public Opinion; Social Issues; Equality and Inequality; System Shocks; Chile; Latin America
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      Pons, Vincent, John Masko, Rafael Di Tella, and William Mullins. "Unrest in Chile." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 721-016, November 2020.
      • September–October 2020
      • Article

      The Air War Versus the Ground Game: An Analysis of Multi-Channel Marketing in U.S. Presidential Elections

      By: Lingling Zhang and Doug J. Chung
      This study jointly examines the effects of television advertising and field operations in U.S. presidential elections, with the former referred to as the “air war” and the latter as the “ground game.” Specifically, the study focuses on how different campaign...  View Details
      Keywords: multi-channel marketing; ground campaigning; political campaigns; discrete-choice model; instrumental variables; Political Elections; Marketing Channels; Advertising; United States
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      Zhang, Lingling, and Doug J. Chung. "The Air War Versus the Ground Game: An Analysis of Multi-Channel Marketing in U.S. Presidential Elections." Marketing Science 39, no. 5 (September–October 2020): 872–892.
      • August 2020 (Revised November 2020)
      • Case

      George Soros: The Stateless Statesman

      By: Geoffrey Jones and Wendy Ying
       This case traces the business career and philanthropic activities of George Soros. The Hungarian-born Soros made a fortune as a hedge fund investor after establishing Quantum Fund on the tax haven island of Curaçao in the Netherlands Antilles in 1973 where he was...  View Details
      Keywords: hedge fund; philanthropy; populism; Finance; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Political Elections; Financial Services Industry; Europe; Hungary; United Kingdom; North and Central America; United States
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      Jones, Geoffrey, and Wendy Ying. "George Soros: The Stateless Statesman." Harvard Business School Case 321-012, August 2020. (Revised November 2020.)
      • April 2020 (Revised July 2020)
      • Case

      Unrest in Chile

      By: Vincent Pons, William Mullins, John Masko, Annelena Lobb and Rafael Di Tella
      In 2020, Chileans would head to the ballot box to decide their country’s future. Many international observers credited Chile’s decades of neoliberal governance with turning the country into Latin America’s “Tiger,” a prosperous, diversified economy on its way to...  View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Macroeconomics; Economy; Political Elections; Public Opinion; Social Issues; Equality and Inequality; System Shocks; Chile; Latin America
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      Pons, Vincent, William Mullins, John Masko, Annelena Lobb, and Rafael Di Tella. "Unrest in Chile." Harvard Business School Case 720-033, April 2020. (Revised July 2020.)
      • January 2020
      • Article

      Gifts of the Immigrants, Woes of the Natives: Lessons from the Age of Mass Migration

      By: Marco Tabellini
      In this paper, I jointly investigate the political and the economic effects of immigration and study the causes of anti-immigrant sentiments. I exploit exogenous variation in European immigration to U.S. cities between 1910 and 1930 induced by World War I and the...  View Details
      Keywords: Political backlash; Age of Mass Migration; cultural diversity; Immigration; History; Economy; Attitudes; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Diversity
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      Tabellini, Marco. "Gifts of the Immigrants, Woes of the Natives: Lessons from the Age of Mass Migration." Review of Economic Studies 87, no. 1 (January 2020): 454–486. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-005, July 2018. Available also from Cato Institute, Microeconomic Insights, VOX, Broadstreet and in Cato Institute.)
      • October 2019 (Revised January 2020)
      • Case

      Fixing Facebook: Fake News, Privacy, and Platform Governance

      By: David Yoffie and Daniel Fisher
      Mark Zuckerberg founded Facebook based on the idea that connecting people was a fundamentally good thing—and a way to turn a handsome profit. But from the beginning, Facebook received criticism both for how it handled user privacy and how it curated user-generated...  View Details
      Keywords: platform; governance; privacy; Internet; Corporate Governance; Ethics; Business and Government Relations; Strategy; Web Services Industry
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      Yoffie, David, and Daniel Fisher. "Fixing Facebook: Fake News, Privacy, and Platform Governance." Harvard Business School Case 720-400, October 2019. (Revised January 2020.)
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      How Do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multi-Country Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates

      By: Caroline Le Pennec and Vincent Pons
      Using multi-country data from 62 elections since 1952, we show that 17% to 29% of voters make up their mind during the final two months of campaigns, generating sizeable swings in candidates’ vote shares. We obtain these results by measuring the consistency between...  View Details
      Keywords: political debates; TV debates; Voting; Political Elections; Decision Making; Surveys
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      Le Pennec, Caroline, and Vincent Pons. "How Do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multi-Country Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 26572, December 2019. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-031, September 2019. Revised July 2020.)
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
      We study a propaganda campaign sponsored by the government against the main political challenger in the days preceding the 2015 Argentine runoff presidential election. Subjects in the treatment group watched an “ad” initially aired during soccer transmissions that was...  View Details
      Keywords: propaganda; persuasion; voting; Voting; Political Elections; Government and Politics; Communication Strategy; Power and Influence; Public Opinion; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky. "Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-030, September 2019. (Revised November 2019.)
      • September 2019 (Revised September 2019)
      • Case

      Facebook Fake News in the Post-Truth World

      By: John R. Wells, Carole A. Winkler and Benjamin Weinstock
      In August 2019, Mark Zuckerberg, founder and CEO of Facebook, was surrounded by controversy. The first major storm of protest followed the surprise election of Donald Trump as President of the United States on November 8, 2016; many put the blame at the door of fake...  View Details
      Keywords: Facebook; fake news; Mark Zuckerberg; Donald Trump; algorithms; social networks; partisanship; social media; app development; Instagram; WhatsApp; smartphone; Silicon Valley; office space; digital strategy; democracy; entry barriers; online platforms; controversy; Tencent; Agility; social networking; gaming; gaming industry; computer games; mobile gaming; messaging; monetization strategy; Advertising; Online Advertising; Business Ventures; Acquisition; Mergers and Acquisitions; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Headquarters; Business Organization; For-Profit Firms; Trends; Communication; Communication Technology; Forms of Communication; Interactive Communication; Interpersonal Communication; Talent and Talent Management; Crime and Corruption; Voting; Demographics; Entertainment; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Moral Sensibility; Values and Beliefs; Initial Public Offering; Profit; Revenue; Geography; Geographic Location; Global Range; Local Range; Country; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Globalized Firms and Management; Globalized Markets and Industries; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Government and Politics; International Relations; National Security; Political Elections; Business History; Recruitment; Selection and Staffing; Information Management; Information Publishing; News; Newspapers; Innovation and Management; Innovation Strategy; Technological Innovation; Knowledge Dissemination; Human Capital; Law; Leadership Development; Leadership Style; Leading Change; Business or Company Management; Crisis Management; Goals and Objectives; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Management Practices and Processes; Management Style; Management Systems; Management Teams; Managerial Roles; Marketing Channels; Social Marketing; Network Effects; Market Entry and Exit; Market Platforms; Two-Sided Platforms; Marketplace Matching; Industry Growth; Industry Structures; Monopoly; Media; Product Development; Service Delivery; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Mission and Purpose; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Organizational Culture; Organizational Structure; Public Ownership; Problems and Challenges; Business and Community Relations; Business and Government Relations; Groups and Teams; Networks; Rank and Position; Opportunities; Behavior; Emotions; Identity; Power and Influence; Prejudice and Bias; Reputation; Social and Collaborative Networks; Status and Position; Trust; Society; Civil Society or Community; Culture; Public Opinion; Social Issues; Societal Protocols; Strategy; Adaptation; Business Strategy; Commercialization; Competition; Competitive Advantage; Competitive Strategy; Corporate Strategy; Customization and Personalization; Diversification; Expansion; Horizontal Integration; Segmentation; Information Technology; Internet; Mobile Technology; Online Technology; Software; Technology Networks; Technology Platform; Web; Web Sites; Wireless Technology; Valuation; Advertising Industry; Communications Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Information Industry; Information Technology Industry; Journalism and News Industry; Media and Broadcasting Industry; Service Industry; Technology Industry; Telecommunications Industry; Video Game Industry; United States; California; Sunnyvale; Russia
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      Wells, John R., Carole A. Winkler, and Benjamin Weinstock. "Facebook Fake News in the Post-Truth World." Harvard Business School Case 720-373, September 2019. (Revised September 2019.)
      • Summer 2019
      • Article

      The Political Influence of Voters' Interests on SEC Enforcement

      By: Jonas Heese
      I examine whether political influence as a response to voters’ interest in employment levels is reflected in the enforcement actions of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). I find that large employers are less likely to experience SEC enforcement actions....  View Details
      Keywords: SEC enforcement; government preferences; voters' interests; political influence; Employment; Public Opinion; Government Administration; Governance Compliance; Political Elections
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      Heese, Jonas. "The Political Influence of Voters' Interests on SEC Enforcement." Contemporary Accounting Research 36, no. 2 (Summer 2019): 869–903.
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Identification Using Border Approaches and IVs

      By: Xing Li, Wesley R. Hartmann and Tomomichi Amano
      We document that recent quasi-experimental strategies for identifying advertising effects can be derived from a model in which ad decisions are made at a more aggregate level than conversion is measured. Next, we show that the identifying variation in one of these...  View Details
      Keywords: advertising effects; Advertising; Decision Making; Political Elections; Analysis
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      Li, Xing, Wesley R. Hartmann, and Tomomichi Amano. "Identification Using Border Approaches and IVs." Working Paper, June 2019.
      • May 28, 2019
      • Other Article

      How Russia Found a Disinformation Haven in America

      By: Rawi Abdelal and Galit Goldstein
      The Mueller Report established that “the Russians” undertook information operations campaigns to meddle in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Though this has been clear for a long time, Americans continue to discuss Russian information operations in the wrong way....  View Details
      Keywords: Elections; Donald Trump; social media; Political Elections; National Security; Technology; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Russia; United States
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      Abdelal, Rawi, and Galit Goldstein. "How Russia Found a Disinformation Haven in America." National Interest (May 28, 2019).
      • February 2019 (Revised September 2020)
      • Case

      Mexico: Shifting Left with AMLO

      By: Richard H.K. Vietor
      Andrés Manuel López Obrador became president of Mexico on December 1, 2018. His election, and the victory of his new Party, MORENA, represent a sharp shift to the left by Mexico’s political system. Previously, President Peña Nieto and his party, the PRI, had initiated...  View Details
      Keywords: political economy; Pacto; institutional reform; nationalism; energy reform; Government and Politics; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Economic Growth; International Relations; Mexico
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      Vietor, Richard H.K. "Mexico: Shifting Left with AMLO." Harvard Business School Case 719-051, February 2019. (Revised September 2020.)
      • February 2019 (Revised March 2021)
      • Case

      India: State Capacity and Unity in Diversity

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Matthew Weinzierl and Robert Scherf
      As 2018 drew to a close, India prepared to once again carry out the largest democratic exercise in human history, as in less than six months more than 850 million eligible voters would have the chance to choose their representatives to the Lok Sabha—the country’s lower...  View Details
      Keywords: Political Elections; Government and Politics; Leadership; Public Opinion; India
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Matthew Weinzierl, and Robert Scherf. "India: State Capacity and Unity in Diversity." Harvard Business School Case 719-061, February 2019. (Revised March 2021.)
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      Strict ID Laws Don't Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008–2018

      By: Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons
      U.S. states increasingly require identification to vote – an ostensive attempt to deter fraud that prompts complaints of selective disenfranchisement. Using a difference-in-differences design on a 1.6-billion-observations panel dataset, 2008–2018, we find that the laws...  View Details
      Keywords: Voting; Identity; Laws and Statutes; Outcome or Result; United States
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      Cantoni, Enrico, and Vincent Pons. "Strict ID Laws Don't Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008–2018." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 25522, February 2019. (Revised March 2020. Revise and resubmit requested, The Quarterly Journal of Economics.)
      • January 2019 (Revised July 2019)
      • Case

      Chinese Infrastructure Investments in Sri Lanka: A Pearl or a Teardrop on the Belt and Road?

      By: Meg Rithmire and Yihao Li
      In 2015, a surprise presidential election result seemed to imperil Chinese investments in Sri Lanka, which were associated with China’s Belt and Road Initiative to build global infrastructure. In the previous decade, China had undertaken two major projects in the...  View Details
      Keywords: Belt and Road Initiative; Investment; Infrastructure; China; Sri Lanka
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      Rithmire, Meg, and Yihao Li. "Chinese Infrastructure Investments in Sri Lanka: A Pearl or a Teardrop on the Belt and Road?" Harvard Business School Case 719-046, January 2019. (Revised July 2019.)
      • January 2019
      • Article

      Increasing the Electoral Participation of Immigrants: Experimental Evidence from France

      By: Vincent Pons and Guillaume Liegey
      Improving the political participation of immigrants could advance their interests and foster their integration into receiving countries. In this study, 23,800 citizens were randomly assigned to receive visits from political activists during the lead-up to the 2010...  View Details
      Keywords: Electoral behavior; Immigrants; Voting; Political Elections; Behavior; France
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      Pons, Vincent, and Guillaume Liegey. "Increasing the Electoral Participation of Immigrants: Experimental Evidence from France." Economic Journal (Royal Economic Society) 129, no. 617 (January 2019): 481–508. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-094, February 2016.)
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      Are you looking for?

      Political Elections: Articles, Research, & Case Studies on Political Elections– HBS Working Knowledge
      Skip to Main Content Cold Call A podcast featuring faculty discussing cases they've written and the lessons they impart. Subscribe on iTunes 29 Sep...
      Voter Registration Costs and Disenfranchisement: Experimental Evidence from France
      → Search All HBS Web
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