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    • All HBS Web  (13,922)
      • Faculty Publications  (646)

      Market Timing Remove Market Timing →

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      Market Timing and Capital Structure
      Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions
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      • March 2021
      • Article

      A Diplomatic Counterrevolution: Indonesian Diplomacy and the Invasion of East Timor

      By: Mattias Fibiger
      This article reinterprets the Indonesian invasion of East Timor as a "diplomatic counterrevolution." Using the central archival records of the Suharto regime for the first time in English-language scholarship, it argues that Indonesian diplomats pursued diplomacy in...  View Details
      Keywords: Diplomacy; Geopolitics; History; Globalization; Indonesia; Timor-leste
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      Fibiger, Mattias. "A Diplomatic Counterrevolution: Indonesian Diplomacy and the Invasion of East Timor." Modern Asian Studies 55, no. 2 (March 2021): 587–628.
      • January 2021
      • Case

      Snapp: Scaling Under Sanctions in Iran (A)

      By: Meg Rithmire and Gamze Yucaoglu
      "The case opens in November 2019 as Eyad Alkassar and Mahmoud Fouz, co-founders of Iran’s first and leading ride-hailing platform, Snapp, find out about Apple’s and Google’s decision to remove all Iranian apps from their respective application stores.
      The case...  View Details
      Keywords: Sanctions; Change Management; Disruption; Volatility; Decision Choices And Conditions; Cross-cultural And Cross-border Issues; Government And Politics; International Relations; National Security; Risk Management; Crisis Management; Transportation Industry; Iran; Middle East
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      Rithmire, Meg, and Gamze Yucaoglu. "Snapp: Scaling Under Sanctions in Iran (A)." Harvard Business School Case 721-020, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Case

      Anodot: Autonomous Business Monitoring

      By: Antonio Moreno and Danielle Golan
      Autonomous business monitoring platform Anodot leveraged machine learning to providing real-time alerts regarding business anomalies. Anodot’s solution was used in various industries in order to primarily monitor business health, such as revenue and payments, product...  View Details
      Keywords: Technology Platform; Online Technology; Knowledge Sharing; Information Management; Sales; Value Creation; Product Positioning; Israel
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      Moreno, Antonio, and Danielle Golan. "Anodot: Autonomous Business Monitoring." Harvard Business School Case 621-084, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Case

      Hester Pharmaceuticals (A): A Pricing Dilemma

      By: Dante Roscini and John Masko
      In August 2019, the leadership of Hester Pharmaceuticals (Hester) had a problem. Italy promised to be a key market for their new breakthrough oncology drug Akrozumab, but for almost two years, its single-payer healthcare system had been unable to agree with Hester on a...  View Details
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Trade; Price; Global Range; Global Strategy; Globalized markets And Industries; Health Care And Treatment; Patents; Monopoly; Negotiation; Business And Government Relations; Risk And Uncertainty; Human Needs; Business Strategy; Commercialization; Pharmaceutical Industry; Italy
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      Roscini, Dante, and John Masko. "Hester Pharmaceuticals (A): A Pricing Dilemma." Harvard Business School Case 721-001, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Case

      Egon Zehnder: Beyond Search?

      By: Ashish Nanda and Margaret Cross
      In 2019, Egon Zehnder chair Jill Ader and CEO Edilson Camara faced a critical question: how should the global executive search firm approach its burgeoning advisory service offering? Since 2003, the firm’s advisory practice had grown as a conglomeration of grassroots...  View Details
      Keywords: Professional Services Firms; Executive Search Firms; Professionalism; Partnership; Executive Coaching; Leadership Development; Expansion; Decision Making; Strategy; Switzerland; London
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      Nanda, Ashish, and Margaret Cross. "Egon Zehnder: Beyond Search?" Harvard Business School Case 721-430, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Article

      Turbulence, Firm Decentralization and Growth in Bad Times

      By: Philippe Aghion, Nicholas Bloom, Brian Lucking, Raffaella Sadun and John Van Reenen
      What is the optimal form of firm organization during “bad times”? We present a model of delegation within the firm to show that the effect is ambiguous. The greater turbulence following macro shocks may benefit decentralized firms because the value of local information...  View Details
      Keywords: Decentralization; Growth; Turbulence; Great Recession; Organizational Design; System Shocks; Economic Growth; Performance
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      Aghion, Philippe, Nicholas Bloom, Brian Lucking, Raffaella Sadun, and John Van Reenen. "Turbulence, Firm Decentralization and Growth in Bad Times." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 13, no. 1 (January 2021): 133–169.
      • December 2020
      • Case

      eXp Realty and the Virbela Platform

      By: Prithwiraj Choudhury, Jan Bena, David Rowat and Emma Salomon
      As he considered his plans for the future, Glenn Sanford, CEO of eXp World Holdings, Inc., faced an exciting conundrum. He had built the first all-remote real estate brokerage firm, eXp Realty, which had been growing exponentially and was thriving, even amidst the...  View Details
      Keywords: Real Estate; All Remote; Virtual Platform; Online Technology; Strategy; Decision Making; Resource Allocation; Real Estate Industry; Technology Industry
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      Choudhury, Prithwiraj, Jan Bena, David Rowat, and Emma Salomon. "eXp Realty and the Virbela Platform." Harvard Business School Case 621-068, December 2020.
      • November–December 2020
      • Article

      Rethinking the On-Demand Workforce

      By: Joseph B. Fuller, Manjari Raman, Allison Bailey and Nithya Vaduganathan
      As companies struggle with chronic skills shortages and changing labor demographics, a new generation of talent platforms, offering on-demand access to highly trained workers, has begun to help. These platforms include marketplaces for premium expertise (such as Toptal...  View Details
      Keywords: Talent Acquisition; Platforms; Skilled Labor Recruitment; Gig Economy; Talent And Talent Management; Selection And Staffing; Online Technology; Strategy
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      Fuller, Joseph B., Manjari Raman, Allison Bailey, and Nithya Vaduganathan. "Rethinking the On-Demand Workforce." Harvard Business Review 98, no. 6 (November–December 2020): 96–103.
      • October 5, 2020
      • Editorial

      Robots Save Us Time—But Do They Make Us Happier?

      By: A.V. Whillans, Emanuel de Bellis, Fabian Nindl and Tobias Schlager
      Autonomous products such as robotic vacuum cleaners, lawn mowers, and playmates for our pets are meant to improve people’s lives—but do they actually make consumers happier? The authors share the results of recent research which found that owning autonomous products...  View Details
      Keywords: Technology; Consumer Behavior; Attitudes; Customer Satisfaction; marketing Communications
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      Whillans, A.V., Emanuel de Bellis, Fabian Nindl, and Tobias Schlager. "Robots Save Us Time—But Do They Make Us Happier?" Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (October 5, 2020).
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      Estimating Causal Effects in the Presence of Partial Interference Using Multivariate Bayesian Structural Time Series Models

      By: Fiammetta Menchetti and Iavor Bojinov
      Researchers regularly use synthetic control methods for estimating causal effects when a sub-set of units receive a single persistent treatment, and the rest are unaffected by the change. In many applications, however, units not assigned to treatment are nevertheless...  View Details
      Keywords: Causal Inference; Partial Interference; Synthetic Controls; Bayesian Structural Time Series; Mathematical Methods
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      Menchetti, Fiammetta, and Iavor Bojinov. "Estimating Causal Effects in the Presence of Partial Interference Using Multivariate Bayesian Structural Time Series Models." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-048, October 2020.
      • Fall 2020
      • Article

      Sizing Up Corporate Restructuring in the COVID Crisis

      By: Robin Greenwood, Benjamin Iverson and David Thesmar
      In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the financial and legal system will need to deal with a surge of financial distress in the business sector. Some firms will be able to survive, while others will face bankruptcy and thus need to be liquidated or reorganized. Many...  View Details
      Keywords: Covid-19; Health Pandemics; Economy; System Shocks; Financial Crisis; Restructuring
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      Greenwood, Robin, Benjamin Iverson, and David Thesmar. "Sizing Up Corporate Restructuring in the COVID Crisis." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Fall 2020). (Also NBER Working Paper, No. 28104.)
      • Fall 2020
      • Article

      Christo and Jeanne‐Claude: The Negotiation of Art and Vice Versa

      By: Michael A. Wheeler
      Over the past two decades the Program on Negotiation at Harvard Law School (PON) has named thirteen people as Great Negotiators. The project, directed by my colleague Jim Sebenius, has given us the opportunity to commend our honorees’ outstanding work and to learn from...  View Details
      Keywords: Art; Negotiation; Arts
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      Wheeler, Michael A. "Christo and Jeanne‐Claude: The Negotiation of Art and Vice Versa." Negotiation Journal 36, no. 4 (Fall 2020): 471–487.
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups

      By: Shai Benjamin Bernstein, Richard Townsend and Ting Xu
      This paper investigates how economic downturns affect the flow of human capital to startups. Using proprietary data from AngelList Talent, we study how individuals’ online job searches and applications changed during the emergence of the COVID-19 crisis. We find that...  View Details
      Keywords: Startup Labor Market; Flight To Safety; Covid-19; Recession; Business Startups; Human Capital; Business Cycles; Health Pandemics
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      Bernstein, Shai Benjamin, Richard Townsend, and Ting Xu. "Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-045, September 2020.
      • September 2020
      • Case

      Building India's 2.0: PayNearby

      By: Lauren Cohen and Spencer C. N. Hagist
      Headquartered in Mumbai, India, FinTech startup Nearby Technologies has seen its flagship brand, PayNearby, rapidly flourish across most of its target market within just four years. The unprecedented success of its payment app, which allows users to access banking...  View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; Developing Markets; Payments; Finance; Entrepreneurship; Emerging markets; Competitive Strategy; Banking Industry; India
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      Cohen, Lauren, and Spencer C. N. Hagist. "Building India's 2.0: PayNearby." Harvard Business School Case 221-027, September 2020.
      • September 2020
      • Case

      Chip and Joanna Gaines' Magnolia Network

      By: Anita Elberse and Julia McNicholas
      Chip and Joanna Gaines, who have shot to fame as stars of the hit television show Fixer Upper, are preparing to launch their own television network. It is April 2019, a year since the home-renovation show Fixer Upper’s fifth season on cable channel HGTV ended, and more...  View Details
      Keywords: Entertainment; Television; Superstars; Innovation; Creative Industries; Talent; General Management; Celebrities; Television Entertainment; Entrepreneurship; Joint Ventures; Innovation And Invention; marketing; Strategy; Entertainment And Recreation Industry; Media And Broadcasting Industry
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      Elberse, Anita, and Julia McNicholas. "Chip and Joanna Gaines' Magnolia Network." Harvard Business School Case 521-044, September 2020.
      • September 2020
      • Case

      Hot Wheels: Launching The Mixed Play Experience

      By: Elie Ofek, Andres Terech and Nicole Tempest Keller
      Chris Down, Global Brand General Manager for Hot Wheels, and his team from the Advanced Play Group within Mattel, Inc., had developed an entirely new “mixed play” product experience that blended familiar Hot Wheels play in the physical world with breakthrough play in...  View Details
      Keywords: Toys; Go-to-market Strategy; Product Development; Technological Innovation; Product Launch; Product Positioning; Decision Making; marketing; Strategy; Los Angeles
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      Ofek, Elie, Andres Terech, and Nicole Tempest Keller. "Hot Wheels: Launching The Mixed Play Experience." Harvard Business School Case 521-017, September 2020.
      • September 2020
      • Case

      Getaway

      By: Ryan W. Buell and Amy Klopfenstein
      Since its founding, Getaway’s service offering – tiny, modern cabins in the woods, located within a two-hour drive of major metropolitan areas – had been met with tremendous demand. Overworked and overconnected city dwellers reveled in the opportunity to take a break...  View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Service Operations; Management; Demand And Consumers; marketing; Strategy; Accommodations Industry
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      Buell, Ryan W., and Amy Klopfenstein. "Getaway." Harvard Business School Case 621-054, September 2020.
      • 2020
      • Chapter

      Reserve Accumulation, Sovereign Debt, and Exchange Rate Policy

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      In the past decade, foreign participation in local-currency bond markets in emerging countries increased dramatically. Additionally, emerging countries are increasingly deviating from inflation targeting regimes, managing their exchange rate and engaging in...  View Details
      Keywords: Reserves; Exchange Rate; Sovereign Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Policy
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Reserve Accumulation, Sovereign Debt, and Exchange Rate Policy." In Asset Management at Central Banks and Monetary Authorities: New Practices in Managing International Foreign Exchange Reserves, edited by Jacob Bjorheim. Springer, 2020. (Book link.)
      • Article

      Get Ready to Sell

      By: Frank V. Cespedes and Bud Hyler
      Time-to-market measures the time to have a product ready to ship. But that’s not revenue and cash. Many firms with superb R&D functions lack an understanding of what’s needed to be ready-to-sell. Meanwhile, relevant tools are increasing in scope and decreasing in cost....  View Details
      Keywords: Ready-to-sell; Sales; Health Pandemics; Performance Effectiveness
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      Cespedes, Frank V., and Bud Hyler. "Get Ready to Sell." Top Sales Magazine (September 2020), 32–33.
      • August 2020 (Revised December 2020)
      • Case

      Latam Airlines and COVID-19: Seeking Bankruptcy Protection in the United States

      By: Laura Alfaro, Mauricio Larrain, Carlos Vilches and Sarah Jeong
      On May 26, 2020, Latam Airlines became the largest airline in the world to be driven to bankruptcy by COVID-19. With a complex debt structure and international investor composition, the company decided to file for bankruptcy protection in the United States, which...  View Details
      Keywords: Airlines; Pandemic; Coronavirus Pandemic; Health Pandemics; Air Transportation; Insolvency And Bankruptcy; Capital markets; Strategy; Latin America; Chile; United States
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      Alfaro, Laura, Mauricio Larrain, Carlos Vilches, and Sarah Jeong. "Latam Airlines and COVID-19: Seeking Bankruptcy Protection in the United States." Harvard Business School Case 321-027, August 2020. (Revised December 2020.)
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