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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (199)
      • Faculty Publications  (21)

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      • 2022
      • Book

      Productive Tensions: How Every Leader Can Tackle Innovation's Toughest Trade-Offs

      By: Chris Bingham and Rory McDonald
      Why is leading innovation in nascent business environments so distressingly hit-or-miss? More than 90% of high-potential ventures don’t reach their projected targets. Surveys show that 80% of executives consider innovation crucial to their growth strategy, but only 6%...  View Details
      Keywords: Growth and Development Strategy; Innovation and Management; Organizational Culture; Leadership Style; Decision Making
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      Bingham, Chris, and Rory McDonald. Productive Tensions: How Every Leader Can Tackle Innovation's Toughest Trade-Offs. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2022.
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      The Luck of the Draw: The Causal Effect of Physicians on Birth Outcomes

      By: Arlen Guarin, Christian Posso, Estefania Saravia and Jorge Tamayo
      Identifying the effect of physicians’ skills on health outcomes is a challenging task due to the nonrandom sorting between physicians and hospitals. We overcome this challenge by exploiting a Colombian government program that randomly assigned 2,126 physicians to 618...  View Details
      Keywords: Physicians' Health Skills; Health Birth Outcomes; Birthing Outcomes; Experimental Evidence; Health Care and Treatment; Competency and Skills; Outcome or Result; Health Industry; Colombia
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      Guarin, Arlen, Christian Posso, Estefania Saravia, and Jorge Tamayo. "The Luck of the Draw: The Causal Effect of Physicians on Birth Outcomes." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-015, February 2021. (Revised November 2021.)
      • Article

      The Luck Factor in Negotiation

      By: Michael A. Wheeler and Kimberlyn Leary
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      Wheeler, Michael A., and Kimberlyn Leary. "The Luck Factor in Negotiation." Negotiation Journal 36, no. 1 (Winter 2020): 7–12.
      • 29 Mar 2019
      • Interview

      Integrating Theory into Your Organization: Black Duck by Synopsys

      By: Lou Shipley
      The Disruptive Voice hits the road, heading to BlackDuck by Synopsys headquarters in Burlington, MA. We sit down with Lou Shipley (CEO), Patrick Carey (Director of Product Marketing), and Tim Kenny (VP of Culture) to hear how Competing Against Luck became a company...  View Details
      Keywords: Innovation; Company Culture; Disruption; Innovation and Invention; Disruptive Innovation; Technology; Organizational Culture
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      "Integrating Theory into Your Organization: Black Duck by Synopsys." no. 31, The Disruptive Voice, HBS Forum on Growth and Innovation, March 29, 2019.
      • Article

      Popular Acceptance of Inequality Due to Innate Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-based Taxation

      By: Matthew C. Weinzierl
      U.S. survey respondents' views on distributive justice differ in two specific, related ways from what is conventionally assumed in modern optimal tax research. When expressing their preferences over allocations in stylized, hypothetical scenarios meant to isolate key...  View Details
      Keywords: Optimal Taxation; Welfarism; Luck; Benefit-based Taxation; Taxation; Equality and Inequality; Attitudes
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      Weinzierl, Matthew C. "Popular Acceptance of Inequality Due to Innate Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-based Taxation." Journal of Public Economics 155 (November 2017): 54–63. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-104, March 2016; revised July 2016, and NBER Working Paper Series, No. 22462, July 2016. See Notes on Fortune article.)
      • March 2017
      • Supplement

      Mobileye: The Future of Driverless Cars

      By: David B. Yoffie
      This video is a supplement to the Mobileye case. The co-founder, Chairman, and CTO, Amnon Shashua, discussed how Mobileye tries to create a sustainable advantage; how it prices its products; whether it should collaborate or not with Google; and how much of its...  View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Competitive Positioning; Driverless Car; Competitive Strategy; Alliances; Competitive Advantage; Auto Industry; Israel
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      Yoffie, David B. "Mobileye: The Future of Driverless Cars." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Supplement 717-805, March 2017.
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Popular Acceptance of Inequality Due to Innate Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-Based Taxation

      By: Matthew C. Weinzierl
      U.S. survey respondents' views on distributive justice are shown to differ in two specific, related ways from what is conventionally assumed in modern optimal tax research. A large share of respondents, and in some cases a large majority, resist the full equalization...  View Details
      Keywords: Equality and Inequality; Attitudes; Taxation; Theory; United States
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      Weinzierl, Matthew C. "Popular Acceptance of Inequality Due to Innate Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-Based Taxation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-104, March 2016. (Revised July 2016. Also NBER Working Paper Series, No. 22462, July 2016. Also see Notes on Fortune article. Accepted for publication by the Journal of Public Economics.)
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Economic Uncertainty and Earnings Management

      By: Luke C.D. Stein and Charles C.Y. Wang
      In the presence of managerial short-termism and asymmetric information about skill and effort provision, firms may opportunistically shift earnings from uncertain to more certain times. We document empirically that when financial markets are less certain about a firm's...  View Details
      Keywords: Discretionary Accruals; Uncertainty; Implied Volatility; Earnings Response Coefficient; Risk and Uncertainty; Earnings Management; Financial Markets
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      Stein, Luke C.D., and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Economic Uncertainty and Earnings Management." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-103, March 2016. (Revised April 2017.)
      • November 2015
      • Article

      Why Organizations Don't Learn: Our Traditional Obsessions—Success, Taking Action, Fitting In, and Relying on Experts—Undermine Continuous Improvement

      By: F. Gino and B. Staats
      For any enterprise to be competitive, continuous learning and improvement are key—but not always easy to achieve. After a decade of research, the authors have concluded that four biases stand in the way: we focus too heavily on success, are too quick to act, try too...  View Details
      Keywords: Organizations; Learning
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      Gino, F., and B. Staats. "Why Organizations Don't Learn: Our Traditional Obsessions—Success, Taking Action, Fitting In, and Relying on Experts—Undermine Continuous Improvement." Harvard Business Review 93, no. 11 (November 2015): 110–118.
      • July–August 2014
      • Article

      How the Other Fukushima Plant Survived

      By: Ranjay Gulati, Charles Casto and Charlotte Krontiris
      In March 2011, Japan's Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant was devastated by three reactor explosions and two core meltdowns in the days following a 9.0 earthquake and a tsunami that produced waves as high as 17 meters. The world is familiar with Daiichi's fate; less...  View Details
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      Gulati, Ranjay, Charles Casto, and Charlotte Krontiris. "How the Other Fukushima Plant Survived." Harvard Business Review 92, nos. 7/8 (July–August 2014): 111–115.
      • December, 2017
      • Article

      The Luck Factor in Great Decisions

      By: Michael A. Wheeler
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      Wheeler, Michael A. "The Luck Factor in Great Decisions." Harvard Business Review (website) (November 18, 2013).
      • 2013
      • Comment

      Fairness and Redistribution: Comment

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra
      In an influential paper, Alesina and Angeletos (2005)—henceforth, AA—argued that a preference for fairness could lead two identical societies to choose different economic systems. In particular, two equilibria might arise: one with low taxes and a belief that the...  View Details
      Keywords: Taxes; Beliefs; Economic Systems; Values and Beliefs; Fairness; Taxation
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Juan Dubra. "Fairness and Redistribution: Comment." American Economic Review 103, no. 1 (February 2013): 549–553.
      • January 2013
      • Case

      Arthur Rock

      By: Felda Hardymon, Tom Nicholas and Liz Kind
      Arthur Rock was known as one of the country's first venture capitalists and was instrumental in launching major Silicon Valley firms, such as Fairchild Semiconductor, Intel Corporation, Apple Computer, Inc., Scientific Data Systems and Teledyne Incorporated. He was the...  View Details
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Success; Financial Services Industry; Technology Industry; California
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      Hardymon, Felda, Tom Nicholas, and Liz Kind. "Arthur Rock." Harvard Business School Case 813-138, January 2013.
      • 2010
      • Other Teaching and Training Material

      Note: Moral Decision-Making: Reason, Emotion & Luck (revised) 9-910-029

      By: Michael A. Wheeler
      Keywords: Moral Sensibility; Emotions
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      Wheeler, Michael A. "Note: Moral Decision-Making: Reason, Emotion & Luck (revised) 9-910-029." 2010.
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      A Resource Belief-Curse: Oil and Individualism

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra and Robert MacCulloch
      We study the correlation between a belief concerning individualism and a measure of luck in the US during the period 1983-2004. The measure of beliefs is the answer to a question related to whether the poor should be helped by the government or if they should help...  View Details
      Keywords: History; Natural Environment; Non-Renewable Energy; Values and Beliefs; Price; Poverty; Policy; Economy; United States
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Juan Dubra, and Robert MacCulloch. "A Resource Belief-Curse: Oil and Individualism." In The Natural Resources Trap: Private Investment without Public Commitment, edited by William Hogan and Federico Sturzenegger. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2010.
      • April 2010 (Revised November 2010)
      • Background Note

      Moral Decision-Making: Reason, Emotion & Luck

      By: Michael A. Wheeler and Julianna Pillemer
      This extensive note synthesizes current psychological and neuroscientific research on how people make decisions with moral implications. Research summaries and scenarios illustrate critical issues.  View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Moral Sensibility; Leadership; Science; Emotions
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      Wheeler, Michael A., and Julianna Pillemer. "Moral Decision-Making: Reason, Emotion & Luck." Harvard Business School Background Note 910-029, April 2010. (Revised November 2010.)
      • April 2009 (Revised December 2015)
      • Case

      Dot.com: Online Pet Retailing

      By: Tom Nicholas and David Chen
      From 1995 to 1999, the U.S. experienced a period of tremendous growth in its information technology (IT) sector. The IT industry, although it accounted for less than 10% of the U.S. economy's total output, contributed disproportionately to economic growth. One market...  View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Price Bubble; Growth and Development Strategy; Failure; Competitive Strategy; Online Technology; Retail Industry
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      Nicholas, Tom, and David Chen. "Dot.com: Online Pet Retailing." Harvard Business School Case 809-117, April 2009. (Revised December 2015.)
      • July 2008
      • Article

      Crime and Punishment in the 'American Dream'

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra
      We observe that countries where belief in the "American dream" (i.e., effort pays) prevails also set harsher punishment for criminals. We know that beliefs are also correlated with several features of the economic system (taxation, social insurance, etc). Our objective...  View Details
      Keywords: Crime and Corruption; Economic Systems; Values and Beliefs; Law Enforcement; Mathematical Methods; Personal Characteristics; United States
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Juan Dubra. "Crime and Punishment in the 'American Dream'." Journal of Public Economics 92, no. 7 (July 2008).
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      A Resource Belief-Curse: Oil and Individualism

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Juan Dubra and Robert MacCulloch
      We study the correlation between a belief concerning individualism and a measure of luck in the US during the period 1983-2004. The measure of beliefs is the answer to a question related to whether the poor should be helped by the government or if they should help...  View Details
      Keywords: Energy; Price; Policy; Government and Politics; Poverty; Welfare; Energy Industry; United States
      Citation
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Juan Dubra, and Robert MacCulloch. "A Resource Belief-Curse: Oil and Individualism." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-035, November 2007.
      • 2006
      • Working Paper

      Skill vs. Luck in Entrepreneurship and Venture Capital: Evidence from Serial Entrepreneurs

      By: Paul A. Gompers, Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner and David S. Scharfstein
      This paper argues that a large component of success in entrepreneurship and venture capital can be attributed to skill. We show that entrepreneurs with a track record of success are more likely to succeed than first time entrepreneurs and those who have previously...  View Details
      Keywords: Return On Investment; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Success; Experience and Expertise
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      Gompers, Paul A., Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner, and David S. Scharfstein. "Skill vs. Luck in Entrepreneurship and Venture Capital: Evidence from Serial Entrepreneurs." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 12592, October 2006.
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