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      • Faculty Publications  (58)

      Judgment And Decision-making Remove Judgment And Decision-making →

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      Judgment and Decision Making
      Judgment in Managerial Decision Making
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      • February 2021
      • Case

      The Tulsa Massacre and the Call for Reparations

      By: Mihir Desai, Ruth Page, Suzanne Antoniou and Leanne Fan
      How should historic social injustices be addressed? Survivors of the 1921 Tulsa Massacre and their descendants, including Representative Regina Goodwin of Tulsa, believe they should be addressed through reparations and have consequently continued to push the government...  View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices And Conditions; Costs And Consequences; Decisions; Judgment And Decision-making; Race; Fairness; Moral Sensibility; Values And Beliefs; Corporate Accountability; Corporate Governance; Policy; Governing Rules, Regulations, And Reforms; Government Legislation; Government And Politics; Government Administration; Lawsuit; Leading Change; Mission And Purpose; Corporate Social Responsibility And Impact; Conflict Resolution; Conflict Management; Motivation And Incentives; Perspective Taking; Prejudice; Bias; Civil Society Or Community; Social Issues; decision making; Cost Vs Benefits; judgments; Race; Ethics; Fairness; Moral Sensibility; Governance; Corporate Accountability; Corporate Governance; Governing Rules, Regulations, And Reforms; Policy; Government And Politics; Government Legislation; History; Lawsuits And Litigation; Legal Liability; Oklahoma; Tulsa; United States
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      Desai, Mihir, Ruth Page, Suzanne Antoniou, and Leanne Fan. "The Tulsa Massacre and the Call for Reparations." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Case 221-707, February 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Case

      Aster DM Healthcare: Budgeting for a Crisis

      By: V.G. Narayanan and Amy Klopfenstein
      In April 2020, Alisha Moopen, Deputy Managing Director of Aster DM Healthcare, a network of clinics, hospitals, and pharmacies in the Middle East and India, must create her company’s budget for the 2021 fiscal year in light of the onset of Covid-19. The pandemic had...  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; decisions; Forecasting And Prediction; judgments; decision Choices And Conditions; Cost Vs Benefits; Budgets And Budgeting; Health Pandemics; Health Industry; Asia; India; United Arab Emirates; Dubai
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      Narayanan, V.G., and Amy Klopfenstein. "Aster DM Healthcare: Budgeting for a Crisis." Harvard Business School Case 121-001, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Supplement

      Aster DM Healthcare: Budget Exercise

      By: V.G. Narayanan and Amy Klopfenstein
      In April 2020, Alisha Moopen, Deputy Managing Director of Aster DM Healthcare, a network of clinics, hospitals, and pharmacies in the Middle East and India, must create her company’s budget for the 2021 fiscal year in light of the onset of Covid-19. The pandemic had...  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; decisions; Forecasting And Prediction; judgments; decision Choices And Conditions; Cost Vs Benefits; Finance; Borrowing And Debt; Financial Institutions; Banks And Banking; Financial Condition; Financial Liquidity; Accounting; Budgets And Budgeting; Management; Crisis Management; Health Pandemics; Health Industry; Asia; India; United Arab Emirates; Dubai
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      Narayanan, V.G., and Amy Klopfenstein. "Aster DM Healthcare: Budget Exercise." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 121-025, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Supplement

      Juno (B): Leveraging Student Power

      By: Joshua Schwartzstein and Kathleen L. McGinn
      In March 2020, Juno co-founders Chris Abkarians and Nikhil Agarwal decided to pitch banks in anticipation of their annual auction while negotiating directly with private lender Eager. Responses from the majority of private lenders—including Juno’s 2019 partner—were not...  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; decision Choices And Conditions; decisions; Cost Vs Benefits; judgments; Education; Higher Education; Finance; Borrowing And Debt; Strategy; Adaptation; Alignment; Negotiation; Negotiation Deal; Negotiation Offer; Negotiation Participants; Negotiation Process; Negotiation Types; Financial Services Industry; Education Industry; North And Central America; United States; Massachusetts; Boston
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      Schwartzstein, Joshua, and Kathleen L. McGinn. "Juno (B): Leveraging Student Power." Harvard Business School Supplement 921-033, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Supplement

      Juno (C): Leveraging Student Power

      By: Joshua Schwartzstein and Kathleen L. McGinn
      In May 2020, Juno co-founders Chris Abkarians and Nikhil Agarwal decided to hold the annual auction for their student loan assistance startup. Five lenders submitted bids, and the co-founders ultimately opted to select Eager Bank as their partner for the 2020-2021...  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; decision Choices And Conditions; decisions; Cost Vs Benefits; judgments; Education; Higher Education; Finance; Borrowing And Debt; Strategy; Adaptation; Alignment; Negotiation; Agreements And Arrangements; Negotiation Deal; Negotiation Offer; Negotiation Participants; Negotiation Process; Negotiation Tactics; Negotiation Types; Financial Services Industry; Education Industry; North And Central America; United States; Massachusetts; Boston
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      Schwartzstein, Joshua, and Kathleen L. McGinn. "Juno (C): Leveraging Student Power." Harvard Business School Supplement 921-034, January 2021.
      • January 2021
      • Article

      Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Mitigates Self-Serving Bias in Resource Allocation During the COVID-19 Crisis

      By: Karen Huang, Regan Bernhard, Netta Barak-Corren, Max Bazerman and Joshua D. Greene
      The COVID-19 crisis has forced healthcare professionals to make tragic decisions concerning which patients to save. Furthermore, the COVID-19 crisis has foregrounded the influence of self-serving bias in debates on how to allocate scarce resources. A utilitarian...  View Details
      Keywords: Self-serving Bias; Procedural Justice; Bioethics; Covid-19; Fairness; Health Pandemics; Resource Allocation; decision making
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      Huang, Karen, Regan Bernhard, Netta Barak-Corren, Max Bazerman, and Joshua D. Greene. "Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Mitigates Self-Serving Bias in Resource Allocation During the COVID-19 Crisis." Judgment and Decision Making 16, no. 1 (January 2021): 1–19.
      • November 2020
      • Teaching Note

      Valuing Celgene's CVR

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Daniel Fisher
      When Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) acquired Celgene Corporation in November 2019, Celgene shareholders received cash, BMS stock, and a contingent value right (CVRs) that would pay $9 if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved three of Celgene’s late stage...  View Details
      Keywords: Mergers And Acquisitions; Valuation; Value; judgments; decision making; Cash Flow; Financial Instruments; Cognition And Thinking; Pharmaceutical Industry; Biotechnology Industry; United States
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Daniel Fisher. "Valuing Celgene's CVR." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 221-036, November 2020.
      • November 2020
      • Case

      Valuing Celgene's CVR

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Daniel Fisher
      When Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) acquired Celgene Corporation in November 2019, Celgene shareholders received cash, BMS stock, and a contingent value right (CVRs) that would pay $9 if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved three of Celgene’s late stage...  View Details
      Keywords: Mergers And Acquisitions; Value; Valuation; judgments; decision making; Cash Flow; Financial Instruments; Cognition And Thinking; Pharmaceutical Industry; Biotechnology Industry; United States
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Daniel Fisher. "Valuing Celgene's CVR." Harvard Business School Case 221-031, November 2020.
      • November 2020
      • Supplement

      Valuing Celgene's CVR

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Daniel Fisher
      When Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) acquired Celgene Corporation in November 2019, Celgene shareholders received cash, BMS stock, and a contingent value right (CVRs) that would pay $9 if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved three of Celgene’s late stage...  View Details
      Keywords: Mergers And Acquisitions; Value; Valuation; judgments; decision making; Cash Flow; Financial Instruments; Cognition And Thinking; Pharmaceutical Industry; Biotechnology Industry; United States
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Daniel Fisher. "Valuing Celgene's CVR." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 221-705, November 2020.
      • June 2020 (Revised October 2020)
      • Case

      What Went Wrong with Boeing's 737 Max?

      By: William W. George and Amram Migdal
      This case describes the development of the Boeing 737 Max airplane model and the events leading up to two tragic plane crashes, in which a total of 346 people died: the crash of Lion Air flight 610 on October 29, 2018, in Indonesia, and the crash of Ethiopian Airlines...  View Details
      Keywords: Communication; Communication Intention And Meaning; Communication Strategy; Forms Of Communication; Announcements; decision making; decision Choices And Conditions; judgments; Ethics; Moral Sensibility; Values And Beliefs; Globalization; Global Strategy; Governance; Corporate Accountability; Governance Controls; Human Resources; Resignation And Termination; Leadership; Leadership Style; Management; Business Or Company Management; Crisis Management; Management Practices And Processes; Management Skills; Management Style; Management Systems; Risk Management; Time Management; Markets; Demand And Consumers; Market Platforms; Supply And Industry; Duopoly And Oligopoly; Industry Structures; Operations; Product Development; Organizations; Organizational Change And Adaptation; Organizational Culture; Outcome Or Result; Failure; Success; Planning; Strategic Planning; Problems And Challenges; Relationships; Business And Community Relations; Business And Government Relations; Business And Stakeholder Relations; Risk And Uncertainty; Safety; Strategy; Transportation; Air Transportation; Aerospace Industry; Air Transportation Industry; Africa; Ethiopia; Asia; Indonesia; North And Central America; United States; Seattle; Chicago
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      George, William W., and Amram Migdal. "What Went Wrong with Boeing's 737 Max?" Harvard Business School Case 320-104, June 2020. (Revised October 2020.)
      • March 2020
      • Article

      Is This My Group or Not? The Role of Ensemble Coding of Emotional Expressions in Group Categorization

      By: Amit Goldenberg, Timothy D. Sweeny, Emmanuel Shpigel and James J. Gross
      When exposed to others’ emotional responses, people often make rapid decisions as to whether these others are members of their group or not. These group categorization decisions have been shown to be extremely important to understanding group behavior. Yet, despite...  View Details
      Keywords: Categorization; Ensemble Coding; Summary Statistical Perception; Social Cognition; Emotions; Perception; Groups And Teams
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      Goldenberg, Amit, Timothy D. Sweeny, Emmanuel Shpigel, and James J. Gross. "Is This My Group or Not? The Role of Ensemble Coding of Emotional Expressions in Group Categorization." Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 149, no. 3 (March 2020).
      • November 26, 2019
      • Article

      Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Favors the Greater Good

      By: Karen Huang, Joshua D. Greene and Max Bazerman
      The “veil of ignorance” is a moral reasoning device designed to promote impartial decision-making by denying decision-makers access to potentially biasing information about who will benefit most or least from the available options. Veil-of-ignorance reasoning was...  View Details
      Keywords: Policy Making; Procedural Justice; Ethics; decision making; Policy; Fairness
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      Huang, Karen, Joshua D. Greene, and Max Bazerman. "Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Favors the Greater Good." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116, no. 48 (November 26, 2019).
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Favors the Greater Good

      By: Karen Huang, Joshua D. Greene and Max Bazerman
      The “veil of ignorance” is a moral reasoning device designed to promote impartial decision-making by denying decision-makers access to potentially biasing information about who will benefit most or least from the available options. Veil-of-ignorance reasoning was...  View Details
      Keywords: Policy-making; Procedural Justice; Ethics; decision making; Fairness
      Citation
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      Huang, Karen, Joshua D. Greene, and Max Bazerman. "Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Favors the Greater Good." Working Paper, October 2019.
      • November 2018
      • Article

      Worthy of Swift Trust? How Brief Interpersonal Contact Affects Trust Accuracy

      By: Oliver Schilke and Laura Huang
      Organizational scholars have long underscored the positive consequences of trust, yet trust can also have dysfunctional effects if it is not placed wisely. Though much research has examined conditions that increase individuals’ tendencies to trust others, we know very...  View Details
      Keywords: Trust; Interpersonal Communication; judgments; Perspective
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      Schilke, Oliver, and Laura Huang. "Worthy of Swift Trust? How Brief Interpersonal Contact Affects Trust Accuracy." Journal of Applied Psychology 103, no. 11 (November 2018): 1181–1197.
      • March 2018
      • Article

      How Context Affects Choice

      By: Raphael Thomadsen, Robert P. Rooderkerk, On Amir, Neeraj Arora, Bryan Bollinger, Karsten Hansen, Leslie John, Wendy Liu, Aner Sela, Vishal Singh, K. Sudhir and Wendy Wood
      Due to its origins in the literature on judgment and decision-making, context effects in marketing are construed exclusively in terms of how choices deviate from utility maximization principles as a function of how choices are presented (e.g., framing, sequence,...  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; decision Choices And Conditions; Situation Or Environment; Consumer Behavior
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      Thomadsen, Raphael, Robert P. Rooderkerk, On Amir, Neeraj Arora, Bryan Bollinger, Karsten Hansen, Leslie John, Wendy Liu, Aner Sela, Vishal Singh, K. Sudhir, and Wendy Wood. "How Context Affects Choice." Special Issue on 2016 Choice Symposium. Customer Needs and Solutions 5, nos. 1-2 (March 2018): 3–14.
      • Article

      Pseudo-Set Framing

      By: Kate Barasz, Leslie John, Elizabeth A. Keenan and Michael I. Norton
      Pseudo-set framing—arbitrarily grouping items or tasks together as part of an apparent “set”—motivates people to reach perceived completion points. Pseudo-set framing changes gambling choices (Study 1), effort (Studies 2 and 3), giving behavior (Field Data and Study...  View Details
      Keywords: Framing Effects; Gestalt Psychology; judgment; Decision Making; Perception; judgments; decision making; Perception; Behavior
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      Barasz, Kate, Leslie John, Elizabeth A. Keenan, and Michael I. Norton. "Pseudo-Set Framing." Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 146, no. 10 (October 2017): 1460–1477.
      • August 2017
      • Case

      Wake Up Call

      By: David G. Fubini and Christine Snively
      In 1993, three consultants at different stages in their careers must decide how to respond to what they considered to be unethical behavior from a partner at their firm. They each considered the potential consequences of reporting a senior colleague and the impact it...  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; judgments; Leadership Style; Ethics; Consulting Industry; United States
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      Fubini, David G., and Christine Snively. "Wake Up Call." Harvard Business School Case 418-001, August 2017.
      • August 2017
      • Supplement

      Wake Up Call (B)

      By: David G. Fubini and Christine Snively
      (B) case  View Details
      Keywords: decision making; judgments; Leadership Style; Consulting Industry; United States
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      Fubini, David G., and Christine Snively. "Wake Up Call (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 418-025, August 2017.
      • Article

      Is Saving Lives Your Task or God's?: Religiosity, Belief in God, and Moral Judgment

      By: Netta Barak-Corren and Max Bazerman
      Should a Catholic hospital abort a life-threatening pregnancy or let a pregnant woman die? Should a religious employer allow his employees access to contraceptives or break with healthcare legislation? People and organizations of faith often face moral decisions that...  View Details
      Keywords: Religion; Normative Conflict; Inaction; Indirectness; Deontology; Utilitarianism; Sunday Effect; Religion; Moral Sensibility; decisions; judgments
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      Barak-Corren, Netta, and Max Bazerman. "Is Saving Lives Your Task or God's? Religiosity, Belief in God, and Moral Judgment." Judgment and Decision Making 12, no. 3 (May 2017): 280–296.
      • Article

      How to Tackle Your Toughest Decisions

      By: Joseph L. Badaracco
      The toughest calls managers have to make come in situations when they have worked hard to gather the facts and have done the best analysis they can, but they still don’t know what to do. Then judgment—a fusion of thinking, feelings, experience, imagination, and...  View Details
      Keywords: Management; judgments
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      Badaracco, Joseph L. "How to Tackle Your Toughest Decisions." Harvard Business Review 94, no. 9 (September 2016): 104–107.
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