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- 1977
- Other Unpublished Work
Indexing Social Security: An Analysis of the Issues
By: Robert S. Kaplan
- Forthcoming
- Article
Doing More with Less: Overcoming Ineffective Long-Term Targeting Using Short-Term Signals
By: Ta-Wei Huang and Eva Ascarza
Firms are increasingly interested in developing targeted interventions for customers with the best response,
which requires identifying differences in customer sensitivity, typically through the conditional average treatment
effect (CATE) estimation. In theory, to...
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Keywords:
Long-run Targeting;
Heterogeneous Treatment Effect;
Statistical Surrogacy;
Customer Churn;
Field Experiments;
Consumer Behavior;
Customer Focus and Relationships;
AI and Machine Learning;
Marketing Strategy
Huang, Ta-Wei, and Eva Ascarza. "Doing More with Less: Overcoming Ineffective Long-Term Targeting Using Short-Term Signals." Marketing Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 6, 2024.)
- Forthcoming
- Article
Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets
By: Alberto Cavallo
The Covid-19 pandemic led to changes in expenditure patterns that introduced significant bias in the measurement of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Using publicly-available data on card transactions, I updated the official CPI weights and re-calculated inflation...
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Keywords:
COVID;
Consumer Expenditures;
CPI;
Inflation;
Consumer Behavior;
Inflation and Deflation;
Health Pandemics
Cavallo, Alberto. "Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets." IMF Economic Review (forthcoming). (Pre-published online August 31, 2023.)
- Research Summary
National Innovative Capacity and the Ideas Production Function
Joint research with Scott Stern (MIT) is exploring the determinants of innovative capacity across countries using time series/cross-section data ("Measuring the "Ideas" Production Function: Evidence from International Patent...
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- Research Summary
Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race (joint with Fabio Kanczuk)
By: Laura Alfaro
There are different arguments in favor and against nominal and indexed debt which broadly include the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model these arguments and calibrate the model to assess the quantitative importance...
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- Research Summary
Overview
By: Boris Vallee
Professor Vallée focuses on financial innovation, investigating it from different angles. This research thread has led him to relate the methods and insights of corporate finance and banking with those of other subfields, including household finance, public finance,...
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- Forthcoming
- Article
The Disappearing Index Effect
By: Robin Greenwood and Marco Sammon
The abnormal return associated with a stock being added to the S&P 500 has fallen from an average
of 7.4% in the 1990s to 0.3% over the past decade. This has occurred despite a significant increase in the
share of stock market assets linked to the index. A similar...
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Greenwood, Robin, and Marco Sammon. "The Disappearing Index Effect." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
- Research Summary
The Global Agglomeration of Multinational Firms
By: Laura Alfaro
The explosion of multinational activities in recent decades is rapidly transforming the global landscape of industrial production. But are the emerging clusters of multinational production the rule or the exception? What drives the offshore agglomeration of...
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