Publications
Publications
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- 2022
- Working Paper
Nailing Prediction: Experimental Evidence on the Value of Tools in Predictive Model Development
Predictive model development is understudied despite its importance to modern businesses. Although prior discussions highlight advances in methods (along the dimensions of data, computing power, and algorithms) as the primary driver of model quality, the value of tools...
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Keywords:
Analytics and Data Science
- 2022
- Working Paper
Improving Human-Algorithm Collaboration: Causes and Mitigation of Over- and Under-Adherence
By: Maya Balakrishnan, Kris Ferreira and Jordan Tong
Even if algorithms make better predictions than humans on average, humans may sometimes have “private” information which an algorithm does not have access to that can improve performance. How can we help humans effectively use and adjust recommendations made by...
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- 2022
- Article
OpenXAI: Towards a Transparent Evaluation of Model Explanations
By: Chirag Agarwal, Satyapriya Krishna, Eshika Saxena, Martin Pawelczyk, Nari Johnson, Isha Puri, Marinka Zitnik and Himabindu Lakkaraju
While several types of post hoc explanation methods have been proposed in recent literature, there is very little work on systematically benchmarking these methods. Here, we introduce OpenXAI, a comprehensive and extensible opensource framework for evaluating and...
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- 2022
- Article
Which Explanation Should I Choose? A Function Approximation Perspective to Characterizing Post hoc Explanations
By: Tessa Han, Suraj Srinivas and Himabindu Lakkaraju
A critical problem in the field of post hoc explainability is the lack of a common foundational goal among methods. For example, some methods are motivated by function approximation, some by game theoretic notions, and some by obtaining clean visualizations. This...
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- November–December 2022
- Article
Your Company Needs a Space Strategy. Now.
By: Matthew Weinzierl, Prithwiraj (Raj) Choudhury, Tarun Khanna, Alan MacCormack and Brendan Rosseau
Space is becoming a potential source of value for businesses across a range of sectors, including agriculture, pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, and tourism. To understand what the opportunities are for your company, the authors advise you to consider the four ways in...
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- November–December 2022
- Article
The Value of Descriptive Analytics: Evidence from Online Retailers
By: Ron Berman and Ayelet Israeli
Does the adoption of descriptive analytics impact online retailer performance, and if so, how? We use the synthetic difference-in-differences method to analyze the staggered adoption of a retail analytics dashboard by more than 1,500 e-commerce websites, and we find an...
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- October 2022
- Supplement
Single Earth: Science White Paper Supplement
By: Rembrand Koning and Emer Moloney
Science White Paper prepared by Single.Earth to give an overview of the models and solutions it has developed.
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Keywords:
Business Startups;
Entrepreneurship;
Climate Change;
Environmental Sustainability;
Green Technology;
Natural Resources;
Pollution;
Analytics and Data Science;
Marketing;
Product Marketing;
Product Launch;
Product Positioning;
Markets;
Market Timing;
Strategy;
Green Technology Industry;
Estonia
- October 2022
- Case
Single.Earth
By: Rembrand Koning and Emer Moloney
Estonian greentech company Single.Earth is launching a nature-backed token that is linked to and funds the protection of a specific plot fo land. The first landowners had been onboarded to the company's Digital Twin, a virtual representation of the planet's natural...
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Keywords:
Alternative Assets;
Business Startups;
Entrepreneurship;
Climate Change;
Environmental Sustainability;
Green Technology;
Natural Resources;
Pollution;
Analytics and Data Science;
Marketing;
Product Marketing;
Product Launch;
Product Positioning;
Markets;
Market Timing;
Strategy;
Green Technology Industry;
Estonia
- October 2022 (Revised December 2022)
- Case
SMART: AI and Machine Learning for Wildlife Conservation
By: Brian Trelstad and Bonnie Yining Cao
Spatial Monitoring and Reporting Tool (SMART), a set of software and analytical tools designed for the purpose of wildlife conservation, had demonstrated significant improvements in patrol coverage, with some observed reductions in poaching and contributing to wildlife...
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- September 2022 (Revised November 2022)
- Teaching Note
PittaRosso: Artificial Intelligence-Driven Pricing and Promotion
By: Ayelet Israeli
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 522-046.
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Keywords:
Artificial Intelligence;
Pricing;
Pricing Algorithm;
Pricing Decisions;
Pricing Strategy;
Pricing Structure;
Promotion;
Promotions;
Online Marketing;
Data-driven Decision-making;
Data-driven Management;
Retail;
Retail Analytics;
Price;
Advertising Campaigns;
Analytics and Data Science;
Analysis;
Digital Marketing;
Budgets and Budgeting;
Marketing Strategy;
Marketing;
Transformation;
Decision Making;
AI and Machine Learning;
Retail Industry;
Italy
- August 2022
- Supplement
Zalora: Data-Driven Pricing Recommendations
By: Ayelet Israeli
This exercise can be used in conjunction with the main case "Zalora: Data-Driven Pricing" to facilitate class discussion without requiring data analysis from the students. Instead, the exercise presents reports that were created by the data science team to answer the...
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Keywords:
Pricing;
Pricing Algorithms;
Dynamic Pricing;
Ecommerce;
Pricing Strategy;
Pricing And Revenue Management;
Apparel;
Singapore;
Startup;
Demand Estimation;
Data Analysis;
Data Analytics;
Exercise;
Price;
Internet and the Web;
Apparel and Accessories Industry;
Apparel and Accessories Industry;
Apparel and Accessories Industry;
Singapore
- 2022
- Article
Data Poisoning Attacks on Off-Policy Evaluation Methods
By: Elita Lobo, Harvineet Singh, Marek Petrik, Cynthia Rudin and Himabindu Lakkaraju
Off-policy Evaluation (OPE) methods are a crucial tool for evaluating policies in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, where exploration is often infeasible, unethical, or expensive. However, the extent to which such methods can be trusted under adversarial threats...
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- 2022
- Article
Fairness via Explanation Quality: Evaluating Disparities in the Quality of Post hoc Explanations
By: Jessica Dai, Sohini Upadhyay, Ulrich Aivodji, Stephen Bach and Himabindu Lakkaraju
As post hoc explanation methods are increasingly being leveraged to explain complex models in high-stakes settings, it becomes critical to ensure that the quality of the resulting explanations is consistently high across all subgroups of a population. For instance, it...
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- 2022
- Book
Purpose + Profit: How Business Can Lift Up the World
By: George Serafeim
The roadmap and best practices to reap the enormous value that can emerge when your business prioritizes social and environmental goals—such as climate change, diversity and inclusion, and sustainability—right alongside the pursuit of profit.
We not only... View Details
We not only... View Details
- 2022
- Article
Towards Robust Off-Policy Evaluation via Human Inputs
By: Harvineet Singh, Shalmali Joshi, Finale Doshi-Velez and Himabindu Lakkaraju
Off-policy Evaluation (OPE) methods are crucial tools for evaluating policies in high-stakes domains such as healthcare, where direct deployment is often infeasible, unethical, or expensive. When deployment environments are expected to undergo changes (that is, dataset...
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- July 2022
- Case
Operation Overlord
By: Boris Groysberg, Greg Goullet, Katherine Connolly Baden and Sarah L. Abbott
On June 6, 1944, nearly 5,000 ships, 11,000 planes, and 160,000 infantrymen under an Allied joint-command of American, British, and Canadian leaders were sent across the English Channel, with hopes of re-establishing a foothold in Nazi-occupied France. Known as D-Day,...
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- July 2022
- Supplement
Solution for E-Commerce Analytics for CPG Firms (A): Estimating Sales
By: Ayelet Israeli
Keywords:
Data Analysis;
Data Analytics;
CPG;
Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG);
Estimation;
Online Channel;
Retail Analytics;
Retail;
Retailing Industry;
Data;
Data Sharing;
Bricks And Mortar;
Ecommerce;
Analytics and Data Science;
Analysis;
Sales;
Goods and Commodities;
Retail Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
United States
- July 2022
- Supplement
Solution for E-Commerce Analytics for CPG Firms (B): Optimizing Assortment for a New Retailer
By: Ayelet Israeli
Keywords:
Data;
Data Analysis;
Data Analytics;
Data Sharing;
CPG;
Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG);
Delivery Planning;
Customer Lifetime Value;
Online Channel;
Retail;
Retail Analytics;
Retailing Industry;
Ecommerce;
Grocery;
Optimization;
Analytics and Data Science;
Analysis;
Customer Value and Value Chain;
Marketing Channels;
E-commerce;
Retail Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
United States
- July 2022
- Supplement
Solution for E-Commerce Analytics for CPG Firms (C): Free Delivery Terms
By: Ayelet Israeli
Keywords:
Data;
Data Analysis;
Data Analytics;
Data Sharing;
CPG;
Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG);
Delivery Planning;
Customer Lifetime Value;
Online Channel;
Retail;
Retail Analytics;
Retailing Industry;
Ecommerce;
Grocery;
Optimization;
Analytics and Data Science;
Analysis;
Customer Value and Value Chain;
Marketing Channels;
E-commerce;
Retail Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
United States
- July 2022
- Teaching Note
eGrocery and the Role of Data and E-Commerce Analytics for CPG Firms
By: Ayelet Israeli
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 521-077.
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Keywords:
Data;
Data Analysis;
Data Analytics;
Data Sharing;
CPG;
Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG);
Delivery Planning;
Customer Lifetime Value;
Online Channel;
Retail;
Retail Analytics;
Retailing Industry;
Ecommerce;
Grocery;
Optimization;
Analytics and Data Science;
Analysis;
Customer Value and Value Chain;
Marketing Channels;
E-commerce;
Retail Industry;
Consumer Products Industry;
United States