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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (92)
    • Faculty Publications  (12)

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    • All HBS Web  (92)
      • Faculty Publications  (12)

      Belief Formation Remove Belief Formation →

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      • September 2021
      • Article

      Diagnostic Bubbles

      By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon and Andrei Shleifer
      We introduce diagnostic expectations into a standard setting of price formation in which investors learn about the fundamental value of an asset and trade it. We study the interaction of diagnostic expectations with two well-known mechanisms: learning from prices and...  View Details
      Keywords: Bubble; Speculation; Diagnostic Expectations; Price Bubble; Mathematical Methods
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      Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, and Andrei Shleifer. "Diagnostic Bubbles." Journal of Financial Economics 141, no. 3 (September 2021).
      • 2020
      • Article

      The Upside to Feeling Worse Than Average (WTA): A Conceptual Framework to Understand When, How, and for Whom Worse-Than-Average Beliefs Have Long-Term Benefits

      By: Ashley V. Whillans, Frances Chen and Alex Jordan
      Our thoughts, feelings, and behaviors are shaped in critical ways by our beliefs about how we compare to other people. Past research has predominantly focused on the consequences of believing oneself to be better than average (BTA). Research on the consequences of...  View Details
      Keywords: Worse Than Average; Better Than Average; Social Cognition; Self-perception; Social Comparisons; Identity; Perception; Personal Characteristics
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      Whillans, Ashley V., Frances Chen, and Alex Jordan. "The Upside to Feeling Worse Than Average (WTA): A Conceptual Framework to Understand When, How, and for Whom Worse-Than-Average Beliefs Have Long-Term Benefits." Frontiers in Psychology 11, no. 642 (2020).
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Diagnostic Bubbles

      By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon and Andrei Shleifer
      We introduce diagnostic expectations into a standard setting of price formation in which investors learn about the fundamental value of an asset and trade it. We study the interaction of diagnostic expectations with two well-known mechanisms: learning from prices and...  View Details
      Keywords: Bubbles; Price Bubble; Mathematical Methods
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      Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, and Andrei Shleifer. "Diagnostic Bubbles." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 25399, December 2018.
      • 2018
      • Book

      A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility

      By: Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
      The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 caught markets and regulators by surprise. Although the government rushed to rescue other financial institutions from a similar fate after Lehman, it could not prevent the deepest recession in postwar history. A...  View Details
      Keywords: Financial Fragility; Economic Risk; Investor Behavior; Behavioral Economics; Financial Crisis; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Investment; Values and Beliefs; United States
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      Gennaioli, Nicola, and Andrei Shleifer. A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility. Princeton University Press, 2018.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      The Upside to Feeling Worse than Average: A Conceptual Framework to Understand When, How, and for Whom Worse-than-Average Beliefs Have Long-Term Benefits

      By: Ashley V. Whillans, Frances Chen and Alex Jordan
      Our thoughts, feelings, and behaviors are shaped in critical ways by our beliefs about how we compare to other people. Past research has predominantly focused on the consequences of believing oneself to be better than average (BTA). Research on the consequences of...  View Details
      Keywords: Identity; Perception; Personal Characteristics; Performance
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      Whillans, Ashley V., Frances Chen, and Alex Jordan. "The Upside to Feeling Worse than Average: A Conceptual Framework to Understand When, How, and for Whom Worse-than-Average Beliefs Have Long-Term Benefits." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-076, February 2018.
      • February 2016
      • Article

      After The Break-Up: The Relational and Reputational Consequences of Withdrawals from Venture Capital Syndicates

      By: Pavel Zhelyazkov and Ranjay Gulati
      Traditional research has long treated reputation as an egocentric attribute, typically described as an intangible asset directly shaped by the focal actor's track record. We argue, however, that reputation is dyadic: that an actor can have different reputations with...  View Details
      Keywords: Network Formation; Network Search; Venture Capital; Syndication; Networks
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      Zhelyazkov, Pavel, and Ranjay Gulati. "After The Break-Up: The Relational and Reputational Consequences of Withdrawals from Venture Capital Syndicates." Academy of Management Journal 59, no. 1 (February 2016): 277–301.
      • June 2012
      • Article

      Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
      Argentina privatized most public utilities during the 1990s but re-nationalized the main water company in 2006. We study beliefs about the benefits of the privatization of water services amongst low- and middle-income groups immediately after the 2006 nationalization....  View Details
      Keywords: Privatization; Business and Community Relations; Household; Government and Politics; Business and Government Relations; Public Ownership; Utilities Industry; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky. "Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization." Journal of Public Economics 96, nos. 5-6 (June 2012): 553–567.
      • May 2012
      • Article

      Measuring the Prevalence of Questionable Research Practices with Incentives for Truth-telling

      By: Leslie K. John, George Loewenstein and Drazen Prelec
      Cases of clear scientific misconduct have received significant media attention recently, but less flagrant transgressions of research norms may be more prevalent and in the long run more damaging to the academic enterprise. We surveyed over 2,000 psychologists about...  View Details
      Keywords: Research; Practice; Motivation and Incentives; Surveys; Values and Beliefs; Measurement and Metrics
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      John, Leslie K., George Loewenstein, and Drazen Prelec. "Measuring the Prevalence of Questionable Research Practices with Incentives for Truth-telling." Psychological Science 23, no. 5 (May 2012): 524–532.
      • 2008
      • Working Paper

      Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
      Argentina privatized most public utilities during the 1990s but re-nationalized the main water company in 2006. We study beliefs about the benefits of the privatization of water services amongst low and middle income groups immediately after the 2006 nationalization....  View Details
      Keywords: Privatization; Public Ownership; Business and Community Relations; Business and Government Relations; Values and Beliefs; Public Opinion; Utilities Industry; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky. "Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14483, November 2008.
      • February 2007
      • Article

      The Formation of Beliefs: Evidence from the Allocation of Land Titles to Squatters

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian F. Galiani and Ernesto S. Schargrodsky
      We study the formation of beliefs in a squatter settlement in the outskirts of Buenos Aires exploiting a natural experiment that induced an allocation of property rights that is exogenous to the characteristics of the squatters. There are significant differences in the...  View Details
      Keywords: Values and Beliefs; Property
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian F. Galiani, and Ernesto S. Schargrodsky. "The Formation of Beliefs: Evidence from the Allocation of Land Titles to Squatters." Quarterly Journal of Economics 122, no. 1 (February 2007).
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Christine L. Exley
      For the past several decades, income inequality in the United States has steadily increased. The extent of this inequality is exacerbated when making comparisons between the very rich and poor or men and women. Professor Exley’s research is driven by a desire to better...  View Details
      • Research Summary

      Selective Attention and Learning

      By: Joshua R. Schwartzstein

      What do we notice, and how does this affect what we learn? Standard economic models of learning ignore memory by assuming that we remember everything. But there is growing recognition that memory is imperfect. Further, memory imperfections do not stem from limited...  View Details

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