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- Article
Core Earnings: New Data and Evidence
By: Ethan Rouen, Eric C. So and Charles C.Y. Wang
Using a novel dataset, we show that components of firms' GAAP earnings stemming from ancillary business activities or transitory shocks are significant in frequency and magnitude. These components have grown over time and are dispersed across various sections of the...
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- 2021
- Article
An Empirical Examination of Sell-Side Brokerage Analysts' Published Research, Concierge Services, and High-Touch Services
By: David A. Maber, Boris Groysberg and Paul M. Healy
This paper uses a proprietary panel dataset to categorize and quantify the activities that sell-side brokerage analysts use to build and sustain their network of buy-side client relations. We then examine the marginal impact of these activities on key analyst outcome...
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- January–February 2021
- Article
Cross‐firm Return Predictability and Accounting Quality
By: Wen Chen, Mozaffar Khan, Leonid Kogan and George Serafeim
We test the hypothesis that if poor accounting quality (AQ) is associated with poor investor understanding of firms’ revenue and cost structures, then poor AQ stocks likely respond more slowly than good AQ stocks to new non‐idiosyncratic information that affects both...
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- 2022
- Working Paper
The Stock Market Value of Human Capital Creation
By: Matthias Regier and Ethan Rouen
We develop a measure of firm-year-specific human capital investment from publicly disclosed personnel expenses (PE) and examine the stock market valuation of this investment. Measuring the future value of PE (PEFV) based on the relation between lagged...
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- September 2020
- Article
Analyst Forecast Bundling
By: Michael Drake, Peter Joos, Joseph Pacelli and Brady Twedt
Changing economic conditions over the past two decades have created incentives for sell-side analysts to both provide their institutional clients tiered services and to streamline their written research process. One manifestation of these changes is an increased...
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- Article
Cultural Diversity on Wall Street: Evidence from Consensus Earnings Forecasts
By: Kenneth Merkley, Roni Michaely and Joseph Pacelli
We examine how cultural differences among agents influence the aggregate outcome of a common forecasting task. Using both exogenous shocks to sell-side analyst diversity and panel regression methods, we find that increases in analyst cultural diversity positively...
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- June 2020 (Revised February 2021)
- Case
Accounting for Leases at American Airlines (A)
By: Jonas Heese, Gerardo Pérez Cavazos and Julia Kelley
In March 2020, as coronavirus reduced demand for air travel, an analyst was forecasting American Airlines’ (American’s) first quarter financial results. To develop a forecast, she needed to familiarize herself with Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2016-02, “Leases...
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Keywords:
Accounting;
Financial Reporting;
Financial Statements;
Finance;
Governance;
Corporate Accountability;
Corporate Governance;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Governing and Advisory Boards;
Leasing;
Accounting Industry;
Air Transportation Industry;
North and Central America;
United States
- Article
Corporate Culture and Analyst Catering
By: Joseph Pacelli
This study examines the relation between financial institutions’ corporate culture and the quality of analysts’ research services. Using data collected from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, I measure the weakness of financial institutions’ corporate culture...
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- August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
- Case
Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (A)
By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
This case follows VP of Marketing, Jill Wehunt, and analyst Mark Morse as they tackle a predictive analytics project to increase sales in the Mom & Baby unit of a nationally recognized retailer, PriceMart. Wehunt observed that in the midst of the chaos that surrounded...
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- June 2018 (Revised October 2018)
- Teaching Note
Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A), (B), and (C)
By: Marco Di Maggio and Benjamin C. Esty
Teaching Note for HBS Nos. 218-095, 218-096, and 218-116.
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Keywords:
Sell-side Analysts;
Underwriters;
Investment Banking;
Social Network;
Discounted Cash Flow;
Cost Of Capital;
Conflicts Of Interest;
Corporate Governance;
Advertising;
Quiet Period;
Business Startups;
Digital Marketing;
Initial Public Offering;
Information Infrastructure;
Valuation;
Venture Capital;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Social Media;
Advertising Industry;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
Web Services Industry;
United States;
California
- June 2018 (Revised April 2021)
- Supplement
Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period
By: Benjamin C. Esty, Marco Di Maggio and Greg Saldutte
Keywords:
Sell-side Analysts;
Underwriters;
Investment Banking;
Social Network;
Discounted Cash Flow;
Cost Of Capital;
Conflicts Of Interest;
Corporate Governance;
Advertising;
Quiet Period;
Business Startups;
Digital Marketing;
Initial Public Offering;
Information Infrastructure;
Valuation;
Venture Capital;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Social Media;
United States;
California
- June 2018 (Revised April 2021)
- Case
Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A)
By: Marco Di Maggio, Benjamin C. Esty and Gregory Saldutte
Snap, the disappearing message app, went public at $17 per share on March 2, 2017, making its two 20-something founders the youngest self-made billionaires in the country. Over the next three weeks, 14 analysts made investment recommendations on Snap: two with buy...
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Keywords:
Sell-side Analysts;
Underwriters;
Investment Banking;
Social Network;
Discounted Cash Flow;
Cost Of Capital;
Conflicts Of Interest;
Corporate Governance;
Advertising;
Quiet Period;
＂DCF Valuation,＂;
Business Startups;
Digital Marketing;
Initial Public Offering;
Information Infrastructure;
Valuation;
Venture Capital;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Social Media;
Advertising Industry;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
Web Services Industry;
United States;
California
- June 2018
- Supplement
Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (B)
By: Marco Di Maggio and Benjamin C. Esty
Analyzes Snap’s value and analyst recommendations following the events described in the (A) case.
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Keywords:
Sell-side Analysts;
Underwriters;
Investment Banking;
Social Network;
Discounted Cash Flow;
Cost Of Capital;
Conflicts Of Interest;
Corporate Governance;
Advertising;
Quiet Period;
Business Startups;
Digital Marketing;
Initial Public Offering;
Information Infrastructure;
Valuation;
Venture Capital;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Social Media;
Advertising Industry;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
Web Services Industry;
United States;
California
- June 2018
- Supplement
Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (C)
By: Marco Di Maggio, Benjamin C. Esty and Gregory Saldutte
Analyzes Snap’s value and analyst recommendations following the events described in the (B) case.
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Keywords:
Sell-side Analysts;
Underwriters;
Investment Banking;
Social Network;
Discounted Cash Flow;
Cost Of Capital;
Conflicts Of Interest;
Corporate Governance;
Advertising;
Quiet Period;
Business Startups;
Digital Marketing;
Initial Public Offering;
Information Infrastructure;
Valuation;
Venture Capital;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Social Media;
Advertising Industry;
Entertainment and Recreation Industry;
Web Services Industry;
United States;
California
- May 2018 (Revised October 2019)
- Case
Managing the Future of Work
By: William R. Kerr, Allison Ciechanover and Jeff Huizinga
By 2019, leaders from the public and private sector had become increasingly anxious about how advanced technologies and aging global populations could affect labor markets, workplaces, and workers’ lives. Some analysts forecasted that hundreds of millions of workers...
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- 2021
- Working Paper
Government Shareholdings in Brokerage Firms and Analyst Research Quality
By: Sheng Cao, Xianjie He, Charles C.Y. Wang and Huifang Yin
During times when the Chinese government wished to prop up the market, sell-side analysts from brokerages with significant government ownership issued relatively less pessimistic (or more optimistic) earnings forecasts, earnings-forecast revisions, and stock...
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- Article
Does the Scope of the Sell-Side Analyst Industry Matter? An Examination of Bias, Accuracy, and Information Content of Analyst Reports
By: Kenneth Merkley, Roni Michaely and Joseph Pacelli
We examine changes in the scope of the sell-side analyst industry and whether these changes impact information dissemination and the quality of analysts’ reports. Our findings suggest that changes in the number of analysts covering an industry impact analyst...
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- April–May 2017
- Article
Career Concerns of Banking Analysts
By: Joanne Horton, George Serafeim and Shan Wu
We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their forecasting behavior benefits both them and bank managers. We show that banking analysts issue early in the year relatively more optimistic and later in the year more pessimistic forecasts...
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- January 2017
- Article
Being Surprised by the Unsurprising: Earnings Seasonality and Stock Returns
By: Tom Y. Chang, Samuel M. Hartzmark, David H. Solomon and Eugene F. Soltes
We present evidence consistent with markets failing to properly price information in seasonal earnings patterns. Firms with historically larger earnings in one quarter of the year (“positive seasonality quarters”) have higher returns when those earnings are usually...
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- Article
Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates
By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of...
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