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Publications

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  • June 2024
  • Article

Counterparty Risk and Counterparty Choice in the Credit Default Swap Market

By: Wenxin Du, Salil Gadgil, Michael Gordy and Clara Vega
We investigate how market participants price and manage counterparty credit risk using confidential trade repository data on single-name credit default swap (CDS) transactions. We find that counterparty risk has a modest impact on the pricing of CDS contracts but a... View Details
Keywords: Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Market Participation; Risk and Uncertainty; Price; Financial Markets; Credit
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  • April 2024
  • Teaching Note

NBIM and the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund

By: Luis M. Viceira and Wenxin Du
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 224-038. View Details
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  • January 2024 (Revised April 2024)
  • Case

NBIM and the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund

By: Wenxin Du and Luis M. Viceira
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  • January 2024
  • Technical Note

Hedging Currency Risk of Foreign Investments

By: Wenxin Du and Luis M. Viceira
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  • December 2023
  • Article

Intermediary Balance Sheets and the Treasury Yield Curve

By: Wenxin Du, Benjamin Hebert and Wenhao Li
We document a regime change in the Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC): dealers switched from net short to net long Treasury bonds. We construct “net-long” and “net-short” curves that account for balance sheet and financing costs, and show that actual... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Financial Markets; Financial Crisis; Asset Pricing
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  • April 2023
  • Article

Are Intermediary Constraints Priced?

By: Wenxin Du, Benjamin Hebert and Amy Wang Huber
Violations of no-arbitrage conditions measure the shadow cost of intermediary constraints. Intermediary asset pricing and intertemporal hedging together imply that the risk of these constraints tightening is priced. We describe a “forward CIP trading strategy” that... View Details
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance
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  • October 2022
  • Article

Sovereign Risk, Currency Risk, and Corporate Balance Sheets

By: Wenxin Du and Jesse Schreger
We provide a comprehensive account of the evolution of the currency composition of sovereign and corporate external borrowing by emerging markets from 2003 to 2017. We show that a higher reliance on foreign currency debt by the corporate sector is associated with... View Details
Keywords: Currency; International Finance
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  • 2022
  • Chapter

CIP Deviations, the Dollar, and Frictions in International Capital Markets

By: Wenxin Du and Jesse Schreger
The covered interest rate parity (CIP) condition is a fundamental arbitrage relationship in international finance. In this chapter, we review its breakdown during the Global Financial Crisis and its continued failure in the subsequent decade. We review how to measure... View Details
Keywords: Interest Rates; International Finance; Financial Crisis; Currency
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  • December 2020
  • Article

Sovereign Debt Portfolios, Bond Risks, and the Credibility of Monetary Policy

By: Wenxin Du, Carolin Pflueger and Jesse Schreger
We document that governments whose local currency debt provides them with greater hedging benefits actually borrow more in foreign currency. We introduce two features into a government's debt portfolio choice problem to explain this finding: risk-averse lenders and... View Details
Keywords: Investment Portfolio; Currency; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty
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  • September 2019
  • Article

The Dollar, Bank Leverage and Deviations from Covered Interest Parity

By: Stefan Advjiev, Wenxin Du, Catherine Koch and Hyun Song Shin
We document a triangular relationship in that a stronger dollar goes hand in hand with larger deviations from covered interest parity (CIP) and contractions of cross-border bank lending in dollars. We argue that underpinning the triangle is the role of the dollar as a... View Details
Keywords: International Finance; Currency; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking
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  • June 2018
  • Article

Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity

By: Wenxin Du, Alexander Tepper and Adrien Verdelhan
We find that deviations from the covered interest rate parity (CIP) condition imply large, persistent, and systematic arbitrage opportunities in one of the largest asset markets in the world. Contrary to the common view, these deviations for major currencies are not... View Details
Keywords: Interest Rates; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking; Price
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  • May 2018
  • Article

U.S. Treasury Premium

By: Wenxin Du, Joanne Im and Jesse Schreger
We quantify the difference in the convenience yield of U.S. Treasuries and government bonds of other developed countries by measuring the deviation from covered interest parity between government bond yields. We call this wedge the “U.S. Treasury Premium.” We document... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Investment Return; Interest Rates; Financial Crisis
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  • June 2016
  • Article

Local Currency Sovereign Risk

By: Wenxin Du and Jesse Schreger
We introduce a new measure of emerging market sovereign credit risk: the local currency credit spread, defined as the spread of local currency bonds over the synthetic local currency risk-free rate constructed using cross-currency swaps. We find that local currency... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Sovereign Finance; Currency; Emerging Markets
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  • Forthcoming
  • Article

Arbitrage Capital of Global Banks

By: Alyssa G. Anerson, Wenxin Du and Bernd Schlusche
We show that the role of unsecured, short-term wholesale funding for global banks has changed significantly in the post-financial-crisis regulatory environment. Global banks mainly use such funding to finance liquid, near risk-free arbitrage positions—in particular,... View Details
Keywords: Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Banks and Banking; Interest Rates; Financing and Loans
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