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  • February 13, 2025
  • Article
  • Harvard Business Review Digital Articles

Research: The Costs of Circumventing Tariffs

By: Jaya Y. Wen, Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky and Sung-Ju Wu
  • Format:Electronic
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Abstract

When tariffs are levied against a specific country, that country might attempt to circumvent the tariff by rerouting products through a third country to avoid the higher taxes. Research in the aftermath of the 2018 U.S.-China trade war examined this phenomenon, finding that, while tariff circumvention through Vietnam did happen, it wasn’t as widespread as many had initially thought. That said, there still was an increase in tariff circumvention more broadly, and specifically via Chinese-owned firms in Vietnam. The findings suggest that if a country is considering implementing tariffs, a better approach might involve ownership-based duties or firm-specific sanctions instead of blanket tariffs.

Keywords

Trade; Global Strategy; International Relations; United States; China

Citation

Wen, Jaya Y., Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky, and Sung-Ju Wu. "Research: The Costs of Circumventing Tariffs." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (February 13, 2025).
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About The Authors

Jaya Y. Wen

Business, Government and the International Economy
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Ebehi Iyoha

Entrepreneurial Management
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More from the Authors
  • Navigating Choppy Waters: How U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty Affects Small Businesses By: David Atkin, Zoë Cullen and Ebehi Iyoha
  • Lebanon: Splintering Cedar By: Mattias Fibiger, Jaya Y. Wen, Sophus A. Reinert and Gerard Zouein
  • Fiscal Shortfalls, Financialization, and the Private Sector By: Jaya Y. Wen, Haichao Fan, Guanchun Liu and Huanhuan Wang
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