Publications
Publications
- 2023
- HBS Working Paper Series
Geographies of Discontent: Public Service Deprivation and the Rise of the Far Right in Italy
By: Simone Cremaschi, Paula Rettl, Marco Cappelluti and Catherine E. De Vries
Abstract
Electoral support for far-right parties is often linked to geographies of discontent.
We argue that public service deprivation, defined as reduced access to public services
at the local level, plays an important role in explaining these patterns. By exploiting
an Italian reform that reduced access to local public services in municipalities with
fewer than 5,000 residents we demonstrate that far-right support in national elections
increased more after the reform in affected municipalities than in unaffected ones.
We use geo-coded individual-level survey data and party rhetoric data to explore the
mechanisms underlying this result. Our findings suggest that exposure to the reform
increased concerns about immigration, and that far-right parties increasingly linked
public services to immigration in their rhetoric after the reform. These demand
and supply dynamics help us understand how public service deprivation shapes
geographic patterns in far-right support.
Keywords
Election Outcomes; Electoral Behavior; Political Affiliation; Political Culture; Public Service; Political Elections; Policy; Government and Politics; Surveys; Geographic Location; Immigration; Europe; Italy
Citation
Cremaschi, Simone, Paula Rettl, Marco Cappelluti, and Catherine E. De Vries. "Geographies of Discontent: Public Service Deprivation and the Rise of the Far Right in Italy." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-024, November 2023.