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  • 2023
  • Working Paper
  • HBS Working Paper Series

Spatial Mobility, Economic Opportunity, and Crime

By: Gaurav Khanna, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham, Daniel Ramos-Menchelli, Jorge Tamayo and Audrey Tiew
  • Format:Print
  • | Language:English
  • | Pages:68
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Abstract

Neighborhoods are strong determinants of both economic opportunity and criminal activity. Does improving connectedness between segregated and unequal parts of a city predominantly import opportunity or export crime? We use a spatial general equilibrium framework to model individual decisions of where to work and whether to engage in criminal activity, with spillovers across the criminal and legitimate sectors. We match at the individual level various sources of administrative records from Medell´ın, Colombia, to construct a novel, granular dataset recording the origin and destination of both workers and criminals. We leverage the rollout of a cable car system to identify key parameters of the model, informing how changes in transportation costs causally affect the location and sector choices of workers and criminals. Our counterfactual exercises indicate that, when improving the connectedness of almost any neighborhood, overall criminal activity in the city is reduced, and total welfare is improved.

Keywords

Urban Development; Transportation Networks; Crime and Corruption; Transportation Industry; Medellín; Colombia; South America

Citation

Khanna, Gaurav, Carlos Medina, Anant Nyshadham, Daniel Ramos-Menchelli, Jorge Tamayo, and Audrey Tiew. "Spatial Mobility, Economic Opportunity, and Crime." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-016, September 2023. (R&R American Economic Review.)
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About The Author

Jorge Tamayo

Strategy
→More Publications

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  • Prices and Concentration: A U-shape? Theory and Evidence from Renewables By: Michele Fioretti, Junnan He and Jorge Tamayo
  • Training Within Firms By: Brayan Diaz, Andrea Neyra-Nazarrett, Julian Ramirez, Raffaella Sadun and Jorge Tamayo
  • Helium Mobile By: Shikhar Ghosh, Jorge Tamayo and Mahesh Ramakrishnan
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