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  • April 2022
  • Article
  • American Economic Review

Does Context Outweigh Individual Characteristics in Driving Voting Behavior? Evidence from Relocations within the U.S.

By: Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons
  • Format:Print
  • | Pages:47
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Abstract

We measure the overall influence of contextual versus individual factors (e.g., voting rules and media as opposed to race and education) on voter behavior, and explore underlying mechanisms. Using a U.S.-wide voter-level panel, 2008–18, we examine voters who relocate across state and county lines, tracking changes in registration, turnout, and party affiliation to estimate location and individual fixed effects in a value-added model. Location explains 37 percent of the cross-state variation in turnout (to 63 percent for individual characteristics) and an only slightly smaller share of variation in party affiliation. Place effects are larger for young and White voters.

Keywords

Voting; Behavior; Geographic Location; Personal Characteristics; Situation or Environment; United States

Citation

Cantoni, Enrico, and Vincent Pons. "Does Context Outweigh Individual Characteristics in Driving Voting Behavior? Evidence from Relocations within the U.S." American Economic Review 112, no. 4 (April 2022): 1226–1272.
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About The Author

Vincent Pons

Business, Government and the International Economy
→More Publications

More from the Authors

    • May 2023
    • Quarterly Journal of Economics

    How Do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multi-Country Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates

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    • March 2023
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    The Creation and Fissuring of Consensus

    By: Vincent Pons
    • February 2023
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    The Trouble with TCE

    By: Vincent Pons and Rafael Di Tella
More from the Authors
  • How Do Campaigns Shape Vote Choice? Multi-Country Evidence from 62 Elections and 56 TV Debates By: Caroline Le Pennec and Vincent Pons
  • The Creation and Fissuring of Consensus By: Vincent Pons
  • The Trouble with TCE By: Vincent Pons and Rafael Di Tella
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