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  • November–December 2020
  • Article
  • Harvard Business Review

The Risks You Can't Foresee: What to Do When There's No Playbook

By: Robert S. Kaplan, Herman B. Leonard and Anette Mikes
  • Format:Print
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Abstract

No matter how good their risk management systems are, companies can’t plan for everything. Some risks are outside people’s realm of experience or so remote no one could have imagined them. Some result from a perfect storm of coinciding breakdowns, and some materialize very rapidly and on an enormous scale. These novel risks, as the authors call them, cannot be addressed by following a standard playbook.

This article describes how to detect the emergence of a novel risk (start by looking for anomalies and appointing “chief worry officers”) and then how to mobilize resources to mitigate its impact, deploying a critical incident team or empowering local personnel to tackle it.

Keywords

Novel Risks; Risk Management; Crisis Management

Citation

Kaplan, Robert S., Herman B. Leonard, and Anette Mikes. "The Risks You Can't Foresee: What to Do When There's No Playbook." Harvard Business Review 98, no. 6 (November–December 2020): 40–46.
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About The Authors

Robert S. Kaplan

Accounting and Management
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Dutch Leonard

General Management
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More from the Authors
  • Health System Perspective on Cost for Delivering a Decision Aid for Prostate Cancer Using Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing By: David R. Ho, Robert S. Kaplan, Jonathan Bergman, David F. Penson, Benjamin Waterman, Kristin C. Williams, Jefersson Villatoro, Lorna Kwan and Christopher S. Saigal
  • Vanderbilt: Transforming an Academic Health Care Delivery System, 2020 By: Michael E. Porter, Robert S. Kaplan, Mary L. Witkowski and David N. Bernstein
  • Vanderbilt: Transforming an Academic Health Care Delivery System, 2020 By: Michael E. Porter, Robert S. Kaplan, Mary L. Witkowski and David N. Bernstein
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