Novel Risks

Robert S. Kaplan; Herman B. "Dutch" Leonard; Anette  Mikes

Working Paper | HBS Working Paper Series | 2020

Novel Risks

by Robert S. Kaplan, Herman B. "Dutch" Leonard and Anette Mikes

Abstract

All organizations practice some form of risk management to identify and assess routine risks in their operations, supply chains, strategy, and external environment. These risk management policies, however, fail in the presence of novelty. Novel risks arise from unforeseen events, from complex combinations of apparently routine events, and from apparently familiar events occurring at unprecedented scale and speed. Mobilizing routine risk management to novel events will be ineffective, and, more seriously, delude management into thinking that risks have been mitigated when they may already have escalated to serious consequences. Based on best practices from the private and public sector, the paper describes structures and processes to identify and respond to novel risks. A critical incident management team makes assessments and develops options in the event’s uncertain and volatile environment. The team’s decision-making process has to be rapid, improvisational, iterative, and humble since not every action taken will work as intended.

Keywords: Risk Management; Policy; Failure; Organizational Change and Adaptation;

Language: English

Format: Print

27 pages

Read Now

Citation:

Kaplan, Robert S., Herman B. "Dutch" Leonard, and Anette Mikes. "Novel Risks." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-094, March 2020. (Revised May 2020.)

Based in Cairo, Afreximbank was founded in October 1993 as a specialized continental financial institution designed to address the low level of intra-African trade, the decline in financial flows to Africa, the worsening external debt situation of many African countries, and the sharp reduction in lending to Africa by international commercial banks. This case study explores how the Bank introduced the Balanced Scorecard (BSC) to improve the Bank’s performance management system. The goal was to transform the Bank’s bureaucratic culture and processes into one more attuned to the fast-paced and dramatic changes happening in Africa. The case examines how the BSC is being used to implement the Bank’s strategy and the issues arising from its implementation. The case facilitates a discussion on whether the Bank had become entrepreneurial enough to keep pace with the continent’s thriving, emerging markets.

Leaders at six hospitals conducted a research study to assess and compare the health outcomes and costs of pediatric aerodigestive care. Four of the hospitals delivered care with an integrated practice unit (IPU) while two delivered care traditionally, with isolated specialists. The study used time-driven activity-based costing as a tool to measure and compare costs across the six sites. The results demonstrate that the four IPU sites improved clinical outcomes and had lower costs of care.

Value-based care models are becoming instrumental in structuring clinical care delivery in our healthcare climate. Our objective was to determine the value associated with implementation of a Family-Centered Care Coordination (FCCC) program for neonates undergoing tracheostomy.

Faculty & Research

Novel Risks

Abstract

Citation:

About the Authors

More from these Authors