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Publications
  • December 2020
  • Article
  • Journal of Finance

Stock Market Returns and Consumption

By: Marco Di Maggio, Amir Kermani and Kaveh Majlesi
  • Format:Print
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Abstract

This paper employs Swedish data containing security level information on households' stock holdings to investigate how consumption responds to changes in stock market returns. We exploit households’ portfolio weights in previous years as an instrument for actual capital gains and dividends payments. We find that unrealized capital gains lead to a marginal propensity to consume (MPC) of 13% for the bottom 50% of the wealth distribution but a flat 5% for the rest of the distribution. We also find that households’ consumption is significantly more responsive to dividend payouts across all parts of the wealth distribution. Our findings are broadly consistent with near-rational behavior in which households optimize their consumption with respect to capital gains and dividends income as if they were separate sources of income.

Keywords

Capital Gain; Dividend Income; Consumption; Near-rational Behavior; Investment Return; Household; Spending; Behavior

Citation

Di Maggio, Marco, Amir Kermani, and Kaveh Majlesi. "Stock Market Returns and Consumption." Journal of Finance 75, no. 6 (December 2020): 3175–3219. (DFA Distinguished Paper Prize.)
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About The Author

Marco Di Maggio

Finance
→More Publications

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More from the Authors
  • Ava Labs: Navigating the Next Blockchain By: Marco Di Maggio and Wenyao Sha
  • Cryptocurrency Investing: Stimulus Checks and Inflation Expectations By: Darren Aiello, Scott R. Baker, Tetyana Balyuk, Marco Di Maggio, Mark J. Johnson and Jason Kotter
  • Avoiding Idiosyncratic Volatility: Flow Sensitivity to Individual Stock Returns By: Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Shimon Kogan and Ran Xing
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