What Theresa May Might Learn from Woodrow Wilson's Failed Negotiations in 1919

Deepak  Malhotra

Article | Harvard Business Review (website) | February 1, 2019

What Theresa May Might Learn from Woodrow Wilson's Failed Negotiations in 1919

Abstract

On December 13, 2018, UK Prime Minister Theresa May met with her European counterparts in an attempt to renegotiate the “Brexit deal” she had reached with them only weeks earlier; the deal was facing harsh criticism and almost certain rejection at home. Perhaps only the keenest students of history could have noticed that when she landed in Brussels, it was precisely 100 years—to the day—after another world leader, U.S. President Woodrow Wilson, had visited the continent in the hopes of saving it. Both the parallels and the perpendicularities between the negotiation sagas of Theresa May and Woodrow Wilson are stunning. As May tries to negotiate the Brexit endgame, she might well consider three lessons from Wilson’s futile diplomacy during his last year in office.

Keywords: Brexit; Negotiation; Negotiation Deal; Learning; History;

Format: Electronic

Citation:

Malhotra, Deepak. "What Theresa May Might Learn from Woodrow Wilson's Failed Negotiations in 1919." Harvard Business Review (website) (February 1, 2019).

There have been dozens of high-profile mass shootings in recent decades. This paper presents three main findings about the impact of mass shootings on gun policy. First, mass shootings evoke large policy responses. A single mass shooting leads to a 15% increase in the number of firearm bills introduced within a state in the year after a mass shooting. This effect increases with the extent of media coverage. Second, mass shootings account for a small portion of all gun deaths but have an outsized influence relative to other homicides. Third, when looking at bills that were actually enacted into law, the impact of mass shootings depends on the party in power. The annual number of laws that loosen gun restrictions doubles in the year following a mass shooting in states with Republican-controlled legislatures. We find no significant effect of mass shootings on laws enacted when there is a Democrat-controlled legislature, nor do we find a significant effect of mass shootings on the enactment of laws that tighten gun restrictions.

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What Theresa May Might Learn from Woodrow Wilson's Failed Negotiations in 1919

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