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  • Journal of Macroeconomics

Are Crises Good for Long-term Growth? The Role of Political Institutions

By: Alberto Cavallo and Eduardo Cavallo
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Abstract

This paper provides empirical evidence for the importance of institutions in determining the outcome of crises on long-term growth. We show that once unobserved country-specific effects and other sources of endogeneity are accounted for, political institutions affect growth through their interaction with crises. In particular, we find that the effect of a crisis on long-run growth is conditioned by the prevailing institutional environment. In countries with democratic institutions, the negative effect of crises is mitigated, while in countries with autocratic institutions, the negative effect is exacerbated.

Keywords

Growth; Democracy; Macroeconomics; Growth and Development; Financial Crisis; Economic Growth; Government and Politics

Citation

Cavallo, Alberto, and Eduardo Cavallo. "Are Crises Good for Long-term Growth? The Role of Political Institutions." Journal of Macroeconomics 32, no. 3 (September 2010): 838–857.
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About The Author

Alberto F. Cavallo

Business, Government and the International Economy
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  • Large Shocks Travel Fast By: Alberto Cavallo, Francesco Lippi and Ken Miyahara
  • Price Discounts and Cheapflation During the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge By: Alberto Cavallo and Oleksiy Kryvtsov
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