|
Working Paper
| HBS Working Paper Series
| 2020
Contract Duration and the Costs of Market Transactions
by
Alexander MacKay
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Abstract
The optimal duration of a supply contract balances the costs of reselecting a supplier against the costs of being matched to an inefficient supplier when the contract lasts too long. I develop a structural model of contract duration that captures this tradeoff and provide an empirical strategy for quantifying (unobserved) transaction costs. I estimate the model using federal supply contracts for a standardized product, where suppliers are selected by procurement auctions. The estimated transaction costs are substantially greater than consumer switching costs and a significant portion of total buyer costs. Counterfactuals illustrate the importance of accounting for the duration margin.
Keywords: vertical relationships;
transaction costs;
contract duration;
auctions;
identification;
Supply Chain;
Cost;
Contracts;
Auctions;
Mathematical Methods;