Location Fundamentals, Agglomeration Economies, and the Geography of Multinational Firms

Laura  Alfaro; Maggie Xiaoyang Chen

Chapter | The Oxford Handbook of Structural Transformation | 2019

Location Fundamentals, Agglomeration Economies, and the Geography of Multinational Firms

by Laura Alfaro and Maggie Xiaoyang Chen

Abstract

Multinationals exhibit distinct agglomeration patterns, which have transformed the global landscape of industrial production (Alfaro and Chen, 2014). Using a unique worldwide plant-level dataset that reports detailed location, ownership, and operation information for plants in over 100 countries, we construct a spatially continuous index of pairwise-industry agglomeration and investigate the patterns and determinants underlying the global economic geography of multinational firms. In particular, we run a horserace between two distinct economic forces: location fundamentals and agglomeration economies. We find that location fundamentals, including market access and comparative advantage, and agglomeration economies, including capital-good market externality and technology diffusion, play a particularly important role in multinationals' economic geography. These findings remain robust when we use alternative measures of trade costs, address potential reverse causality, and explore regional patterns.

Keywords: multinational firm; economic geography; agglomeration; location fundamentals; agglomeration economies; Multinational Firms and Management; Geographic Location; Industry Clusters; Economics;

Format: Print

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Alfaro, Laura, and Maggie Xiaoyang Chen. "Location Fundamentals, Agglomeration Economies, and the Geography of Multinational Firms." Chap. 10 in The Oxford Handbook of Structural Transformation, edited by Célestin Monga and Justin Yifu Lin. Oxford University Press, 2019.

For decades, Chile was heralded as South America’s pillar of stable economic growth. Chile was the world’s largest producer of copper and enjoyed a long period of over 30 years of world demand for its resources. In 2013, the commodity boom ended and was replaced by a slow period of economic activity. By 2019, a culmination of factors had contributed to widespread protests. Major streets in Santiago were shut down due to demonstrations by workers across 20 ports. Mining unions urged the government to lift the state of emergency and end curfews. It was unclear how these stoppages would affect copper production and prices in a country that produced a third of the world’s supply.

Case | HBS Case Collection | November 2018 (Revised October 2019)

Rebuilding Puerto Rico

Laura Alfaro, Laura Phillips Sawyer and Haviland Sheldahl-Thomason

On September 20, 2017, Hurricane Maria swept over Puerto Rico, devastating the island’s infrastructure and agriculture. The natural disaster was layered atop years of mounting financial distress. Before the hurricane, Puerto Rico had accumulated $74 billion in debt and beginning in 2014, the island had withheld debt payments despite the commonwealth’s constitutional guarantee of its general obligation bonds. In turn, the island found itself effectively excluded from capital markets while simultaneously unable to declare bankruptcy in US courts due to its status as a territory. In 2016, the US Congress had intervened, passing the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act (Promesa), which established an eight-member Oversight Board to manage the island’s fiscal planning and restructure its debts and other fiscal obligations under bankruptcy-like proceedings. Many stakeholders felt hopeful that the Oversight Board could help Governor Ricardo Rosselló enact reforms that would improve public services, eliminate government waste, re-establish creditworthiness, and ultimately, foster economic growth. But, many questions still remained: Was Promesa and the Oversight Board the best method to assist the island in fiscal recovery? Was the Board’s fiscal plan an acceptable approach? Would the island be able to regain access to capital markets and attract investments without allocating funds for its creditors in the near future?

Keywords: Natural Disasters; Financial Crisis; Infrastructure; Borrowing and Debt; Economy; Strategic Planning; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Puerto Rico;

Citation:

Alfaro, Laura, Laura Phillips Sawyer, and Haviland Sheldahl-Thomason. "Rebuilding Puerto Rico." Harvard Business School Case 719-018, November 2018. (Revised October 2019.) View Details

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Location Fundamentals, Agglomeration Economies, and the Geography of Multinational Firms

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