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Publications
  • May 2014
  • Article
  • American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings

Dynamics of Demand for Index Insurance: Evidence from a Long-Run Field Experiment

By: Shawn A. Cole, Daniel Stein and Jeremy Tobacman
  • Format:Print
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Abstract

This paper estimates how experimentally-manipulated experiences with a novel financial product, rainfall index insurance, affect subsequent insurance demand. Using a seven-year panel, we develop three main findings. First, recent experience matters for demand, consistent with overinference from small samples. Second, spillovers also matter, in the sense that the recent payout experience of village co-residents affects insurance demand about as much as one's own recent payout experience. Third, the spillover effect decays as time passes while the effect of one's own experience does not. We discuss implications of this analysis for commercial sustainability of this complicated but promising risk management technology.

Citation

Cole, Shawn A., Daniel Stein, and Jeremy Tobacman. "Dynamics of Demand for Index Insurance: Evidence from a Long-Run Field Experiment." American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 104, no. 5 (May 2014): 284–290.
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About The Author

Shawn A. Cole

Finance
→More Publications

More from the Authors

    • September 2025
    • Journal of Development Economics

    Using Satellites and Phones to Evaluate and Promote Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Smallholder Farms in India

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More from the Authors
  • Using Satellites and Phones to Evaluate and Promote Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Smallholder Farms in India By: Shawn Cole, Tomoko Harigaya, Grady Killeen and Aparna Krishna
  • Getting to Net Zero: The Role of the Financial Sector By: Shawn Cole, Jonah Zahnd, Karina Chung and Jack Cenovic
  • Using Satellites and Phones to Evaluate and Promote Agricultural Technology Adoption: Evidence from Smallholder Farms in India By: Shawn Cole, Grady Killeen, Tomoko Harigaya and Aparna Krishna
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