Should You Invest in the Long Tail?

Anita  Elberse

Article | Harvard Business Review | July – August 2008

Should You Invest in the Long Tail?

Abstract

The blockbuster strategy is a time-honored approach, particularly in media and entertainment. When space is limited on store shelves and in traditional distribution channels, producers tend to focus on a few likely best sellers, hoping that one or two big hits will carry the rest of their lists. But online retailing and the digitization of information goods have changed the commercial landscape: Virtual shelf space is infinite, consumers can search through innumerable options, and the marginal cost of reproducing and distributing products is low. What does that mean for the blockbuster strategy? In his 2006 book, The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business Is Selling Less of More, Chris Anderson, editor of Wired magazine, argues that the sudden availability of niche offerings more closely tailored to their tastes will lure consumers away from homogenized hits. The "tail" of the sales distribution curve, he says, will become longer, fatter, and more profitable. Elberse, a professor at Harvard Business School, set out to investigate whether Anderson's long-tail theory is actually playing out in today's markets. She focused on the music and home-video industries-two markets that Anderson and others frequently hold up as examples of the long tail in action-reviewing sales data from Nielsen SoundScan, Nielsen VideoScan, the online music service Rhapsody, and the Australian DVD-by-mail service Quickflix. What she found may surprise you: Blockbusters are capturing even more of the market than they used to, and consumers in the tail don't really like niche products much. Elberse outlines the implications of her research for producers and retailers, and offers strategic advice to both groups.

Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Distribution Channels; Sales; Business Strategy; Online Technology; Motion Pictures and Video Industry; Music Industry; Retail Industry;

Format: Print

9 pages

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Citation:

Elberse, Anita. "Should You Invest in the Long Tail?" HBS Centennial Issue Harvard Business Review 86, nos. 7/8 (July–August 2008): 88–96. (HBS Centennial Issue.)

Case | HBS Case Collection | September 2020

Chip and Joanna Gaines’ Magnolia Network

Anita Elberse and Julia McNicholas

Chip and Joanna Gaines, who have shot to fame as stars of the hit television show Fixer Upper, are preparing to launch their own television network. It is April 2019, a year since the home-renovation show Fixer Upper’s fifth season on cable channel HGTV ended, and more than one-and-a-half years since the husband-and-wife duo announced that season would be their last. At the time, entertainment company Discovery Inc. was in the process of acquiring, in a $12-billion deal, Scripps Networks Interactive, HGTV’s parent company. Now, hoping to find a way to bring the duo back, Discovery’s chief executive officer David Zaslav has proposed setting up a joint venture between Discovery and the Gaineses. Under the deal, the latter will receive an ownership stake as well as certain guaranteed payments, be given creative control over the ‘DIY Network’ which they plan to rebrand as ‘Magnolia Network,’ and have a sizable programming budget at their disposal. Meanwhile, the two entrepreneurs are also running a thriving set of other businesses under their ‘Magnolia’ brand, that covers retail and hospitality—including their ‘Magnolia Market at the Silos’ complex and ‘Magnolia Table’ restaurant in Waco, Texas—as well as brand partnerships, books, and a magazine. Is launching Magnolia Network the right move for Chip and Joanna Gaines—and for Discovery? And what can both parties do to ensure the new network will be a success?

Keywords: entertainment; television; superstars; innovation; Creative Industries; Talent; marketing; general management; strategy; entrepreneurship; celebrities;

Citation:

Elberse, Anita, and Julia McNicholas. "Chip and Joanna Gaines’ Magnolia Network." Harvard Business School Case 521-044, September 2020. View Details

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Should You Invest in the Long Tail?

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