Speaker(s): Robert Huckman (HBS)

Title: Input Constraints and the Efficiency of Entry: Lessons from Cardiac Surgery (Joint with David Cutler & Jonathan Kolstad)

Abstract
We consider the welfare economics of firm entry when the supply of key inputs is constrained. Prior studies suggest that, with an elastic supply of inputs, free entry is likely to lead to an inefficiently high number of firms as entrants “steal” business from incumbents. When firms face input scarcity, in contrast, the welfare loss from free entry is reduced. Further, free entry may increase use of high-quality inputs, as monopsonistic firms underuse these inputs when entry is constrained. We examine these predictions empirically by examining how the 1996 repeal of certificate-of-need (CON) legislation in Pennsylvania affected the market for coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery in the state. Within a few years of the repeal of CON legislation, the number of CABG facilities increased 56 percent. Consistent with the theory, we show that entry led to a redistribution of surgeries from lower- to higher-quality surgeons. The improved outcomes of higher-quality surgeons roughly outweighs the additional fixed costs incurred by new entrants, making firm entry approximately welfare neutral.