Julio J. Rotemberg
William Ziegler Professor of Business Administration Unit Head, Business, Government and the International Economy
Professor Julio J. Rotemberg received his B.A. degree in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley in 1975 and his Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton University in 1981. He first came to the Harvard Business School as a one-year visiting professor in 1995 and he became a member of the faculty in 1997. At HBS, he has taught Business,Government and the International Economy (BGIE) in both the MBA and the AMP programs as well Business History in the Foundations module. He currently teaches First Year Marketing in the MBA program. From 1980 to 1996 he was on the faculty at the Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where he taught macro and international economics. Professor Rotemberg has written over 50 articles. Most of his research has concerned itself with the sources of economic fluctuations with particular attention to the effects of monetary policy, fiscal policy and oil price changes. He has also worked on other topics in macroeconomics as well as doing work on the behavior of retail prices, international economics, the economics of market structure and the economics of organizations. He has been an Editor of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual and the Review of Economics and Statistics, and is currently an Associate Editor of Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
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Article
| Marketing Science
| Forthcoming
Expected Firm Altruism, Quality Provision, and Brand Extensions
Julio J. Rotemberg
A setting is considered where consumers keep track of the extent to which brands care about them, which is modeled as altruism of brands towards their target consumers. Consumers who purchase an experience good of high quality reasonably deduce that the supplier of this good is relatively altruistic towards them and are therefore more keen to purchase a brand extension that is also directed at them. As a result, the success of brand extensions depends on the overlap between the customers of its original product and the target customers of the extension product. The quality and demand for a brand extension can be higher if the brand is perceived as caring only for its most quality-conscious consumers rather than for all possible buyers of the good.
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Article
| Journal of Public Economics
| Forthcoming
Charitable Giving When Altruism and Similarity Are Linked
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper presents a model in which anonymous charitable donations are rationalized by two human tendencies drawn from the psychology literature. The first is people's disproportionate disposition to help those they agree with, while the second is the dependence of peoples' self-esteem on the extent to which they perceive that others agree with them. Government spending crowds out the charity that ensues from these forces only modestly. Moreover, people's donations tend to rise when others donate. In some equilibria of the model, poor people give little because they expect donations to come mainly from richer individuals. In others, donations by poor individuals constitute a large fraction of donations, and this raises the incentive for poor people to donate. The model predicts that under some circumstances, charities with identical objectives can differ by obtaining funds from distinct donor groups. The model then provides an interpretation for situations in which the number of charities rises while total donations are stagnant.
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Article
| Journal of the European Economic Association
|
Fair Pricing
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper explores the consequences of supposing that consumers see a firm as fair if they cannot reject the hypothesis that the firm is somewhat benevolent towards them. When consumers can reject this hypothesis, some become angry, which is costly to the firm. The desire to appear benevolent can lead firms to adopt third-degree price discrimination based on the income of different consumer classes while foreswearing third-degree price discrimination based on differences in the elasticity of demand. It can also explain why prices seem to be more responsive to changes in factor costs than to changes in demand that have the same effect on marginal cost. Lastly, if consumers experience regret or disappointment when faced by increased prices, the model can explain why prices can be more rigid in response to disasters that increase demand dramatically than they are when there is a less substantial increase in demand.
Keywords: Fair Value Accounting;
Outcome or Result;
Price;
Consumer Behavior;
Income Characteristics;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. " Fair Pricing." Journal of the European Economic Association 9, no. 5 (October 2011).
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Journal Article
| Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
|
Minimal Settlement Assets in Economies with Interconnected Financial Obligations
Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is developed where firms belonging to a group are obliged to make payments to one another by using a liquid asset. The paper studies the exogenous endowments of this asset that are necessary to assure that all obligations are met. Conditions are presented under which the degree to which firms are interconnected (so that each creditor has more debtors and each debtor has more creditors) increases the number of firms that must be endowed with the liquid asset. Interconnectedness then makes payment defaults more likely. By acquiring too many payment obligations, firms may also become too interconnected.
Keywords: Borrowing and Debt;
Financial Liquidity;
Financing and Loans;
Networks;
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Article
| Scandinavian Journal of Economics
|
Altruistic Dynamic Pricing with Customer Regret
Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is considered where firms internalize the regret costs that consumers experience when they see an unexpected price change. Regret costs are assumed to be increasing in the size of price changes and this can explain why the size of price increases is less sensitive to inflation than in models with fixed costs of changing prices. The latter predict unrealistically large responses of price changes to inflation for firms that do not frequently reduce their prices. Adjustment costs that depend on the size of price changes also raise the variability on the size of price increases. Lastly, it is argued that the common practice of announcing price increases in advance is much easier to rationalize with regret concerns by consumers than with more standard approaches to price rigidity.
Keywords: Cost;
Price;
Change;
Inflation and Deflation;
Cost Management;
Customers;
Practice;
Announcements;
Forecasting and Prediction;
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Article
| Public Choice
|
Attitude Dependent Altruism, Turnout and Voting
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Voting;
Attitudes;
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Article
| Journal of Monetary Economics
|
Minimally Altruistic Wages and Unemployment in a Matching Model with Monopsony
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Compensation and Benefits;
Job Cuts and Outsourcing;
Economics;
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Journal Article
| Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
|
Minimally Acceptable Altruism and the Ultimatum Game
Julio J. Rotemberg
I suppose that people react with anger when others show themselves not to be minimally altruistic. With heterogeneous agents, this can account for the experimental results of ultimatum and dictator games. Moreover, it can account for the surprisingly large fraction of individuals who offer an even split, with parameter values that are more plausible than those required to explain outcomes in these experiments with the models of Levine (1998), Fehr and Schmidt (1999), Dickinson (2000), and Bolton and Ockenfels (2000).
Keywords: Giving and Philanthropy;
Game Theory;
Mathematical Methods;
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Article
| Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
|
The Persistence of Inflation Versus that of Real Marginal Cost in the New Keynesian Model
Julio J. Rotemberg
This note provides an example where the New Keynesian Phillips Curve leads inflation to be substantially more persistent than the output gap.
Keywords: Macroeconomics;
Inflation and Deflation;
Cost;
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Article
| NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics
|
Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Compensation and Benefits;
Business Ventures;
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Article
| Journal of Monetary Economics
|
Customer Anger at Price Increases, Changes in the Frequency of Price Adjustment and Monetary Policy
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Customers;
Price;
Change;
Money;
Policy;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
Stochastic Technical Progress, Smooth Trends, and Nearly Distinct Business Cycles
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Technology;
Trends;
Business Cycles;
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Article
| Journal of Political Economy
|
Commercial Policy with Altruistic Voters
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Policy;
Voting;
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Article
| Journal of Labor Economics
|
Perceptions of Equity and the Distribution of Income
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Perception;
Equity;
Compensation and Benefits;
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Article
| Regional Science and Urban Economics
|
Competition and Human Capital Accumulation: A Theory of Interregional Specialization and Trade
Julio J. Rotemberg and G. Saloner
Keywords: Competition;
Human Capital;
Theory;
Geography;
Trade;
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Article
| RAND Journal of Economics
|
Visionaries, Managers, and Strategic Direction
Julio J. Rotemberg and G. Saloner
Keywords: Management;
Strategy;
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Journal Article
| Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
|
Process-versus Function-Based Hierarchies
Julio J. Rotemberg
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Article
| NBER Macroeconomics Annual
|
An Optimization-based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy
Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Framework;
Mathematical Methods;
Money;
Policy;
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Article
| Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
|
Imperfect Competition and the Effects of Energy Price Increases on Economic Activity
Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Competition;
Price;
Energy;
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Article
| Journal of Monetary Economics
|
Prices, Output and Hours: An Empirical Analysis Based on a Sticky Price Model
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Price;
Performance Productivity;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
Real Business Cycle Models and the Forecastable Movements in Output, Hours and Consumption
J. J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction;
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Comment
| Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
|
Comment on Inside Money, Outside Money, and Short-Term Interest Rates
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Money;
Interest Rates;
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Article
| International Tax and Public Finance
|
Environmental Taxes on Intermediate and Final Goods When Both Can Be Imported
J. J. Rotemberg and James M. Poterba
Keywords: Taxation;
Natural Environment;
Goods and Commodities;
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Article
| RAND Journal of Economics
|
Overt Interfunctional Conflict (and Its Reduction through Business Strategy)
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Conflict and Resolution;
Business Strategy;
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Article
| Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
Money, Output, and Prices: Evidence from a New Monetary Aggregate
J. J. Rotemberg, John Driscoll and James Poterba
Keywords: Money;
Price;
Information;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
Benefits of Narrow Business Strategies
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Business Strategy;
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Article
| Journal of Political Economy
|
Human Relations in the Workplace
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Relationships;
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Article
| Tax Policy and the Economy
|
Energy Taxes and Aggregate Economic Activity
J. J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Taxation;
Economics;
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Article
| Management Science
|
Leadership Style and Incentives
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Leadership;
Motivation and Incentives;
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Article
| Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
The Comovement of Stock Prices
J. J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
Keywords: Stocks;
Price;
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Article
| Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
|
Power in Profit Maximizing Organizations
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Profit;
Organizations;
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Comment
| Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review
|
Commentary on 'Monetary Aggregates, Monetary Policy and Economic Activity'
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Money;
Policy;
Economics;
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Article
| Journal of Political Economy
|
Oligopolistic Pricing and the Effects of Aggregate Demand on Economic Activity
J. J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Duopoly and Oligopoly;
Price;
Economics;
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Article
| Journal of International Money and Finance
|
Sovereign Debt Buybacks Can Lower Bargaining Costs
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Sovereign Finance;
Negotiation;
Cost;
Borrowing and Debt;
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Article
| NBER Macroeconomics Annual
|
Markups and the Business Cycle
J. J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Business Cycles;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
A Theory of Inefficient Intrafirm Transactions
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Theory;
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Comment
| Monetary Policy on the 75th Anniversary of the Federal Reserve System
|
Commentary: Monetary Aggregates and Their Uses
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Money;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. " Commentary: Monetary Aggregates and Their Uses." Monetary Policy on the 75th Anniversary of the Federal Reserve System (1991). (Proceedings of the Fourteenth Annual Economic Policy Conference of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.)
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Article
| Economic Journal (Royal Economic Society)
|
The Excess Co-Movement of Commodity Prices
J. J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
Keywords: Price;
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Article
| Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
Inflexible Prices and Procyclical Productivity
J. J. Rotemberg and Lawrence Summers
Keywords: Price;
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Article
| Review of Financial Studies
|
Shareholder Value Maximization and Product Market Competition
J. J. Rotemberg and David S. Scharfstein
Keywords: Product;
Markets;
Competition;
Money;
Value;
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Article
| Journal of Industrial Economics
|
Collusive Price Leadership
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Price;
Leadership;
Citation: Rotemberg, J. J., and Garth Saloner. " Collusive Price Leadership." Journal of Industrial Economics 39 (September 1990): 93–110.
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Article
| Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
|
Inflation and Taxation with Optimizing Governments
J. J. Rotemberg and James Poterba
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation;
Taxation;
Government and Politics;
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Article
| Canadian Journal of Economics
|
Tariffs vs. Quotas with Implicit Collusion
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Taxation;
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Article
| Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
|
Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sticky Prices: The Deutsche Mark, 1974-1982
J. J. Rotemberg and Alberto Giovannini
Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate;
Price;
Currency;
Germany;
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Article
| Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
The Cyclical Behavior of Strategic Inventories
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Strategy;
Behavior;
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Journal Article
| NBER Macroeconomics Annual
|
The New Keynesian Microfoundations
J. J. Rotemberg
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
The Relative Rigidity of Monopoly Pricing
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Price;
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Article
| Journal of Development Economics
|
Export Promotion as a Development Strategy
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Growth and Development;
Strategy;
Trade;
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Article
| Journal of Law & Economics
|
Are Imports to Blame?: Attribution of Injury Under the 1974 Trade Act
J. J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
Keywords: Trade;
Law;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
A Taxed-Based Test for Nominal Rigidities
J. J. Rotemberg, James Poterba and Lawrence Summers
Keywords: Taxation;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
A Supergame Theoretic Model of Price Wars During Booms
J. J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Game Theory;
Price;
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Article
| Journal of International Economics
|
Money and the Terms of Trade
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Money;
Trade;
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Journal Article
| Journal of Public Economics
|
The Efficiency of Equilibrium Traffic Flows
J. J. Rotemberg
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Article
| Quarterly Journal of Economics
|
Intertemporal Substitution in Macroeconomics
J. J. Rotemberg, N. Gregory Mankiw and Lawrence Summers
Keywords: Macroeconomics;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
Interpreting the Statistical Failures of Some Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Models
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Macroeconomics;
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Article
| Natural Resources Journal
|
Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Adjustment
J. J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
Keywords: Price;
Macroeconomics;
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Article
| Journal of Political Economy
|
A Monetary Equilibrium Model with Transaction Costs
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Cost;
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
Dynamic Factor Demands and the Effects of Energy Price Shocks
J. J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
Keywords: Price;
Energy;
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Article
| Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
|
Supply Shocks, Sticky Prices and Monetary Policy
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Price;
Money;
Policy;
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Journal Article
| Scandinavian Journal of Economics
|
Dynamic Factor Demands Under Rational Expectations
J. J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
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Article
| American Economic Review
|
Aggregate Consequences of Fixed Costs of Price Adjustment
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Cost;
Price;
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Article
| Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
|
Monetary Policy and Costs of Price Adjustment
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Policy;
Price;
Cost;
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Article
| Journal of Political Economy
|
Sticky Prices in the United States
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Price;
United States;
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Article
| Review of Economic Studies
|
Monopolistic Price Adjustment and Aggregate Output
J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Price;
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Article
| European Economic Review
|
International Adjustment with Wage Ridgidity
J. J. Rotemberg and W. Branson
Keywords: Wages;
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Journal Article
| Ensayos económicos
|
Estimacion de la Funcion de Importaciones de Mercancias
J. J. Rotemberg and J.L. Machinea
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Chapter
| Policymaking Insights from Behavioral Economics
| 2009
Behavioral Aspects of Price Setting, and Their Policy Implications
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper starts by discussing consumers' cognitive and emotional reaction to posted prices. Cognitively, some consumers do not appear to make effective use of price information to maximize their consumption-based utility. Emotionally, prices can induce regret and anger among consumers. The optimal responses of firm's prices to these reactions can explain why firms charge prices below marginal cost for many goods and why they keep their prices rigid. This explanation of price rigidity has the advantage of being consistent with the observation that the typical size of price increases is nearly invariant to inflation. Lastly, the paper turns to some government policies regarding prices that appear to have some consumer support. It argues that both laws against price gouging and laws regulating the terms of mortgages may have support because consumers recognize that many people do not optimize their consumption effectively and because they are angry at firms that take advantage of this. These attitudes can also explain consumer support for monetary policies that maintain a low level of average inflation.
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation;
Price;
Policy;
Laws and Statutes;
Demand and Consumers;
Business and Government Relations;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Behavioral Aspects of Price Setting, and Their Policy Implications." In Policymaking Insights from Behavioral Economics, edited by Christopher L. Foote, Lorenz Goette, and Stephan Meier. Boston, MA: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, 2009.
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Chapter
| The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics
| 2008
Cyclical Markups
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Business Cycles;
Price;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Cyclical Markups." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. 2nd ed. Edited by Steven Derlauf, and Larry Blume. Hampshire, U.K.: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.
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Chapter
| Handbook of the Economics of Giving, Altruism and Reciprocity
| 2006
Altruism, Cooperation and Reciprocity in the Workplace
Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Working Conditions;
Cooperation;
Attitudes;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Altruism, Cooperation and Reciprocity in the Workplace." Chap. 21 in Handbook of the Economics of Giving, Altruism and Reciprocity. Vol. 2, edited by Serge-Christophe Kolm, and Jean Mercier Ythier, 1371–1435. Elsevier Science, 2006.
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Chapter
| Handbook of Macroeconomics
| 1999
The Cyclical Behavior of Prices and Costs
Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Price;
Cost;
Business Cycles;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "The Cyclical Behavior of Prices and Costs." In Handbook of Macroeconomics, edited by J. B. Taylor, and M. Woodford. North Holland: Elsevier Science, 1999.
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Chapter
| Monetary Policy Rules
| 1999
Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model
Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Interest Rates;
Mathematical Methods;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model." In Monetary Policy Rules, edited by John B. Taylor. Chicago: Chicago University Press, 1999.
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Chapter
| Frontiers of Business Cycle Research
| 1995
Dynamic General Equilibrium Models with Imperfectly Competitive Product Markets
Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Mathematical Methods;
Competition;
Markets;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "Dynamic General Equilibrium Models with Imperfectly Competitive Product Markets." In Frontiers of Business Cycle Research, edited by Thomas Cooley. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995.
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Chapter
| Structural Adjustment in a Newly Industrialized Country: The Korean Experience
| 1992
Energy Policy and Adjustment
Julio J. Rotemberg and Seok-Hyun Hong
Keywords: Energy;
Policy;
Energy Industry;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and Seok-Hyun Hong. " Energy Policy and Adjustment." Chap. 11 in Structural Adjustment in a Newly Industrialized Country: The Korean Experience, edited by Vittorio Corbo, and Sang-mok Sŏ, 256–280. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1992.
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Chapter
| The Corporation of the 1990s: Information Technology and Organizational Transformation
| 1991
Information Technology and Strategic Advantage
Julio J. Rotemberg and Garth Saloner
Keywords: Information Technology;
Competitive Advantage;
Strategy;
Information Technology Industry;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and Garth Saloner. "Information Technology and Strategic Advantage." In The Corporation of the 1990s: Information Technology and Organizational Transformation, edited by Michael Scott Morton. New York: Oxford University Press, 1991.
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Chapter
| Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands
| 1991
Speculative Attacks on Target Zones
Julio J. Rotemberg and Paul Krugman
Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and Paul Krugman. " Speculative Attacks on Target Zones." In Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands, edited by Paul Krugman, and Marcus Miller. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991.
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Chapter
| New Approaches to Monetary Economics
| 1987
Money in the Utility Function: An Empirical Implementation
Julio J. Rotemberg and James Poterba
Keywords: Money;
Mathematical Methods;
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Chapter
| Oil Shock: Policy Response and Implementation
| 1984
Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Adjustment
Julio J. Rotemberg and Robert Pindyck
Keywords: Energy;
Price;
System Shocks;
Macroeconomics;
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Working Paper
| 2012
Prominent Job Advertisements, Group Learning and Wage Dispersion
Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is presented in which people base their labor search strategy on the average wage and the average unemployment duration of people who belong to their peer group. It is shown that, if the distribution of wage offers is not stationary so lower wage offers tend to arrive before higher wage ones, such learning can induce a great deal of wage inequality. An equilibrium model is developed in which firms can choose either to advertise their job openings prominently or not. Prominent ads are assumed to have more influence on more inexperienced job searchers who are less able to identify a multiplicity of viable jobs. Equilibria can then feature groups that learn naively from the experience of their members and accept low wage offers from prominent ads while other groups do not find these offers acceptable. A new test statistic is proposed that measures whether, as predicted by the model, the gains from increasing one's reservation wage are larger than either those that people expect or those predicted by models in which job offers are stationary.
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Working Paper
| 2011
Charitable Giving When Altruism and Similarity Are Linked
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper presents a model in which anonymous charitable donations are rationalized by two human tendencies drawn from the psychology literature. The first is people's disproportionate disposition to help those they agree with while the second is the dependence of people's self-esteem on the extent to which they perceive that others agree with them. Government spending crowds out the charity that ensues from these forces only modestly. Moreover, people's donations tend to rise when others donate. In some equilibria of the model, poor people give little because they expect donations to come mainly from richer individuals. In others, donations by poor individuals constitute a large fraction of donations, and this raises the incentive for poor people to donate. The model predicts that under some circumstances, charities with identical objectives can differ by obtaining funds from distinct donor groups. The model then provides an interpretation for situations in which the number of charities rises while total donations are stagnant.
Keywords: Giving and Philanthropy;
Mathematical Methods;
Attitudes;
Interests;
Perception;
Wealth and Poverty;
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Working Paper
| 2010
A Behavioral Model of Demandable Deposits and Its Implications for Financial Regulation
Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is developed that rationalizes contracts that give depositors the right to obtain funds on demand even when depositors intend to use these funds for consumption in the future. This is explained by depositor overoptimism regarding their own ability to collect funds in a run. Capitalized institutions serving depositors with such beliefs emerge in equilibrium even if depositors and bank owners have the same preferences and the same investment opportunities. Various government regulations of these institutions, including minimum capital levels, requirements concerning the assets they may hold, deposit insurance, and compulsory clawbacks in bankruptcy, can raise the average ex post welfare of depositors.
Keywords: Banks and Banking;
Insurance;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Policy;
Consumer Behavior;
Financial Services Industry;
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Working Paper
| 2010
Persuasion and Empathy in Salesperson-Customer Interactions
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Persuasion and Empathy in Salesperson-Customer Interactions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15975, May 2010.
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Working Paper
| 2010
Quality Provision, Expected Firm Altruism and Brand Extensions
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper studies quality choice in a model where consumers expect firms to act altruistically. It is shown that, under plausible assumptions regarding this altruism and the reaction of consumers to firms that demonstrate insufficient altruism, existing firms (or brands) can face a larger demand for new products than new entrants. Moreover, the failure of new products can reduce the demand for a brand's existing products even if the quality of these existing products is well understood by consumers. The model provides an interpretation for the dependence of the success of brand extensions on the "fit" between the original product and the extension. Lastly, the model can explain why a "high-end" firm that is expected to care only for its most quality sensitive customers can have an advantage in introducing a product relative to a firm that is expected to be more widely altruistic.
Keywords: Brands and Branding;
Consumer Behavior;
Product Development;
Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact;
Quality;
Mathematical Methods;
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Working Paper
| HBS Working Paper Series
| 2009
Can a Continuously-Liquidating Tontine (or Mutual Inheritance Fund) Succeed where Immediate Annuities Have Floundered?
Julio J. Rotemberg
A new instrument (the Mutual Inheritance Fund or MIF) is proposed whose purpose is to help people carry their savings forward from the moment they retire into their old age. Like annuities, this instrument requires an up-front payment before people receive any benefits while also protecting people from the risk that they will live a long time. The funds that individuals contribute to a MIF are invested in a mutual fund. The proceeds from the fund's underlying assets are reinvested until the contributor dies or he turns an age specified in advance. If a contributor dies before this pre-specified age, his shares are liquidated and the proceeds are distributed to the other contributors to the MIF. Contributors who are alive at the pre-specified age are also paid the value of their accumulated shares. Like tontines, of which MIF is a variant, this instrument has returns that are more tilted towards old age than annuities. Several advantages of this are discussed, including some that may explain why tontines have proven popular with consumers in the past.
Keywords: Age Characteristics;
Annuities;
Investment Return;
Investment Funds;
Saving;
Retirement;
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Working Paper
| 2009
Altruistic Dynamic Pricing with Customer Regret
Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is considered where firms internalize the regret costs that consumers experience when they see an unexpected price change. Regret costs are assumed to be increasing in the size of price changes and this can explain why the size of price increases is less sensitive to inflation than in models with fixed costs of changing prices. The latter predict unrealistically large responses of price changes to inflation for firms that do not frequently reduce their prices. Adjustment costs that depend on the size of price changes also raise the variability on the size of price increases. Lastly, it is argued that the common practice of announcing price increases in advance is much easier to rationalize with regret concerns by consumers than with more standard approaches to price rigidity.
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation;
Price;
Marketing;
Consumer Behavior;
Mathematical Methods;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Altruistic Dynamic Pricing with Customer Regret." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14933, April 2009.
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Working Paper
| 2008
Attitude-Dependent Altruism, Turnout and Voting
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper presents a goal-oriented model of political participation based on two psychological assumptions. The first is that people are more altruistic towards individuals that agree with them and the second is that people's well-being rises when other people share their personal opinions. The act of voting is then a source of vicarious utility because it raises the well-being of individuals that agree with the voter. Substantial equilibrium turnout emerges with nontrivial voting costs and modest altruism. The model can explain higher turnout in close elections as well as votes for third-party candidates with no prospect of victory. For certain parameters, these third-party candidates lose votes to more popular candidates, a phenomenon often called strategic voting. For other parameters, the model predicts "vote-stealing" where the addition of a third candidate robs a viable major candidate of electoral support.
Keywords: Voting;
Political Elections;
Market Participation;
Attitudes;
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Working Paper
| 2008
Liquidity Needs in Economies with Interconnected Financial Obligations
Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is developed where firms in a financial system have to settle their debts to each other by using a liquid asset. The question that is studied is how many firms must obtain how much of this asset from outside the financial system to make sure that all debts within the system are settled. The main result is that these liquidity needs are larger when these firms are more interconnected through their debts, i.e., when they borrow from and lend to more firms. Two pecuniary externalities are discussed. One involves the choice of paying one creditor first rather than another. The second involves the extent to which firms borrow and acquire claims on other firms with the proceeds. When a group of firms raises their involvement in this activity, firms outside the group may face more difficulties in settling their debts.
Keywords: Economy;
Borrowing and Debt;
Financial Liquidity;
Networks;
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Working Paper
| 2008
Minimally Altruistic Wages and Unemployment in a Matching Model
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper presents a model in which firms recruit both unemployed and employed workers by posting vacancies. Firms act monopsonistically and set wages to retain their existing workers as well as to attract new ones. The model differs from Burdett and Mortensen (1998) in that its assumptions ensure that there is an equilibrium where all firms pay the same wage. The paper analyzes the response of this wage to exogenous changes in the marginal revenue product of labor. The paper finds parameters for which the response of wages is modest relative to the response of employment, as appears to be the case in U.S. data and shows that the insistence by workers that firms act with a minimal level of altruism can be a source of dampened wage responses. The paper also considers a setting where this minimal level of altruism is subject to fluctuations and shows that, for certain parameters, the model can explain both the standard deviations of employment and wages and the correlation between these two series over time.
Keywords: Retention;
Selection and Staffing;
Employment;
Wages;
Mathematical Methods;
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Working Paper
| 2008
Behavioral Aspects of Price Setting, and Their Policy Implications
Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper starts by discussing consumers' cognitive and emotional reaction to posted prices. Cognitively, some consumers do not appear to make effective use of price information to maximize their consumption-based utility. Emotionally, prices can induce regret and anger among consumers. The optimal responses of firm's prices to these reactions can explain why firms charge prices below marginal cost for many goods and why they keep their prices rigid. This explanation of price rigidity has the advantage of being consistent with the observation that the typical size of price increases is nearly invariant to inflation. Lastly, the paper turns to some government policies regarding prices that appear to have some consumer support. It argues that both laws against price gouging and laws regulating the terms of mortgages may have support because consumers recognize that many people do not optimize their consumption effectively and because they are angry at firms that take advantage of this. These attitudes can also explain consumer support for monetary policies that maintain a low level of average inflation.
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation;
Price;
Policy;
Laws and Statutes;
Consumer Behavior;
Emotions;
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Working Paper
| 2005
Attitude-Dependent Altruism, Turnout and Voting
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Attitude-Dependent Altruism, Turnout and Voting." Centre for Economic Policy Research (Great Britain) Discussion Paper, No. DP5146, July 2005.
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Working Paper
| 2004
Fair Pricing
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Fair Pricing." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10915, November 2004.
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Working Paper
| HBS Working Paper Series
| 2002
Altruism, Reciprocity and Cooperation in the Workplace
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Altruism, Reciprocity and Cooperation in the Workplace." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 03–021, August 2002.
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Working Paper
| HBS Working Paper Series
| 2002
Endogenous Altruism in Buyer-Seller Relations and Its Implications for Vertical Integration
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Endogenous Altruism in Buyer-Seller Relations and Its Implications for Vertical Integration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 03–022, August 2002.
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Working Paper
| 1999
A Heuristic Method for Extracting Smooth Trends from Economic Time Series
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "A Heuristic Method for Extracting Smooth Trends from Economic Time Series." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 7439, December 1999.
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Working Paper
| HBS Working Paper Series
| 1998
Government-Enforced Cartels, Outputs and Welfare
Julio J. Rotemberg
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Government-Enforced Cartels, Outputs and Welfare." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 98–116, June 1998.
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2013
(Revised from original 2012 version)
Perspectives on the Great Depression
Julio J. Rotemberg
The case assembles texts giving perspectives on the Great Depression by Franklin Delano Roosevelt, John Maynard Keynes, Milton Friedman, Anna Schwartz and Ben Bernanke. This should allow for a discussion of the role of fiscal and monetary policies in reaching and escaping outcomes in which the interest rate is close to zero for a long time.
Keywords: Great Depression;
Keynesian multiplier;
monetary policy;
zero lower bound of interest rates;
role of expectations in Macroeconomics;
Performance Expectations;
History;
Policy;
Interest Rates;
Macroeconomics;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Perspectives on the Great Depression." Harvard Business School Case 713-056, April 2013. (Revised from original November 2012 version.)
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2013
(Revised from original 2012 version)
Switzerland: Foreign Pressure and Direct Democracy
Julio J. Rotemberg and Jonathan Naharro Martin
Keywords: Switzerland;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2012
(Revised from original 2010 version)
BP's Macondo: Spill and Response
Julio J. Rotemberg
This case starts by reporting various factors that may have contributed to the massive Macondo oil spill, noting that BP, its partners and the government all made decisions that helped cause the accident. It then discusses the response to this spill by BP and the government. This helps provide some context for the decision by the Obama administration to request $20 billion for a fund from BP and for BP's willingness to go along with this request. The case also depicts BP's safety record before this spill, which may also have contributed to the creation of this fund. After this, the case describes the various ways in which the U.S. government is involved in offshore oil, starting from the leasing of tracts, the regulation of drilling and the assessment of fines and damages. To provide a contrast with BP's payments, the case depicts the payments made by Exxon after the Exxon Valdez spill. The U.S. regulatory regime is then briefly compared with regimes in other countries. After a brief description of the way the fund set up by BP sought to distribute funds and of the temporary moratorium that followed the spill, the case ends with discussion of possible regulatory responses.
Keywords: Safety;
Metals and Minerals;
Crisis Management;
Infrastructure;
Trade;
Pollution and Pollutants;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Business and Government Relations;
Finance;
Multinational Firms and Management;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Technology Adoption;
Energy Industry;
Mining Industry;
United Kingdom;
United States;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2011
BP's Macondo: Spill and Response (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note for 711-021.
Keywords: Energy Industry;
Mining Industry;
United Kingdom;
United States;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2011
(Revised from original 2009 version)
New York Life and Immediate Annuities
Julio J. Rotemberg and John T. Gourville
By positioning Immediate Annuities as "guaranteed lifetime income," New York Life has built itself a $1.4 billion per year business by 2009. However, to make Immediate Annuities a mainstream financial product for retirees, New York Life must understand why many retirees are reluctant to buy them and many agents are reluctant to sell them.
Keywords: Insurance;
Personal Finance;
Product Marketing;
Consumer Behavior;
Retirement;
Salesforce Management;
Insurance Industry;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J., and John T. Gourville. " New York Life and Immediate Annuities." Harvard Business School Case 510-040, March 2011. (Revised from original November 2009 version.)
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2010
New York Life and Immediate Annuities (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg and John T. Gourville
Teaching Note for [510040].
Keywords: Retirement;
Salesforce Management;
Annuities;
Insurance Industry;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2008
Subprime Meltdown: American Housing and Global Financial Turmoil
Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note for [708042].
Keywords: Mortgages;
Debt Securities;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Financial Markets;
Financial Crisis;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Central Banking;
Policy;
United States;
Europe;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2008
(Revised from original 2008 version)
Subprime Meltdown: American Housing and Global Financial Turmoil
Julio Rotemberg
This case focuses on the financial difficulties faced in the U.S. from August to December 2006 as well as their roots in subprime lending. After briefly discussing how mortgages were structured and traded in the pre-1990 period, it describes subprime mortgage lending, as well as other innovative mortgages issued in the 1990s. It also discusses how these mortgages were packaged into securities, and who ultimately came to own these claims and their attendant risk. The case then describes the pain inflicted by raising foreclosures, as well as the financial market ramifications of the rise in mortgage delinquencies. It also chronicles the response of the U.S. and European central banks to the unfolding financial difficulties. Lastly, the case lays policies that have been proposed to deal with either the consequences or the causes of the crisis. These include policies for reforming the supervision of the financial system, changing bankruptcy rules and regulating mortgage finance. Some attention is paid to the role of credit rating agencies in the crisis, and in the financial system as a whole.
Keywords: Financial Crisis;
Insolvency and Bankruptcy;
Central Banking;
Financial Markets;
Mortgages;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Policy;
United States;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
|
2008
(Revised from original 1999 version)
The U.S. Banking Panic of 1933 and Federal Deposit Insurance
Julio J. Rotemberg and Sabina M. Ciminero
After highlighting some key developments in the banking history of the United States, the case illustrates the Banking Panic of 1933 and the way in which Franklin D. Roosevelt dealt with it at the beginning of his presidency. Describes the main components of banking reform bills that members of Congress proposed in April 1933. Deposit insurance figured prominently in these bills, and the case summarizes the contemporary debate surrounding this proposed insurance.
Keywords: History;
Government Legislation;
Insurance;
Crisis Management;
Financial Crisis;
Banks and Banking;
Banking Industry;
United States;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2007
(Revised from original 2006 version)
The Dubai Ports World Debacle and its Aftermath
Julio J. Rotemberg
Describes the political ramifications in the United States of Dubai-based DP World's acquisition of London-based Peninsular and Oriental Steam Navigation Company (P&O). Because P&O operated some port terminals in the United States, DP World obtained clearance from the Committee on Foreign Investments in the United States before P&O shareholders approved the deal in February 2006. Nonetheless, a ruckus over port security erupted both in Congress and in the press and this ruckus led DP World to promise that it would relinquish the U.S. terminals of P&O. Also contains a brief description of Dubai and its relationship to the U.S., a discussion of issues related to port security, and a brief history of U.S. security concerns with foreign direct investment. Ends with a depiction of the Bills passed unanimously by the U.S. House and Senate to further regulate foreign investment in the wake of the DP World debacle.
Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment;
Multinational Firms and Management;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Government Legislation;
National Security;
Business and Government Relations;
Ship Transportation;
Dubai;
United States;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2007
The Dubai Ports World Debacle and its Aftermath (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2005
(Revised from original 2003 version)
Birth of Modern Macroeconomic Policy, The: Sweden and the Great Depression
Julio J. Rotemberg and Lisa Lewis
By early 1937, a debate over the proper conduct of monetary policy raged in Sweden. Sweden's response to the Great Depression was unique. It had, in particular, embraced a revolutionary goal for monetary policy when it abandoned the gold standard in 1931.
Keywords: History;
Money;
Policy;
Financial Crisis;
Macroeconomics;
Sweden;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2004
Birth of Modern Macroeconomic Policy, The: Sweden and the Great Depression (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note to (9-704-029).
Keywords: Sweden;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2003
Competition Policy in the European Union and the Power of Microsoft (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note for (9-701-043).
Keywords: Computer Industry;
Electronics Industry;
European Union;
United States;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2003
Fresh Start? Peru's Legacy of Debt and Default (A) (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note for (9-703-001).
Keywords: Peru;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2003
(Revised from original 2002 version)
Fresh Start? Peru's Legacy of Debt and Default (A)
Julio J. Rotemberg and Lisa Lewis
Considers the situation facing Alberto Fujimori as he takes office in 1990. Pays particular attention to Peru's long history of international borrowing, default, and renegotiation. This history suggests that the costs imposed by foreigners on Peru when it failed to meet its contracts with foreign lenders have been relatively mild. Discusses the administration of Alan Garcia, who limited payments on Peru's international debt while also leading his country into an inflationary spiral. Also discusses some of the challenges posed by a bloody insurgency group named Sendero Luminoso.
Keywords: History;
International Finance;
Sovereign Finance;
Economy;
Borrowing and Debt;
Peru;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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2002
Fresh Start? Peru's Legacy of Debt and Default (B)
Julio J. Rotemberg and Lisa Lewis
Supplements the (A) case.
Keywords: Peru;
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
|
2001
(Revised from original 2001 version)
Competition Policy in the European Union and the Power of Microsoft
Julio J. Rotemberg and Michelle Kalka
Focuses on a decision by the European Competition Commissioner Mario Monti about U.S.-based Microsoft Corp. Sun has complained to the commission that Microsoft has installed components in its desktop operating system that only "talk" to Microsoft operating systems for servers. Sun has further complained that Microsoft released information about its operating systems to some partners but not to Sun. The commission has issued a formal complaint, but Monti's decision is still pending at the time of the case. As background for this decision, the case contains information about the U.S. antitrust case against Microsoft, U.S. and European competition laws, and how European lawmakers have dealt with interconnections among IT components in the past.
Keywords: Competition;
Law;
Emerging Markets;
Information Technology;
Policy;
Computer Industry;
Electronics Industry;
European Union;
United States;
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2001
German Hyperinflation of 1923, The TN
David A. Moss and Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note for (1-798-048).
Keywords: Germany;
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Supplement
| HBS Case Collection
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2001
(Revised from original 2000 version)
Supplement for "The Reagan Plan": Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Beginning of Reagan's Presidency
Julio J. Rotemberg
Supplements The Reagan Plan.
Keywords: Macroeconomics;
Government Administration;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. Supplement for " The Reagan Plan": Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Beginning of Reagan's Presidency. Harvard Business School Supplement 700-083, February 2001. (Revised from original March 2000 version.)
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Teaching Note
| HBS Case Collection
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2000
(Revised from original 2000 version)
The U.S. Banking Panic of 1933 and Federal Deposit Insurance (TN)
Julio J. Rotemberg
Teaching Note for (9-799-077).
Keywords: Business History;
Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms;
Banks and Banking;
Government and Politics;
Insurance;
Banking Industry;
United States;
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Supplement
| HBS Case Collection
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2000
(Revised from original 1999 version)
Data Supplement: Post-War US Economic Statistics
Julio J. Rotemberg and Cherie Nursalim
Supplements Tax Cut of 1964 (9-382-078), Nixon's Economic Strategy--1969 (8-378-258), and The Reagan Plan (9-381-173).
Keywords: History;
Sovereign Finance;
Development Economics;
Mathematical Methods;
Taxation;
Policy;
Government Administration;
Macroeconomics;
United States;
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Supplement
| HBS Case Collection
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2000
Basic Statistics from the World Bank's World Development Report 1998/1999
Julio J. Rotemberg
Supplements National Income Accounting and The Origins of National Income Accounting.
Keywords: Business Organization;
History;
Earnings Management;
Financial Institutions;
International Finance;
International Accounting;
Business Earnings;
Mathematical Methods;
Reports;
Economic Growth;
Commercial Banking;
Financial Services Industry;
Citation: Rotemberg, Julio J. "Basic Statistics from the World Bank's World Development Report 1998/1999." Harvard Business School Supplement 700-088, January 2000.
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Case
| HBS Case Collection
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1999
(Revised from original 1998 version)
German Hyperinflation of 1923, The
David A. Moss and Julio J. Rotemberg
Presents a compilation of primary and secondary sources as well as a set of data exhibits on the German hyperinflation of 1923. The hyperinflation represented a defining moment in German history and certainly one of the two or three most important economic events of the 20th century. Memories of it continue to shape economic policy in Germany to this day. Equally important, the story of the world's most spectacular hyperinflation is rich in lessons about the many interconnections between money, prices, production, and politics in a modern capitalist economy.
Keywords: History;
Price;
Production;
Money;
Inflation and Deflation;
Government and Politics;
Germany;
Citation: Moss, David A., and Julio J. Rotemberg. " German Hyperinflation of 1923, The." Harvard Business School Case 798-048, June 1999. (Revised from original January 1998 version.)
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