Exercise | September 2008 (Revised September 2010)

Exercise on Estimation

by Jason Riis and John T. Gourville


This exercise is meant to assess students' level of confidence around everyday business and general knowledge questions, for the purpose of identifying where they are overconfident and underconfident.

Keywords: Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction; Personal Characteristics;


Riis, Jason, and John T. Gourville. "Exercise on Estimation." Harvard Business School Exercise 509-022, September 2008. (Revised September 2010.)